HODL vs. BTF
HODL (VanEck Bitcoin Trust) and BTF (Valkyrie Bitcoin and Ether Strategy ETF) are both Cryptocurrency funds. HODL is passively managed, while BTF is actively managed. Over the past year, HODL returned -38.56% vs -36.83% for BTF. Their correlation of 0.93 suggests significant overlap in exposure. HODL charges 0.25%/yr vs 1.24%/yr for BTF.
Performance
HODL vs. BTF - Performance Comparison
Loading charts...
Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, HODL achieves a -25.27% return, which is significantly higher than BTF's -33.48% return.
HODL
- 1D
- -2.79%
- 1M
- -18.34%
- YTD
- -25.27%
- 6M
- -29.73%
- 1Y
- -38.56%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
BTF
- 1D
- -4.19%
- 1M
- -21.21%
- YTD
- -33.48%
- 6M
- -37.41%
- 1Y
- -36.83%
- 3Y*
- 13.08%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
HODL vs. BTF - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
HODL VanEck Bitcoin Trust | -25.27% | -6.42% | 99.75% |
BTF Valkyrie Bitcoin and Ether Strategy ETF | -33.48% | -12.44% | 50.10% |
Correlation
The correlation between HODL and BTF is 0.94, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.94 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 12, 2024 | 0.93 |
The correlation between HODL and BTF has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.93 to 0.94 - a consistent structural relationship.
Compare stocks, funds, or ETFs
Search for stocks, ETFs, and funds for a quick comparison or use the comparison tool for more options.
Return for Risk
HODL vs. BTF — Risk / Return Rank
HODL
BTF
HODL vs. BTF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) and Valkyrie Bitcoin and Ether Strategy ETF (BTF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| HODL | BTF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.21 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.42 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.86 | 0.91 | -0.05 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.79 | -0.65 | -0.13 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.36 | -1.11 | -0.26 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
Loading charts...
Sharpe Ratios by Period
| HODL | BTF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.89 | -0.68 | -0.21 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.30 | -0.16 | +0.47 |
Drawdowns
HODL vs. BTF - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum HODL drawdown since its inception was -49.25%, smaller than the maximum BTF drawdown of -77.50%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for HODL and BTF.
Loading charts...
Drawdown Indicators
| HODL | BTF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -49.25% | -77.50% | +28.25% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -49.25% | -56.49% | +7.24% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -56.49% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -47.93% | -56.49% | +8.56% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -15.97% | -39.65% | +23.68% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 28.35% | 33.32% | -4.97% |
Volatility
HODL vs. BTF - Volatility Comparison
VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) and Valkyrie Bitcoin and Ether Strategy ETF (BTF) have volatilities of 9.43% and 9.55%, respectively, indicating that both stocks experience similar levels of price fluctuations. This suggests that the risk associated with both stocks, as measured by volatility, is nearly the same. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
Loading charts...
Volatility by Period
| HODL | BTF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 9.43% | 9.55% | -0.12% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 34.37% | 39.47% | -5.10% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 43.51% | 54.33% | -10.82% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 49.88% | 58.43% | -8.55% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 49.88% | 58.43% | -8.55% |
HODL vs. BTF - Expense Ratio Comparison
HODL has a 0.25% expense ratio, which is lower than BTF's 1.24% expense ratio.
Dividends
HODL vs. BTF - Dividend Comparison
HODL has not paid dividends to shareholders, while BTF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 219.12%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
BTF Valkyrie Bitcoin and Ether Strategy ETF | 219.12% | 146.05% | 52.96% | 15.98% |
HODL VanEck Bitcoin Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
With a correlation of 0.94, HODL and BTF move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.
BTF has higher volatility (9.55%) compared to HODL (9.43%). In terms of maximum drawdown, HODL dropped -49.25% vs BTF's -77.50%.
On 1-year performance, BTF leads with -36.83% vs -38.56% for HODL. On fees, HODL is cheaper at 0.25% per year. On volatility, HODL has been the lower-risk option at 9.43%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, BTF has performed better with a -36.83% return vs -38.56%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
HODL is cheaper with a 0.25% expense ratio, compared with 1.24% for BTF.
BTF has the higher dividend yield at 219.12%, compared with 0.00% for HODL.
They also come from different issuers: VanEck and Valkyrie. Their fees differ too: 0.25% for HODL and 1.24% for BTF.
BTF currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.68 vs -0.89), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
Find the right allocation for HODL and BTF
Add both to a portfolio and optimize allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
Open Portfolio Optimizer