Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
MCD McDonald's Corporation | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
SBUX Starbucks Corporation | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
AZO AutoZone, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
GRMN Garmin Ltd. | Technology | 10% |
EBAY eBay Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
Find the right asset allocation for 2025-07 XLY 10
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 2025-07 XLY 10, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 13, 2026, the 2025-07 XLY 10 returned 4.77% Year-To-Date and 28.58% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | 0.31% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio 2025-07 XLY 10 | 0.78% | 1.79% | 4.77% | 3.97% | 13.41% | 24.10% | 18.91% | 28.58% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AZO AutoZone, Inc. | 1.13% | -7.79% | -8.11% | -9.56% | -14.45% | 8.78% | 17.45% | 15.33% |
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | 0.83% | 7.28% | -22.63% | -21.85% | -21.52% | 17.23% | 12.82% | 12.44% |
EBAY eBay Inc. | -0.91% | -6.22% | 25.46% | 28.02% | 42.20% | 35.97% | 12.04% | 17.79% |
GRMN Garmin Ltd. | -0.20% | 5.47% | 17.83% | 14.71% | 20.22% | 32.81% | 12.86% | 22.02% |
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | 1.20% | 9.47% | 20.55% | 23.56% | 42.14% | 34.51% | 22.21% | 48.93% |
MCD McDonald's Corporation | 0.01% | 3.75% | -5.66% | -8.96% | -3.37% | 1.94% | 6.16% | 11.46% |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | 1.02% | 2.86% | -0.21% | -3.28% | 1.23% | 14.22% | 20.62% | 18.05% |
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | 2.23% | 13.68% | 6.66% | 7.04% | 16.02% | 46.74% | 27.43% | 16.48% |
SBUX Starbucks Corporation | 0.74% | -3.53% | 23.87% | 22.22% | 13.40% | 3.82% | 0.57% | 8.66% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 1.82% | -3.74% | -9.63% | -11.45% | 24.94% | 16.25% | 14.86% | 39.72% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Dec 12, 2013, 2025-07 XLY 10's average daily return is +0.10%, while the average monthly return is +2.15%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.7 years.
Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Jan 2017 with a return of +60.1%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -21.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, 2025-07 XLY 10 closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Jan 4, 2017 with a return of +57.8%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -13.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.30% | 1.64% | -5.96% | 5.63% | -2.26% | 1.79% | 4.77% | ||||||
| 2025 | 5.99% | 0.30% | -4.95% | -0.91% | 7.83% | 3.30% | 3.31% | 5.71% | 1.37% | -7.24% | 1.69% | -0.18% | 16.25% |
| 2024 | -2.46% | 5.78% | 3.52% | -3.58% | 0.88% | 4.38% | 3.32% | 4.87% | 5.88% | 1.74% | 11.36% | -1.15% | 39.32% |
| 2023 | 13.87% | 2.81% | 0.19% | 1.58% | -0.42% | 9.93% | 2.26% | -1.51% | -2.57% | -4.99% | 11.85% | 5.69% | 43.72% |
| 2022 | -6.52% | -5.00% | 6.42% | -7.96% | -3.86% | -10.92% | 11.30% | -2.97% | -5.72% | 12.54% | 6.25% | -8.02% | -16.60% |
| 2021 | -3.81% | 8.87% | 4.49% | 3.85% | -0.83% | 1.47% | 3.44% | 2.59% | 0.80% | 5.73% | -4.16% | 6.85% | 32.45% |
Benchmark Metrics
2025-07 XLY 10 has an annualized alpha of 13.87%, beta of 1.01, and R2 of 0.45 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since December 12, 2013.
