Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | Hedge Fund, Actively Managed | 65% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 30% |
QUAL iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 30% |
TAIL Cambria Tail Risk ETF | Volatility Hedged Equity | 25% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 10% |
USD=X USD Cash | -100% | |
USMV iShares MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Factor ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 25% |
VCSH Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF | Corporate Bonds | 15% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is May 8, 2019, corresponding to the inception date of DBMF
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.72% | -3.54% | -3.95% | -2.09% | 15.95% | 16.96% | 10.34% | 12.24% |
Portfolio AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE | 0.00% | -4.49% | 7.96% | 16.03% | 39.06% | 24.45% | 16.39% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 0.20% | -3.07% | 8.09% | 15.25% | 26.29% | 9.97% | 8.67% | — |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 1.75% | -10.65% | 10.47% | 22.97% | 52.25% | 33.69% | 22.00% | 14.11% |
QUAL iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF | 0.50% | -5.52% | -2.74% | -1.05% | 13.65% | 17.10% | 10.71% | 12.99% |
TAIL Cambria Tail Risk ETF | -0.81% | 0.32% | 1.76% | -0.24% | 1.75% | -4.58% | -6.94% | — |
USMV iShares MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Factor ETF | -0.08% | -4.74% | -1.18% | -1.61% | 0.57% | 10.26% | 7.59% | 9.64% |
VCSH Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF | 0.08% | -0.57% | 0.22% | 1.25% | 4.91% | 5.39% | 2.38% | 2.72% |
USD=X USD Cash | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.10% | -3.35% | 0.07% | -1.23% | -1.44% | -2.81% | -5.87% | -1.39% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 9, 2019, AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.46%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 4.0 years.
Historically, 70% of months were positive and 30% were negative. The best month was Feb 2026 with a return of +9.9%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -8.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 12 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.
On a daily basis, AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE closed higher 39% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +5.2%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -7.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.05% | 9.86% | -8.75% | 0.61% | 7.96% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 4.36% | 0.96% | 0.92% | 3.10% | 0.05% | 3.21% | -1.04% | 3.82% | 9.00% | 3.56% | 3.78% | 0.66% | 37.15% |
| 2024 | 1.98% | 3.88% | 7.70% | 0.00% | 2.41% | 3.23% | 1.40% | 1.60% | 3.43% | -3.73% | 2.12% | -4.40% | 20.79% |
| 2023 | 2.54% | -4.15% | 1.10% | 1.78% | -1.52% | 3.66% | 1.45% | -1.09% | -1.89% | 0.60% | 2.49% | 2.51% | 7.43% |
| 2022 | -4.59% | 2.08% | 5.15% | 1.74% | -2.00% | -0.46% | 0.26% | -2.84% | -2.48% | 1.76% | 1.25% | -1.75% | -2.26% |
| 2021 | -3.02% | 0.28% | 2.96% | 5.28% | 4.56% | -1.16% | 3.97% | -0.78% | -4.54% | 6.02% | -1.73% | 3.12% | 15.27% |
Benchmark Metrics
AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE has an annualized alpha of 13.15%, beta of 0.40, and R² of 0.33 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 09, 2019.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (63.47%) than losses (23.44%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.40 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.33 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.33 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 13.15%
- Beta
- 0.40
- R²
- 0.33
- Upside Capture
- 63.47%
- Downside Capture
- 23.44%
Expense Ratio
AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE has an expense ratio of 0.92%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE ranks 90 for risk / return — in the top 90% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.31 | 0.92 | +1.39 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.95 | 1.41 | +1.53 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.43 | 1.21 | +0.22 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.79 | 1.41 | +2.38 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 13.61 | 6.61 | +6.99 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 95 | 2.19 | 2.98 | 1.46 | 4.35 | 18.69 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 85 | 1.89 | 2.31 | 1.35 | 2.70 | 9.90 |
QUAL iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF | 45 | 0.79 | 1.24 | 1.18 | 1.21 | 5.50 |
TAIL Cambria Tail Risk ETF | 14 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 1.05 | 0.11 | 0.13 |
USMV iShares MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Factor ETF | 12 | 0.05 | 0.15 | 1.02 | 0.06 | 0.25 |
VCSH Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF | 94 | 2.17 | 3.18 | 1.45 | 3.58 | 14.56 |
USD=X USD Cash | — | — | — | — | — | — |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 9 | -0.13 | -0.10 | 0.99 | -0.06 | -0.13 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE provided a 6.05% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 6.05% | 6.31% | 6.35% | 4.45% | 6.84% | 7.97% | 2.01% | 8.08% | 2.17% | 1.78% | 1.72% | 1.57% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
DBMF iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 5.29% | 5.91% | 5.75% | 2.91% | 7.72% | 10.38% | 0.86% | 9.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
QUAL iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF | 0.98% | 0.94% | 1.02% | 1.23% | 1.59% | 1.20% | 1.39% | 1.60% | 2.00% | 1.76% | 1.96% | 1.63% |
TAIL Cambria Tail Risk ETF | 3.22% | 2.88% | 3.48% | 3.74% | 1.50% | 0.49% | 0.36% | 1.58% | 1.52% | 0.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
USMV iShares MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Factor ETF | 1.59% | 1.49% | 1.67% | 1.82% | 1.62% | 1.26% | 1.81% | 1.88% | 2.12% | 1.77% | 2.22% | 2.02% |
VCSH Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF | 4.43% | 4.35% | 3.96% | 3.09% | 2.01% | 1.81% | 2.27% | 2.87% | 2.65% | 2.26% | 2.10% | 2.08% |
USD=X USD Cash | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.53% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE was 18.87%, occurring on Mar 19, 2020. Recovery took 111 trading sessions.
The current AI HEDGE x2 - MODERATE drawdown is 8.20%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -18.87% | Feb 24, 2020 | 25 | Mar 19, 2020 | 111 | Jul 8, 2020 | 136 |
| -11.98% | Mar 2, 2026 | 25 | Mar 26, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -11.96% | Apr 20, 2022 | 330 | Mar 15, 2023 | 317 | Jan 26, 2024 | 647 |
| -8.36% | Aug 7, 2020 | 85 | Oct 30, 2020 | 48 | Dec 17, 2020 | 133 |
| -8.24% | Jul 17, 2024 | 22 | Aug 7, 2024 | 37 | Sep 13, 2024 | 59 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 0.57, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | USD=X | GLD | DBMF | TLT | VCSH | TAIL | USMV | QUAL | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.18 | -0.06 | 0.22 | -0.68 | 0.81 | 0.97 | 0.55 |
| USD=X | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| GLD | 0.08 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.36 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 0.54 |
| DBMF | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1.00 | -0.16 | -0.12 | -0.23 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.59 |
| TLT | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.24 | -0.16 | 1.00 | 0.59 | 0.50 | 0.05 | -0.02 | 0.22 |
| VCSH | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.36 | -0.12 | 0.59 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| TAIL | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.11 | -0.23 | 0.50 | 0.25 | 1.00 | -0.45 | -0.59 | -0.17 |
| USMV | 0.81 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.05 | 0.26 | -0.45 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.54 |
| QUAL | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.19 | -0.02 | 0.22 | -0.59 | 0.78 | 1.00 | 0.55 |
| Portfolio | 0.55 | 0.00 | 0.54 | 0.59 | 0.22 | 0.35 | -0.17 | 0.54 | 0.55 | 1.00 |