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HCMDX vs. TQQQ
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

HCMDX vs. TQQQ - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in HCM Tactical Growth Fund (HCMDX) and ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, HCMDX achieves a 13.58% return, which is significantly lower than TQQQ's 64.46% return. Over the past 10 years, HCMDX has underperformed TQQQ with an annualized return of 19.05%, while TQQQ has yielded a comparatively higher 45.33% annualized return.


HCMDX

1D
0.77%
1M
13.21%
YTD
13.58%
6M
11.29%
1Y
41.18%
3Y*
29.92%
5Y*
15.18%
10Y*
19.05%

TQQQ

1D
-0.76%
1M
33.35%
YTD
64.46%
6M
55.93%
1Y
137.89%
3Y*
69.49%
5Y*
28.37%
10Y*
45.33%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

HCMDX vs. TQQQ - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
HCMDX
HCM Tactical Growth Fund
13.58%16.55%49.90%32.05%-39.00%38.72%52.10%21.79%-7.68%32.41%
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
64.46%34.35%58.27%198.04%-79.09%82.98%110.05%133.84%-19.79%118.06%

Correlation

The correlation between HCMDX and TQQQ is 0.98 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.98

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.97

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.96

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.96

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 5, 2015

0.96

The correlation between HCMDX and TQQQ has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.96 to 0.98 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

HCMDX vs. TQQQ — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

HCMDX
HCMDX Risk / Return Rank: 3737
Overall Rank
HCMDX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 4242
Sharpe Ratio Rank
HCMDX Sortino Ratio Rank: 3434
Sortino Ratio Rank
HCMDX Omega Ratio Rank: 3636
Omega Ratio Rank
HCMDX Calmar Ratio Rank: 4444
Calmar Ratio Rank
HCMDX Martin Ratio Rank: 2929
Martin Ratio Rank

TQQQ
TQQQ Risk / Return Rank: 7171
Overall Rank
TQQQ Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8686
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TQQQ Sortino Ratio Rank: 6565
Sortino Ratio Rank
TQQQ Omega Ratio Rank: 6565
Omega Ratio Rank
TQQQ Calmar Ratio Rank: 7373
Calmar Ratio Rank
TQQQ Martin Ratio Rank: 6666
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

HCMDX vs. TQQQ - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for HCM Tactical Growth Fund (HCMDX) and ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


HCMDXTQQQDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-1.01

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-0.68

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.32

1.40

-0.08

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

2.53

3.75

-1.23

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

6.87

12.27

-5.40

HCMDX vs. TQQQ - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current HCMDX Sharpe Ratio is 1.91, which is lower than the TQQQ Sharpe Ratio of 2.92. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of HCMDX and TQQQ, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


HCMDXTQQQDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

1.91

2.92

-1.01

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.63

0.43

+0.20

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.79

0.69

+0.10

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.67

0.74

-0.07

Drawdowns

HCMDX vs. TQQQ - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum HCMDX drawdown since its inception was -40.89%, smaller than the maximum TQQQ drawdown of -81.66%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for HCMDX and TQQQ.


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Drawdown Indicators


HCMDXTQQQDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-40.89%

-81.66%

+40.77%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-17.00%

-36.97%

+19.97%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-25.96%

-58.04%

+32.08%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-40.89%

-81.66%

+40.77%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-40.89%

-81.66%

+40.77%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

0.00%

-0.76%

+0.76%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-11.42%

-18.52%

+7.10%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

6.24%

11.28%

-5.04%

Volatility

HCMDX vs. TQQQ - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for HCM Tactical Growth Fund (HCMDX) is 5.83%, while ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) has a volatility of 13.29%. This indicates that HCMDX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TQQQ based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


HCMDXTQQQDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

5.83%

13.29%

-7.46%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

15.67%

36.04%

-20.37%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

22.51%

47.60%

-25.09%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

24.08%

66.53%

-42.45%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

24.11%

65.96%

-41.85%

HCMDX vs. TQQQ - Expense Ratio Comparison

HCMDX has a 2.84% expense ratio, which is higher than TQQQ's 0.95% expense ratio.


Dividends

HCMDX vs. TQQQ - Dividend Comparison

HCMDX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.62%, more than TQQQ's 0.36% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
HCMDX
HCM Tactical Growth Fund
2.62%2.98%23.23%0.00%0.72%0.99%3.24%0.00%5.05%0.00%0.00%1.47%
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
0.36%0.65%1.27%1.26%0.57%0.00%0.00%0.06%0.11%0.00%0.00%0.01%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.98, HCMDX and TQQQ move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

TQQQ has higher volatility (13.29%) compared to HCMDX (5.83%). In terms of maximum drawdown, HCMDX dropped -40.89% vs TQQQ's -81.66%.

TQQQ currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.92 vs 1.91), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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