Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | Systematic Trend | 65% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 30% |
QUAL iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 30% |
TAIL Cambria Tail Risk ETF | Volatility Hedged Equity | 25% |
USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 25% |
VCSH Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF | Corporate Bonds | 15% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 10% |
USD=X USD Cash | -100% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | 0.31% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE | 0.00% | -1.25% | 8.72% | 9.26% | 32.62% | 23.49% | 14.88% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 0.26% | -1.31% | 10.27% | 11.24% | 26.94% | 9.64% | 8.01% | — |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.06% | -7.37% | -2.47% | -2.25% | 22.21% | 28.89% | 17.08% | 12.15% |
QUAL iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF | 0.47% | 3.07% | 9.44% | 9.29% | 22.87% | 19.30% | 11.97% | 14.46% |
TAIL Cambria Tail Risk ETF | -0.60% | 0.14% | -5.78% | -6.25% | -8.88% | -4.93% | -8.40% | — |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.24% | 2.93% | 0.27% | 0.45% | 3.88% | -1.38% | -6.53% | -1.75% |
USD=X USD Cash | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF | 0.43% | 1.43% | 2.43% | 2.34% | 4.89% | 11.35% | 7.24% | 9.90% |
VCSH Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF | -0.03% | 0.53% | 0.80% | 1.22% | 4.60% | 5.69% | 2.33% | 2.70% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 8, 2019, AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.43%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 4.1 years.
Historically, 70% of months were positive and 30% were negative. The best month was Feb 2026 with a return of +9.9%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -8.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 12 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.
On a daily basis, AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE closed higher 39% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +5.2%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -7.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.05% | 9.86% | -8.75% | 1.78% | 1.85% | -2.26% | 8.72% | ||||||
| 2025 | 4.36% | 0.96% | 0.92% | 3.10% | 0.05% | 3.21% | -1.04% | 3.82% | 9.00% | 3.56% | 3.78% | 0.66% | 37.15% |
| 2024 | 1.98% | 3.88% | 7.70% | 0.00% | 2.41% | 3.23% | 1.40% | 1.60% | 3.43% | -3.73% | 2.12% | -4.40% | 20.79% |
| 2023 | 2.54% | -4.15% | 1.10% | 1.78% | -1.52% | 3.66% | 1.45% | -1.09% | -1.89% | 0.60% | 2.49% | 2.51% | 7.43% |
| 2022 | -4.59% | 2.08% | 5.15% | 1.74% | -2.00% | -0.46% | 0.26% | -2.84% | -2.48% | 1.76% | 1.25% | -1.75% | -2.26% |
| 2021 | -3.02% | 0.28% | 2.96% | 5.28% | 4.56% | -1.16% | 3.97% | -0.78% | -4.54% | 6.02% | -1.73% | 3.12% | 15.27% |
Benchmark Metrics
AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE has an annualized alpha of 12.00%, beta of 0.40, and R2 of 0.34 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 08, 2019.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (59.91%) than losses (25.39%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.40 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.34 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.34 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 12.00%
- Beta
- 0.40
- R²
- 0.34
- Upside Capture
- 59.91%
- Downside Capture
- 25.39%
Expense Ratio
AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE has an expense ratio of 0.92%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE ranks 45 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.99 | 1.86 | +0.12 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.50 | 2.53 | -0.03 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.38 | 1.34 | +0.04 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.72 | 2.53 | +0.19 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.92 | 11.37 | -3.45 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 82 | 2.22 | 2.92 | 1.47 | 4.50 | 16.30 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 25 | 0.87 | 1.24 | 1.18 | 0.98 | 2.81 |
QUAL iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF | 57 | 1.74 | 2.46 | 1.31 | 2.32 | 10.60 |
TAIL Cambria Tail Risk ETF | 2 | -1.00 | -1.43 | 0.84 | -0.78 | -1.82 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 13 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.06 | 0.38 | 0.92 |
USD=X USD Cash | — | — | — | — | — | — |
USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF | 17 | 0.47 | 0.72 | 1.08 | 0.62 | 2.06 |
VCSH Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF | 81 | 2.37 | 3.71 | 1.47 | 3.18 | 12.95 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE provided a 6.01% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 6.01% | 6.31% | 6.35% | 4.45% | 6.84% | 7.97% | 2.01% | 8.08% | 2.17% | 1.78% | 1.72% | 1.57% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 5.19% | 5.91% | 5.75% | 2.91% | 7.72% | 10.38% | 0.86% | 9.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
QUAL iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF | 0.87% | 0.94% | 1.02% | 1.23% | 1.59% | 1.20% | 1.39% | 1.60% | 2.00% | 1.76% | 1.96% | 1.63% |
TAIL Cambria Tail Risk ETF | 3.48% | 2.88% | 3.48% | 3.74% | 1.50% | 0.49% | 0.36% | 1.58% | 1.52% | 0.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.56% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
USD=X USD Cash | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF | 1.53% | 1.49% | 1.67% | 1.82% | 1.62% | 1.26% | 1.81% | 1.88% | 2.12% | 1.77% | 2.22% | 2.02% |
VCSH Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF | 4.45% | 4.35% | 3.96% | 3.09% | 2.01% | 1.81% | 2.27% | 2.87% | 2.65% | 2.26% | 2.10% | 2.08% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE was 18.87%, occurring on Mar 19, 2020. Recovery took 111 trading sessions.
The current AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE drawdown is 7.55%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
COVID crash2020 | -18.87%Mar 2020 | 24d | 3mo 21d | 4mo 15dFeb 2020 - Jul 2020 |
2026 correction2026 | -11.98%Mar 2026 | 24d | — | 3mo 15dMar 2026 - now |
2023 correction2023 | -11.96%Mar 2023 | 10mo 29d | 10mo 17d | 1y 9moApr 2022 - Jan 2024 |
2020 pullback2020 | -8.36%Oct 2020 | 2mo 24d | 1mo 18d | 4mo 12dAug 2020 - Dec 2020 |
2024 pullback2024 | -8.24%Aug 2024 | 21d | 1mo 7d | 1mo 28dJul 2024 - Sep 2024 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 0.57, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.54 | 1.94 | 2.25 | 2.08 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 2.08, placing it in the top 5% across portfolios — assets in this portfolio move largely independently, providing strong diversification benefit.
AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.51 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.54 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.53 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since May 8, 2019 | 0.55 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. QUAL has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.97, while TAIL has the lowest at -0.68.
Asset Correlations Table
| USD=X | DBMF | GLD | TLT | VCSH | TAIL | USMV | QUAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD=X | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| DBMF | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.13 | -0.16 | -0.13 | -0.22 | 0.12 | 0.18 |
| GLD | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.24 | 0.37 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| TLT | 0.00 | -0.16 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.59 | 0.49 | 0.05 | -0.01 |
| VCSH | 0.00 | -0.13 | 0.37 | 0.59 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| TAIL | 0.00 | -0.22 | 0.11 | 0.49 | 0.25 | 1.00 | -0.44 | -0.59 |
| USMV | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.05 | 0.25 | -0.44 | 1.00 | 0.78 |
| QUAL | 0.00 | 0.18 | 0.10 | -0.01 | 0.23 | -0.59 | 0.78 | 1.00 |
Find what AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE is missing
See which holdings overlap, where AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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