URAA vs. TMF
URAA (Direxion Daily Uranium Industry Bull 2X Shares) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - URAA is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the Solactive United States Uranium and Nuclear Energy ETF Select Index (200%), while TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past year, URAA returned 69.53% vs -3.14% for TMF. At a 0.04 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. URAA charges 1.28%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.
Performance
URAA vs. TMF - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, URAA achieves a 10.16% return, which is significantly higher than TMF's -5.59% return.
URAA
- 1D
- -1.33%
- 1M
- -16.02%
- YTD
- 10.16%
- 6M
- -9.50%
- 1Y
- 69.53%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
TMF
- 1D
- 0.57%
- 1M
- 0.40%
- YTD
- -5.59%
- 6M
- -9.73%
- 1Y
- -3.14%
- 3Y*
- -20.49%
- 5Y*
- -30.44%
- 10Y*
- -16.34%
URAA vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
URAA Direxion Daily Uranium Industry Bull 2X Shares | 10.16% | 88.33% | -26.53% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -5.59% | -2.94% | -19.74% |
Correlation
The correlation between URAA and TMF is 0.06, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.06 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 27, 2024 | 0.05 |
URAA vs. TMF - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
URAA
TMF
Energy
-
Industrials
-
Utilities
-
Basic Materials
-
Technology
-
Communication Services
-
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
-
Consumer Defensive
-
-
Financial Services
-
Healthcare
-
-
Real Estate
-
-
Energy
URAA
TMF
-
Industrials
URAA
TMF
-
Utilities
URAA
TMF
-
Basic Materials
URAA
TMF
-
Technology
URAA
TMF
-
Communication Services
URAA
-
TMF
-
Consumer Cyclical
URAA
-
TMF
-
Consumer Defensive
URAA
-
TMF
-
Financial Services
URAA
-
TMF
Healthcare
URAA
-
TMF
-
Real Estate
URAA
-
TMF
-
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Return for Risk
URAA vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank
URAA
TMF
URAA vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily Uranium Industry Bull 2X Shares (URAA) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| URAA | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.85 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +1.53 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.18 | 1.00 | +0.18 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.40 | -0.12 | +1.52 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 2.57 | -0.27 | +2.84 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| URAA | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.74 | -0.11 | +0.85 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | — | -0.65 | — |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | — | -0.37 | — |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.28 | -0.13 | +0.41 |
Drawdowns
URAA vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum URAA drawdown since its inception was -67.45%, smaller than the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for URAA and TMF.
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Drawdown Indicators
| URAA | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -67.45% | -92.89% | +25.44% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -49.91% | -26.51% | -23.40% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -56.31% | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -88.81% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -92.89% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -44.53% | -92.18% | +47.65% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -27.30% | -43.64% | +16.34% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 27.19% | 11.55% | +15.64% |
Volatility
URAA vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Daily Uranium Industry Bull 2X Shares (URAA) has a higher volatility of 28.36% compared to Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) at 7.99%. This indicates that URAA's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| URAA | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 28.36% | 7.99% | +20.37% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 72.56% | 19.02% | +53.54% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 94.12% | 28.76% | +65.36% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 88.87% | 46.72% | +42.15% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 88.87% | 43.91% | +44.96% |
URAA vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison
URAA has a 1.28% expense ratio, which is higher than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.
Dividends
URAA vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison
URAA's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 9.24%, more than TMF's 4.13% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.13% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
URAA Direxion Daily Uranium Industry Bull 2X Shares | 9.24% | 9.14% | 4.36% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
URAA and TMF have a correlation of 0.06, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
URAA has higher volatility (28.36%) compared to TMF (7.99%). In terms of maximum drawdown, URAA dropped -67.45% vs TMF's -92.89%.
On 1-year performance, URAA leads with 69.53% vs -3.14% for TMF. On fees, TMF is cheaper at 1.01% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 7.99%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, URAA has performed better with a 69.53% return vs -3.14%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TMF is cheaper with a 1.01% expense ratio, compared with 1.28% for URAA.
URAA has the higher dividend yield at 9.24%, compared with 4.13% for TMF.
URAA is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. URAA tracks Solactive United States Uranium and Nuclear Energy ETF Select Index (200%), while TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Their fees differ too: 1.28% for URAA and 1.01% for TMF.
URAA currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.74 vs -0.11), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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