EDV vs. UBT
EDV (Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF) and UBT (ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury) are both exchange-traded funds - EDV is a Government Bonds fund tracking the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury STRIPS 20-30 Year Equal Par Bond Index, while UBT is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Index (200%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, EDV returned -3.32%/yr vs -8.27%/yr for UBT. With a 0.98 correlation, they move nearly in lockstep. EDV charges 0.05%/yr vs 0.95%/yr for UBT.
Performance
EDV vs. UBT - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, EDV achieves a -0.72% return, which is significantly higher than UBT's -2.69% return. Over the past 10 years, EDV has outperformed UBT with an annualized return of -3.32%, while UBT has yielded a comparatively lower -8.27% annualized return.
EDV
- 1D
- -0.48%
- 1M
- 1.42%
- YTD
- -0.72%
- 6M
- -3.69%
- 1Y
- 4.85%
- 3Y*
- -5.25%
- 5Y*
- -10.02%
- 10Y*
- -3.32%
UBT
- 1D
- -0.74%
- 1M
- 1.08%
- YTD
- -2.69%
- 6M
- -6.59%
- 1Y
- 4.39%
- 3Y*
- -10.32%
- 5Y*
- -17.99%
- 10Y*
- -8.27%
EDV vs. UBT - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EDV Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF | -0.72% | 0.65% | -12.78% | 1.65% | -39.15% | -6.19% | 23.59% | 18.67% | -3.40% | 13.94% |
UBT ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury | -2.69% | 2.03% | -21.81% | -3.68% | -55.54% | -12.14% | 31.87% | 24.46% | -6.54% | 16.12% |
Correlation
The correlation between EDV and UBT is 0.97 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.97 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.98 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.99 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.98 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 22, 2010 | 0.98 |
The correlation between EDV and UBT has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.97 to 0.99 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
EDV vs. UBT — Risk / Return Rank
EDV
UBT
EDV vs. UBT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (EDV) and ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| EDV | UBT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.11 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.12 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.06 | 1.05 | +0.01 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.39 | 0.26 | +0.13 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.90 | 0.63 | +0.27 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| EDV | UBT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.33 | 0.23 | +0.11 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.47 | -0.58 | +0.11 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.17 | -0.28 | +0.11 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.12 | 0.02 | +0.10 |
Drawdowns
EDV vs. UBT - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum EDV drawdown since its inception was -59.96%, smaller than the maximum UBT drawdown of -78.90%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for EDV and UBT.
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Drawdown Indicators
| EDV | UBT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -59.96% | -78.90% | +18.94% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -12.54% | -16.86% | +4.32% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -26.99% | -36.62% | +9.63% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -55.03% | -72.49% | +17.46% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -59.96% | -78.90% | +18.94% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -54.45% | -76.66% | +22.21% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -23.43% | -32.30% | +8.87% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 5.38% | 7.01% | -1.63% |
Volatility
EDV vs. UBT - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (EDV) is 4.06%, while ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) has a volatility of 5.41%. This indicates that EDV experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than UBT based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| EDV | UBT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 4.06% | 5.41% | -1.35% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 9.65% | 12.78% | -3.13% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 14.64% | 19.41% | -4.77% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 21.63% | 31.33% | -9.70% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 19.81% | 29.31% | -9.50% |
EDV vs. UBT - Expense Ratio Comparison
EDV has a 0.05% expense ratio, which is lower than UBT's 0.95% expense ratio.
Dividends
EDV vs. UBT - Dividend Comparison
EDV's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.99%, more than UBT's 3.99% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EDV Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF | 4.99% | 4.94% | 4.65% | 3.81% | 3.28% | 1.95% | 5.54% | 3.51% | 2.90% | 2.92% | 5.32% | 4.24% |
UBT ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury | 3.99% | 4.26% | 4.50% | 3.54% | 0.30% | 0.00% | 0.26% | 1.50% | 1.55% | 1.37% | 0.75% | 1.56% |
Frequently Asked Questions
With a correlation of 0.97, EDV and UBT move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.
UBT has higher volatility (5.41%) compared to EDV (4.06%). In terms of maximum drawdown, EDV dropped -59.96% vs UBT's -78.90%.
On 10-year performance, EDV leads with -3.32% vs -8.27% for UBT. On fees, EDV is cheaper at 0.05% per year. On volatility, EDV has been the lower-risk option at 4.06%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, EDV has performed better with a -3.32% return vs -8.27%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
EDV is cheaper with a 0.05% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for UBT.
EDV has the higher dividend yield at 4.99%, compared with 3.99% for UBT.
EDV is categorized as Government Bonds, while UBT is Leveraged Bonds. EDV tracks Bloomberg U.S. Treasury STRIPS 20-30 Year Equal Par Bond Index, while UBT tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Index (200%). They also come from different issuers: Vanguard and ProShares. Their fees differ too: 0.05% for EDV and 0.95% for UBT.
EDV currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.33 vs 0.23), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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