- This portfolio captured 144.93% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 86.03% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
- R2 of 0.45 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 13.87%
- Beta
- 1.01
- R²
- 0.45
- Upside Capture
- 144.93%
- Downside Capture
- 86.03%
Expense Ratio
2025-07 XLY 10 has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
2025-07 XLY 10 ranks 12 for risk / return — in the bottom 12% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 2025-07 XLY 10 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.75 | 1.86 | -1.12 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.21 | 2.53 | -1.33 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.13 | 1.34 | -0.21 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.13 | 2.53 | -1.40 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 2.96 | 11.37 | -8.41 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AZO AutoZone, Inc. | 21 | -0.57 | -0.62 | 0.92 | -0.47 | -1.00 |
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | 13 | -0.75 | -0.93 | 0.89 | -0.72 | -1.36 |
EBAY eBay Inc. | 74 | 1.09 | 1.64 | 1.24 | 2.04 | 4.28 |
GRMN Garmin Ltd. | 56 | 0.53 | 0.90 | 1.12 | 0.58 | 1.27 |
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | 84 | 1.67 | 2.42 | 1.29 | 3.75 | 8.72 |
MCD McDonald's Corporation | 31 | -0.23 | -0.21 | 0.98 | -0.20 | -0.50 |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | 39 | -0.00 | 0.17 | 1.02 | -0.00 | -0.00 |
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | 51 | 0.27 | 0.77 | 1.09 | 0.39 | 0.66 |
SBUX Starbucks Corporation | 55 | 0.43 | 0.85 | 1.09 | 0.66 | 1.45 |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 61 | 0.62 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 0.92 | 2.10 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
2025-07 XLY 10 provided a 1.04% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.04% | 1.05% | 0.94% | 0.92% | 0.97% | 0.65% | 0.84% | 1.07% | 1.12% | 4.07% | 1.18% | 15.11% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AZO AutoZone, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | 0.97% | 0.72% | 0.70% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
EBAY eBay Inc. | 1.10% | 1.33% | 1.74% | 2.29% | 2.12% | 1.08% | 1.27% | 1.55% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 139.70% |
GRMN Garmin Ltd. | 1.51% | 1.70% | 1.44% | 2.27% | 3.10% | 1.92% | 2.01% | 2.30% | 3.32% | 3.42% | 4.21% | 5.41% |
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | 0.17% | 0.21% | 0.24% | 0.33% | 0.36% | 0.00% | 0.13% | 0.54% | 0.84% | 31.40% | 1.03% | 0.65% |
MCD McDonald's Corporation | 2.58% | 2.35% | 2.34% | 2.10% | 2.15% | 1.96% | 2.35% | 2.39% | 2.36% | 2.23% | 2.97% | 2.91% |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | 1.70% | 1.25% | 0.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.04% | 2.22% | 2.66% | 1.81% | 2.08% | 1.33% |
SBUX Starbucks Corporation | 2.40% | 2.91% | 2.54% | 2.25% | 2.02% | 1.57% | 1.57% | 1.69% | 2.05% | 1.83% | 1.53% | 1.13% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 2025-07 XLY 10. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 2025-07 XLY 10 was 42.60%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 53 trading sessions.
The current 2025-07 XLY 10 drawdown is 3.34%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
COVID crash2020 | -42.60%Mar 2020 | 1mo 2d | 2mo 17d | 3mo 19dFeb 2020 - Jun 2020 |
Bear market2022 | -29.94%Jun 2022 | 7mo 10d | 11mo 25d | 1y 7moNov 2021 - Jun 2023 |
2016 bear market2016 | -20.19%Feb 2016 | 3mo 1d | 5mo 18d | 8mo 19dNov 2015 - Jul 2016 |
2025 selloff2025 | -18.25%Apr 2025 | 1mo 17d | 1mo 26d | 3mo 13dFeb 2025 - Jun 2025 |
2020 correction2020 | -11.92%Jun 2020 | 17d | 19d | 1mo 6dJun 2020 - Jul 2020 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 10 assets, with an effective number of assets of 10.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.94 | 1.78 | 1.61 | 1.75 | 1.75 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.75, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
2025-07 XLY 10 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.64 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.72 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.78 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.77 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 12, 2013 | 0.78 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. GRMN has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.64, while AZO has the lowest at 0.37.
Asset Correlations Table
| TSLA | AZO | MCD | EBAY | ORLY | RCL | GRMN | SBUX | BKNG | HLT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.29 | 0.12 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.26 | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| AZO | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.24 | 0.75 | 0.18 | 0.30 | 0.32 | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| MCD | 0.14 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.35 | 0.25 | 0.30 | 0.46 | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| EBAY | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.27 | 1.00 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.37 | 0.34 | 0.36 | 0.31 |
| ORLY | 0.12 | 0.75 | 0.35 | 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| RCL | 0.30 | 0.18 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.35 | 0.50 | 0.58 |
| GRMN | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.37 | 0.32 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| SBUX | 0.26 | 0.32 | 0.46 | 0.34 | 0.36 | 0.35 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| BKNG | 0.33 | 0.23 | 0.28 | 0.36 | 0.26 | 0.50 | 0.38 | 0.41 | 1.00 | 0.53 |
| HLT | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.58 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0.53 | 1.00 |
Find what 2025-07 XLY 10 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 2025-07 XLY 10 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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