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CAPE vs. RSP
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

CAPE vs. RSP - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in iPath Shiller CAPE ETN (CAPE) and Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, CAPE achieves a -1.70% return, which is significantly lower than RSP's 9.70% return.


CAPE

1D
-0.48%
1M
-1.99%
YTD
-1.70%
6M
-1.38%
1Y
3.29%
3Y*
12.19%
5Y*
10Y*

RSP

1D
-0.38%
1M
3.77%
YTD
9.70%
6M
10.18%
1Y
19.50%
3Y*
15.23%
5Y*
8.33%
10Y*
11.86%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

CAPE vs. RSP - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)2025202420232022
CAPE
iPath Shiller CAPE ETN
-1.70%9.10%14.40%27.65%-15.28%
RSP
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
9.70%11.21%12.79%13.70%-9.66%

Correlation

The correlation between CAPE and RSP is 0.79, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.79

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.84

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 5, 2022

0.88

The correlation between CAPE and RSP has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.79 to 0.88 - a consistent structural relationship.

CAPE vs. RSP - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
CAPE
RSP

Consumer Defensive

25.9%
6.5%

Communication Services

25.2%
3.7%

Healthcare

25.0%
11.0%

Consumer Cyclical

24.8%
9.9%

Real Estate

24.7%
6.0%

Financial Services

23.2%
14.5%

Basic Materials

22.0%
4.1%

Technology

0.2%
19.6%

Industrials

0.0%
14.1%

Energy

-

4.5%

Utilities

-

6.1%

Consumer Defensive

CAPE
25.9%
RSP
6.5%

Communication Services

CAPE
25.2%
RSP
3.7%

Healthcare

CAPE
25.0%
RSP
11.0%

Consumer Cyclical

CAPE
24.8%
RSP
9.9%

Real Estate

CAPE
24.7%
RSP
6.0%

Financial Services

CAPE
23.2%
RSP
14.5%

Basic Materials

CAPE
22.0%
RSP
4.1%

Technology

CAPE
0.2%
RSP
19.6%

Industrials

CAPE
0.0%
RSP
14.1%

Energy

CAPE

-

RSP
4.5%

Utilities

CAPE

-

RSP
6.1%

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Return for Risk

CAPE vs. RSP — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

CAPE
CAPE Risk / Return Rank: 1313
Overall Rank
CAPE Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1313
Sharpe Ratio Rank
CAPE Sortino Ratio Rank: 1212
Sortino Ratio Rank
CAPE Omega Ratio Rank: 1212
Omega Ratio Rank
CAPE Calmar Ratio Rank: 1313
Calmar Ratio Rank
CAPE Martin Ratio Rank: 1515
Martin Ratio Rank

RSP
RSP Risk / Return Rank: 4949
Overall Rank
RSP Sharpe Ratio Rank: 4848
Sharpe Ratio Rank
RSP Sortino Ratio Rank: 4949
Sortino Ratio Rank
RSP Omega Ratio Rank: 4646
Omega Ratio Rank
RSP Calmar Ratio Rank: 5050
Calmar Ratio Rank
RSP Martin Ratio Rank: 5454
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

CAPE vs. RSP - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for iPath Shiller CAPE ETN (CAPE) and Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


CAPERSPDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-1.39

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-1.95

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.06

1.30

-0.24

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.34

2.49

-2.15

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

1.24

9.48

-8.23

CAPE vs. RSP - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current CAPE Sharpe Ratio is 0.30, which is lower than the RSP Sharpe Ratio of 1.70. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of CAPE and RSP, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


CAPERSPDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.30

1.70

-1.39

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.52

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.65

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.42

0.57

-0.15

Drawdowns

CAPE vs. RSP - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum CAPE drawdown since its inception was -22.07%, smaller than the maximum RSP drawdown of -59.92%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for CAPE and RSP.


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Drawdown Indicators


CAPERSPDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-22.07%

-59.92%

+37.85%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-9.68%

-7.85%

-1.83%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-14.32%

-17.81%

+3.49%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-21.38%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-39.04%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-4.83%

-0.38%

-4.45%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-4.93%

-6.65%

+1.72%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

2.65%

2.06%

+0.59%

Volatility

CAPE vs. RSP - Volatility Comparison

iPath Shiller CAPE ETN (CAPE) and Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) have volatilities of 2.63% and 2.56%, respectively, indicating that both stocks experience similar levels of price fluctuations. This suggests that the risk associated with both stocks, as measured by volatility, is nearly the same. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


CAPERSPDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

2.63%

2.56%

+0.07%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

8.04%

8.29%

-0.25%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

10.89%

11.56%

-0.67%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

16.93%

16.18%

+0.75%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

16.93%

18.35%

-1.42%

CAPE vs. RSP - Expense Ratio Comparison

CAPE has a 0.45% expense ratio, which is higher than RSP's 0.20% expense ratio.


Dividends

CAPE vs. RSP - Dividend Comparison

CAPE's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.41%, less than RSP's 1.49% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
CAPE
iPath Shiller CAPE ETN
1.41%1.39%1.23%1.01%0.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
RSP
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF
1.49%1.64%1.52%1.64%1.82%1.28%1.64%1.69%2.02%1.52%1.20%1.70%

Frequently Asked Questions


CAPE and RSP have a correlation of 0.79, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

CAPE has higher volatility (2.63%) compared to RSP (2.56%). In terms of maximum drawdown, CAPE dropped -22.07% vs RSP's -59.92%.

On 3-year performance, RSP leads with 15.23% vs 12.19% for CAPE. On fees, RSP is cheaper at 0.20% per year. Their volatility is very similar. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 3-year period, RSP has performed better with a 15.23% return vs 12.19%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

RSP is cheaper with a 0.20% expense ratio, compared with 0.45% for CAPE.

RSP has the higher dividend yield at 1.49%, compared with 1.41% for CAPE.

CAPE is categorized as Global Equities, while RSP is S&P 500. CAPE tracks Shiller Barclays CAPE US Core Sector Index, while RSP tracks S&P 500 Equal Weight Index. They also come from different issuers: Barclays Capital and Invesco. Their fees differ too: 0.45% for CAPE and 0.20% for RSP.

RSP currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.70 vs 0.30), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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