CAPE vs. HAIL

Last updated Jun 4, 2026

CAPE (iPath Shiller CAPE ETN) and HAIL (SPDR S&P Kensho Smart Mobility ETF) are both Global Equities funds - CAPE tracks the Shiller Barclays CAPE US Core Sector Index while HAIL tracks the S&P Kensho Smart Transportation Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 3 years, CAPE returned 12.19%/yr vs 15.38%/yr for HAIL. A 0.69 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. Both charge a 0.45% expense ratio.

Performance

CAPE vs. HAIL - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in iPath Shiller CAPE ETN (CAPE) and SPDR S&P Kensho Smart Mobility ETF (HAIL). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, CAPE achieves a -1.70% return, which is significantly lower than HAIL's 31.10% return.

CAPE

• 1D: -0.48%
• 1M: -1.99%
• YTD: -1.70%
• 6M: -1.38%
• 1Y: 3.29%
• 3Y*: 12.19%
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

HAIL

• 1D: -2.34%
• 1M: 16.87%
• YTD: 31.10%
• 6M: 29.05%
• 1Y: 58.23%
• 3Y*: 15.38%
• 5Y*: -5.36%
• 10Y*: —

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

CAPE vs. HAIL - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022
CAPE iPath Shiller CAPE ETN	-1.70%	9.10%	14.40%	27.65%	-15.28%
HAIL SPDR S&P Kensho Smart Mobility ETF	31.10%	19.62%	-6.98%	9.65%	-37.60%

Correlation

The correlation between CAPE and HAIL is 0.48, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.48
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.60
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 5, 2022	0.69

Over the past year, the correlation between CAPE and HAIL has dropped to 0.48 - well below their long-term average of 0.69, suggesting their price drivers have been diverging.

CAPE vs. HAIL - Sectors Allocation Comparison

Sectors	CAPE	HAIL
Consumer Defensive	25.9%	-
Communication Services	25.2%	4.9%
Healthcare	25.0%	-
Consumer Cyclical	24.8%	34.2%
Real Estate	24.7%	-
Financial Services	23.2%	1.9%
Basic Materials	22.0%	1.2%
Technology	0.2%	33.1%
Industrials	0.0%	20.2%
Energy	-	4.4%
Utilities	-	-

Return for Risk

CAPE vs. HAIL — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

CAPE

CAPE Risk / Return Rank: 13
CAPE Sharpe Ratio Rank: 13
CAPE Sortino Ratio Rank: 12
CAPE Omega Ratio Rank: 12
CAPE Calmar Ratio Rank: 13
CAPE Martin Ratio Rank: 15

HAIL

HAIL Risk / Return Rank: 57
HAIL Sharpe Ratio Rank: 59
HAIL Sortino Ratio Rank: 55
HAIL Omega Ratio Rank: 51
HAIL Calmar Ratio Rank: 63
HAIL Martin Ratio Rank: 55

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

CAPE vs. HAIL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for iPath Shiller CAPE ETN (CAPE) and SPDR S&P Kensho Smart Mobility ETF (HAIL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	CAPE	HAIL	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	0.30	2.00	-1.70
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	0.52	2.64	-2.12
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.06	1.32	-0.26
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	0.34	3.14	-2.80
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	1.24	9.49	-8.25
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

CAPE vs. HAIL - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current CAPE Sharpe Ratio is 0.30, which is lower than the HAIL Sharpe Ratio of 2.00. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of CAPE and HAIL, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	CAPE	HAIL	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.30	2.00	-1.70
Sharpe Ratio (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	—	-0.17	—
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	0.42	0.20	+0.21

Drawdowns

CAPE vs. HAIL - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum CAPE drawdown since its inception was -22.07%, smaller than the maximum HAIL drawdown of -65.98%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for CAPE and HAIL.

Drawdown Indicators

	CAPE	HAIL	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-22.07%	-65.98%	+43.91%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-9.68%	-18.64%	+8.96%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-14.32%	-40.96%	+26.64%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	—	-63.12%	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-4.83%	-30.85%	+26.02%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-4.93%	-31.60%	+26.67%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	2.65%	6.15%	-3.50%

Volatility

CAPE vs. HAIL - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for iPath Shiller CAPE ETN (CAPE) is 2.63%, while SPDR S&P Kensho Smart Mobility ETF (HAIL) has a volatility of 10.80%. This indicates that CAPE experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than HAIL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	CAPE	HAIL	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	2.63%	10.80%	-8.17%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	8.04%	22.28%	-14.24%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	10.89%	29.32%	-18.43%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	16.93%	31.80%	-14.87%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	16.93%	31.73%	-14.80%

CAPE vs. HAIL - Expense Ratio Comparison

Both CAPE and HAIL have an expense ratio of 0.45%.

Dividends

CAPE vs. HAIL - Dividend Comparison

CAPE's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.41%, less than HAIL's 1.44% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
CAPE iPath Shiller CAPE ETN	1.41%	1.39%	1.23%	1.01%	0.80%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
HAIL SPDR S&P Kensho Smart Mobility ETF	1.44%	2.00%	2.98%	2.62%	2.09%	1.36%	0.52%	1.17%	2.54%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both CAPE and HAIL in my portfolio?

CAPE and HAIL have a correlation of 0.48, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, CAPE or HAIL?

HAIL has higher volatility (10.80%) compared to CAPE (2.63%). In terms of maximum drawdown, CAPE dropped -22.07% vs HAIL's -65.98%.

Which ETF is better, CAPE or HAIL?

On 3-year performance, HAIL leads with 15.38% vs 12.19% for CAPE. Both ETFs have the same 0.45% expense ratio. On volatility, CAPE has been the lower-risk option at 2.63%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, CAPE or HAIL?

Over the 3-year period, HAIL has performed better with a 15.38% return vs 12.19%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, CAPE or HAIL?

CAPE and HAIL have the same expense ratio: 0.45% per year.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, CAPE or HAIL?

HAIL has the higher dividend yield at 1.44%, compared with 1.41% for CAPE.

What is the main difference between CAPE and HAIL?

CAPE tracks Shiller Barclays CAPE US Core Sector Index, while HAIL tracks S&P Kensho Smart Transportation Index. They also come from different issuers: Barclays Capital and State Street.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

HAIL currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.00 vs 0.30), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.