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AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.50%0.31%8.56%8.85%24.33%19.37%11.84%13.61%
Portfolio
AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE
0.00%-1.25%8.72%9.26%32.62%23.49%14.88%
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
0.26%-1.31%10.27%11.24%26.94%9.64%8.01%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.06%-7.37%-2.47%-2.25%22.21%28.89%17.08%12.15%
QUAL
iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF
0.47%3.07%9.44%9.29%22.87%19.30%11.97%14.46%
TAIL
Cambria Tail Risk ETF
-0.60%0.14%-5.78%-6.25%-8.88%-4.93%-8.40%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
-0.24%2.93%0.27%0.45%3.88%-1.38%-6.53%-1.75%
USD=X
USD Cash
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
USMV
iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF
0.43%1.43%2.43%2.34%4.89%11.35%7.24%9.90%
VCSH
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF
-0.03%0.53%0.80%1.22%4.60%5.69%2.33%2.70%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 8, 2019, AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.43%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 4.1 years.

Historically, 70% of months were positive and 30% were negative. The best month was Feb 2026 with a return of +9.9%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -8.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 12 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.

On a daily basis, AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE closed higher 39% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +5.2%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -7.1%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20267.05%9.86%-8.75%1.78%1.85%-2.26%8.72%
20254.36%0.96%0.92%3.10%0.05%3.21%-1.04%3.82%9.00%3.56%3.78%0.66%37.15%
20241.98%3.88%7.70%0.00%2.41%3.23%1.40%1.60%3.43%-3.73%2.12%-4.40%20.79%
20232.54%-4.15%1.10%1.78%-1.52%3.66%1.45%-1.09%-1.89%0.60%2.49%2.51%7.43%
2022-4.59%2.08%5.15%1.74%-2.00%-0.46%0.26%-2.84%-2.48%1.76%1.25%-1.75%-2.26%
2021-3.02%0.28%2.96%5.28%4.56%-1.16%3.97%-0.78%-4.54%6.02%-1.73%3.12%15.27%

Benchmark Metrics

AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE has an annualized alpha of 12.00%, beta of 0.40, and R2 of 0.34 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 08, 2019.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (59.91%) than losses (25.39%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • Beta of 0.40 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.34 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R2 of 0.34 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
12.00%
Beta
0.40
0.34
Upside Capture
59.91%
Downside Capture
25.39%

Expense Ratio

AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE has an expense ratio of 0.92%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE ranks 45 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.


AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE Risk / Return Rank: 4545
Overall Rank
AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE Sharpe Ratio Rank: 5050
Sharpe Ratio Rank
AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE Sortino Ratio Rank: 3838
Sortino Ratio Rank
AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE Omega Ratio Rank: 5959
Omega Ratio Rank
AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE Calmar Ratio Rank: 4848
Calmar Ratio Rank
AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE Martin Ratio Rank: 3030
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE and compares them with S&P 500 Index.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

1.99

1.86

+0.12

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

2.50

2.53

-0.03

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.38

1.34

+0.04

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

2.72

2.53

+0.19

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

7.92

11.37

-3.45


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
82
2.222.921.474.5016.30
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
25
0.871.241.180.982.81
QUAL
iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF
57
1.742.461.312.3210.60
TAIL
Cambria Tail Risk ETF
2
-1.00-1.430.84-0.78-1.82
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
13
0.300.501.060.380.92
USD=X
USD Cash
USMV
iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF
17
0.470.721.080.622.06
VCSH
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF
81
2.373.711.473.1812.95

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk. Learn how to interpret the Sharpe ratio.

The current AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE Sharpe ratio is 1.99 as of Jun 13, 2026 (the value is recalculated daily), calculated over the past 12 months.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.53 to 2.41, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE provided a 6.01% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio6.01%6.31%6.35%4.45%6.84%7.97%2.01%8.08%2.17%1.78%1.72%1.57%
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
5.19%5.91%5.75%2.91%7.72%10.38%0.86%9.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
QUAL
iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF
0.87%0.94%1.02%1.23%1.59%1.20%1.39%1.60%2.00%1.76%1.96%1.63%
TAIL
Cambria Tail Risk ETF
3.48%2.88%3.48%3.74%1.50%0.49%0.36%1.58%1.52%0.91%0.00%0.00%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
4.56%4.43%4.30%3.38%2.67%1.50%1.50%2.27%2.63%2.43%2.60%2.61%
USD=X
USD Cash
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
USMV
iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF
1.53%1.49%1.67%1.82%1.62%1.26%1.81%1.88%2.12%1.77%2.22%2.02%
VCSH
Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF
4.45%4.35%3.96%3.09%2.01%1.81%2.27%2.87%2.65%2.26%2.10%2.08%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE was 18.87%, occurring on Mar 19, 2020. Recovery took 111 trading sessions.

The current AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE drawdown is 7.55%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

COVID crash2020
-18.87%Mar 2020
24d3mo 21d
4mo 15dFeb 2020 - Jul 2020
2026 correction2026
-11.98%Mar 2026
24d
3mo 15dMar 2026 - now
2023 correction2023
-11.96%Mar 2023
10mo 29d10mo 17d
1y 9moApr 2022 - Jan 2024
2020 pullback2020
-8.36%Oct 2020
2mo 24d1mo 18d
4mo 12dAug 2020 - Dec 2020
2024 pullback2024
-8.24%Aug 2024
21d1mo 7d
1mo 28dJul 2024 - Sep 2024

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 0.57, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
5Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.54

1.94

2.25

2.08

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 2.08, placing it in the top 5% across portfolios — assets in this portfolio move largely independently, providing strong diversification benefit.

AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE correlation to the S&P 500 Index

AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE has a 0.51 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.51

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.54

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.53

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since May 8, 2019

0.55


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. QUAL has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.97, while TAIL has the lowest at -0.68.

TAIL
-0.68
TLT
-0.04
USD=X
0.00
GLD
0.10
DBMF
0.18
VCSH
0.23
USMV
0.80
QUAL
0.97

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE. DBMF has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.58, while TAIL has the lowest at -0.17.

TAIL
-0.17
USD=X
0.00
TLT
0.22
VCSH
0.35
USMV
0.54
GLD
0.55
QUAL
0.55
DBMF
0.58

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from May 8, 2019
Diversification Analysis

Find what AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE is missing

See which holdings overlap, where AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification