Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AZO AutoZone, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
EBAY eBay Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
GRMN Garmin Ltd. | Technology | 10% |
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
MCD McDonald's Corporation | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
SBUX Starbucks Corporation | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 10% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 2025-07 XLY 10, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Dec 12, 2013, corresponding to the inception date of HLT
Returns By Period
As of Apr 4, 2026, the 2025-07 XLY 10 returned -0.15% Year-To-Date and 27.39% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -2.33% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 29.73% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio 2025-07 XLY 10 | -1.00% | -4.16% | -0.15% | -5.60% | 26.12% | 25.72% | 18.40% | 27.39% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | -5.42% | -11.09% | -19.82% | -16.11% | 50.60% | 22.79% | 10.33% | 36.16% |
MCD McDonald's Corporation | -0.05% | -6.20% | 1.06% | 3.23% | 4.71% | 5.27% | 8.85% | 11.85% |
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | 0.23% | -8.87% | -21.50% | -22.26% | -1.34% | 17.04% | 12.39% | 12.79% |
SBUX Starbucks Corporation | -0.07% | -8.43% | 8.01% | 6.01% | 13.11% | -2.45% | -1.51% | 6.36% |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | -0.74% | -3.12% | 0.23% | -12.76% | -1.34% | 16.47% | 21.98% | 17.55% |
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | -3.00% | -2.83% | -1.39% | -12.12% | 56.02% | 63.32% | 26.42% | 14.06% |
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | -1.07% | -0.78% | 6.21% | 18.12% | 46.33% | 30.13% | 20.49% | 46.39% |
AZO AutoZone, Inc. | -0.76% | -9.13% | 0.27% | -19.32% | -6.92% | 10.63% | 19.10% | 15.67% |
GRMN Garmin Ltd. | 0.03% | -0.67% | 17.60% | -6.80% | 35.36% | 35.67% | 14.83% | 22.75% |
EBAY eBay Inc. | 1.08% | 1.52% | 8.44% | 2.84% | 52.99% | 30.97% | 10.24% | 16.01% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Dec 13, 2013, 2025-07 XLY 10's average daily return is +0.10%, while the average monthly return is +2.11%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.8 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Jan 2017 with a return of +60.1%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -21.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, 2025-07 XLY 10 closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Jan 4, 2017 with a return of +57.8%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -13.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.30% | 1.64% | -5.96% | 0.16% | -0.15% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 5.99% | 0.30% | -4.95% | -0.91% | 7.83% | 3.30% | 3.31% | 5.71% | 1.37% | -7.24% | 1.69% | -0.18% | 16.25% |
| 2024 | -2.46% | 5.78% | 3.52% | -3.58% | 0.88% | 4.38% | 3.32% | 4.87% | 5.88% | 1.74% | 11.36% | -1.15% | 39.32% |
| 2023 | 13.87% | 2.81% | 0.19% | 1.58% | -0.42% | 9.93% | 2.26% | -1.51% | -2.57% | -4.99% | 11.85% | 5.69% | 43.72% |
| 2022 | -6.52% | -5.00% | 6.42% | -7.96% | -3.86% | -10.92% | 11.30% | -2.97% | -5.72% | 12.54% | 6.25% | -8.02% | -16.60% |
| 2021 | -3.81% | 8.87% | 4.49% | 3.85% | -0.83% | 1.47% | 3.44% | 2.59% | 0.80% | 5.73% | -4.16% | 6.85% | 32.45% |
Benchmark Metrics
2025-07 XLY 10 has an annualized alpha of 14.18%, beta of 1.01, and R² of 0.45 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since December 13, 2013.
- This portfolio captured 148.45% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 87.40% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- R² of 0.45 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 14.18%
- Beta
- 1.01
- R²
- 0.45
- Upside Capture
- 148.45%
- Downside Capture
- 87.40%
Expense Ratio
2025-07 XLY 10 has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
2025-07 XLY 10 ranks 14 for risk / return — in the bottom 14% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.66 | 0.88 | -0.22 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.09 | 1.37 | -0.28 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.14 | 1.21 | -0.07 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.06 | 1.39 | -0.33 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 3.40 | 6.43 | -3.03 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 59 | 0.50 | 1.10 | 1.13 | 1.25 | 3.01 |
MCD McDonald's Corporation | 37 | 0.05 | 0.19 | 1.02 | 0.02 | 0.04 |
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | 26 | -0.31 | -0.23 | 0.97 | -0.30 | -0.76 |
SBUX Starbucks Corporation | 30 | -0.19 | -0.04 | 1.00 | -0.27 | -0.48 |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | 30 | -0.15 | -0.06 | 0.99 | -0.22 | -0.47 |
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | 60 | 0.64 | 1.27 | 1.16 | 1.03 | 2.10 |
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | 78 | 1.26 | 1.91 | 1.24 | 2.65 | 7.63 |
AZO AutoZone, Inc. | 22 | -0.43 | -0.42 | 0.95 | -0.42 | -0.91 |
GRMN Garmin Ltd. | 48 | 0.30 | 0.61 | 1.10 | 0.39 | 0.84 |
EBAY eBay Inc. | 73 | 1.12 | 1.65 | 1.25 | 1.97 | 4.18 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
2025-07 XLY 10 provided a 1.05% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.05% | 1.05% | 0.94% | 0.92% | 0.97% | 0.65% | 0.84% | 1.07% | 1.12% | 4.07% | 1.18% | 1.14% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
MCD McDonald's Corporation | 2.36% | 2.35% | 2.34% | 2.10% | 2.15% | 1.96% | 2.35% | 2.39% | 2.36% | 2.23% | 2.97% | 2.91% |
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | 0.94% | 0.72% | 0.70% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SBUX Starbucks Corporation | 2.72% | 2.91% | 2.54% | 2.25% | 2.02% | 1.57% | 1.57% | 1.69% | 2.05% | 1.83% | 1.53% | 1.13% |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | 1.55% | 1.25% | 0.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.04% | 2.22% | 2.66% | 1.81% | 2.08% | 1.33% |
HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | 0.20% | 0.21% | 0.24% | 0.33% | 0.36% | 0.00% | 0.13% | 0.54% | 0.84% | 31.40% | 1.03% | 0.65% |
AZO AutoZone, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GRMN Garmin Ltd. | 1.51% | 1.70% | 1.44% | 2.27% | 3.10% | 1.92% | 2.01% | 2.30% | 3.32% | 3.42% | 4.21% | 5.41% |
EBAY eBay Inc. | 1.25% | 1.33% | 1.74% | 2.29% | 2.12% | 1.08% | 1.27% | 1.55% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 2025-07 XLY 10. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 2025-07 XLY 10 was 42.60%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 53 trading sessions.
The current 2025-07 XLY 10 drawdown is 6.26%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -42.6% | Feb 20, 2020 | 23 | Mar 23, 2020 | 53 | Jun 8, 2020 | 76 |
| -29.94% | Nov 8, 2021 | 153 | Jun 16, 2022 | 243 | Jun 6, 2023 | 396 |
| -20.19% | Nov 9, 2015 | 62 | Feb 8, 2016 | 116 | Jul 25, 2016 | 178 |
| -18.25% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 38 | Jun 3, 2025 | 72 |
| -13.46% | Jul 20, 2015 | 26 | Aug 24, 2015 | 51 | Nov 4, 2015 | 77 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 10 assets, with an effective number of assets of 10.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | TSLA | AZO | MCD | EBAY | ORLY | RCL | GRMN | BKNG | SBUX | HLT | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.47 | 0.38 | 0.45 | 0.53 | 0.42 | 0.53 | 0.64 | 0.59 | 0.56 | 0.57 | 0.79 |
| TSLA | 0.47 | 1.00 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.29 | 0.13 | 0.30 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.61 |
| AZO | 0.38 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.18 | 0.30 | 0.22 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 0.48 |
| MCD | 0.45 | 0.15 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.35 | 0.25 | 0.30 | 0.28 | 0.47 | 0.31 | 0.48 |
| EBAY | 0.53 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.56 |
| ORLY | 0.42 | 0.13 | 0.75 | 0.35 | 0.27 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.32 | 0.26 | 0.36 | 0.29 | 0.51 |
| RCL | 0.53 | 0.30 | 0.18 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.50 | 0.36 | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| GRMN | 0.64 | 0.32 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.38 | 0.32 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 0.63 |
| BKNG | 0.59 | 0.34 | 0.22 | 0.28 | 0.36 | 0.26 | 0.50 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 0.53 | 0.66 |
| SBUX | 0.56 | 0.27 | 0.32 | 0.47 | 0.33 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.62 |
| HLT | 0.57 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.58 | 0.42 | 0.53 | 0.43 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Portfolio | 0.79 | 0.61 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 0.56 | 0.51 | 0.65 | 0.63 | 0.66 | 0.62 | 0.67 | 1.00 |