AVL vs. TMF
AVL (Direxion Daily AVGO Bull 2X Shares) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - AVL is a Leveraged Equities fund actively managed by Direxion, while TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). AVL is actively managed, while TMF is passively managed. Over the past year, AVL returned 43.00% vs -5.83% for TMF. At a 0.09 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. AVL charges 1.04%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.
Performance
AVL vs. TMF - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, AVL achieves a 3.29% return, which is significantly higher than TMF's -10.63% return.
AVL
- 1D
- -8.23%
- 1M
- -1.70%
- 6M
- 0.37%
- YTD
- 3.29%
- 1Y
- 43.00%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
TMF
- 1D
- -1.85%
- 1M
- -5.74%
- 6M
- -11.74%
- YTD
- -10.63%
- 1Y
- -5.83%
- 3Y*
- -21.26%
- 5Y*
- -33.16%
- 10Y*
- -17.90%
AVL vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
AVL Direxion Daily AVGO Bull 2X Shares | 3.29% | 54.38% | 38.75% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -10.63% | -2.94% | -21.82% |
Correlation
The correlation between AVL and TMF is 0.14, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.14 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 10, 2024 | 0.09 |
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Return for Risk
AVL vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank
AVL
TMF
AVL vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily AVGO Bull 2X Shares (AVL) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| AVL | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.67 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +1.38 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.16 | 0.99 | +0.17 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.80 | -0.22 | +1.03 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.59 | -0.46 | +2.05 |
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Drawdowns
AVL vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum AVL drawdown since its inception was -70.63%, smaller than the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for AVL and TMF.
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Drawdown Indicators
| AVL | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -70.63% | -92.89% | +22.26% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -53.69% | -26.51% | -27.18% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -55.14% | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -88.81% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -92.89% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -40.57% | -92.60% | +52.03% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -24.33% | -43.91% | +19.58% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 27.04% | 12.82% | +14.22% |
Volatility
AVL vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Daily AVGO Bull 2X Shares (AVL) has a higher volatility of 29.94% compared to Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) at 8.51%. This indicates that AVL's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| AVL | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 29.94% | 8.51% | +21.43% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 69.63% | 19.94% | +49.69% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 94.05% | 27.62% | +66.43% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 107.28% | 46.54% | +60.74% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 107.28% | 43.72% | +63.56% |
AVL vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison
AVL has a 1.04% expense ratio, which is higher than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.
Dividends
AVL vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison
AVL's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 28.73%, more than TMF's 4.42% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AVL Direxion Daily AVGO Bull 2X Shares | 28.73% | 29.04% | 0.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.42% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
Frequently Asked Questions
AVL and TMF have a correlation of 0.14, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
AVL has higher volatility (29.94%) compared to TMF (8.51%). In terms of maximum drawdown, AVL dropped -70.63% vs TMF's -92.89%.
On 1-year performance, AVL leads with 43.00% vs -5.83% for TMF. On fees, TMF is cheaper at 1.01% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 8.51%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, AVL has performed better with a 43.00% return vs -5.83%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TMF is cheaper with a 1.01% expense ratio, compared with 1.04% for AVL.
AVL has the higher dividend yield at 28.73%, compared with 4.42% for TMF.
AVL is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. Their fees differ too: 1.04% for AVL and 1.01% for TMF.
AVL currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.46 vs -0.21), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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