UBT vs. ZROZ
UBT (ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury) and ZROZ (PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index Fund) are both exchange-traded funds - UBT is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Index (200%), while ZROZ is a Government Bonds fund tracking the ICE BofA Long U.S. Treasury Principal STRIPS Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, UBT returned -8.27%/yr vs -4.15%/yr for ZROZ. With a 0.97 correlation, they move nearly in lockstep. UBT charges 0.95%/yr vs 0.15%/yr for ZROZ.
Performance
UBT vs. ZROZ - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UBT achieves a -2.69% return, which is significantly lower than ZROZ's -1.07% return. Over the past 10 years, UBT has underperformed ZROZ with an annualized return of -8.27%, while ZROZ has yielded a comparatively higher -4.15% annualized return.
UBT
- 1D
- -0.74%
- 1M
- 1.08%
- YTD
- -2.69%
- 6M
- -6.59%
- 1Y
- 4.39%
- 3Y*
- -10.32%
- 5Y*
- -17.99%
- 10Y*
- -8.27%
ZROZ
- 1D
- -0.48%
- 1M
- 1.55%
- YTD
- -1.07%
- 6M
- -4.36%
- 1Y
- 3.89%
- 3Y*
- -7.39%
- 5Y*
- -11.62%
- 10Y*
- -4.15%
UBT vs. ZROZ - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UBT ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury | -2.69% | 2.03% | -21.81% | -3.68% | -55.54% | -12.14% | 31.87% | 24.46% | -6.54% | 16.12% |
ZROZ PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index Fund | -1.07% | -1.84% | -16.18% | 1.19% | -41.28% | -5.22% | 24.57% | 21.22% | -5.43% | 14.77% |
Correlation
The correlation between UBT and ZROZ is 0.97 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.97 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.98 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.98 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.98 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 22, 2010 | 0.97 |
The correlation between UBT and ZROZ has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.97 to 0.98 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
UBT vs. ZROZ — Risk / Return Rank
UBT
ZROZ
UBT vs. ZROZ - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) and PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index Fund (ZROZ). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| UBT | ZROZ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.23 | 0.24 | -0.01 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.46 | 0.47 | 0.00 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.05 | 1.05 | 0.00 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.26 | 0.28 | -0.02 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.63 | 0.64 | -0.01 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| UBT | ZROZ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.23 | 0.24 | -0.01 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.58 | -0.49 | -0.09 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.28 | -0.19 | -0.09 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.02 | 0.09 | -0.07 |
Drawdowns
UBT vs. ZROZ - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UBT drawdown since its inception was -78.90%, which is greater than ZROZ's maximum drawdown of -62.93%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UBT and ZROZ.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UBT | ZROZ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -78.90% | -62.93% | -15.97% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -16.86% | -14.02% | -2.84% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -36.62% | -28.62% | -8.00% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -72.49% | -57.98% | -14.51% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -78.90% | -62.93% | -15.97% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -76.66% | -59.93% | -16.73% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -32.30% | -24.04% | -8.26% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 7.01% | 6.12% | +0.89% |
Volatility
UBT vs. ZROZ - Volatility Comparison
ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) has a higher volatility of 5.41% compared to PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index Fund (ZROZ) at 4.46%. This indicates that UBT's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than ZROZ based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UBT | ZROZ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 5.41% | 4.46% | +0.95% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 12.78% | 10.54% | +2.24% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 19.41% | 16.25% | +3.16% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 31.33% | 23.90% | +7.43% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 29.31% | 22.06% | +7.25% |
UBT vs. ZROZ - Expense Ratio Comparison
UBT has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is higher than ZROZ's 0.15% expense ratio.
Dividends
UBT vs. ZROZ - Dividend Comparison
UBT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.99%, less than ZROZ's 5.15% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UBT ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury | 3.99% | 4.26% | 4.50% | 3.54% | 0.30% | 0.00% | 0.26% | 1.50% | 1.55% | 1.37% | 0.75% | 1.56% |
ZROZ PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index Fund | 5.15% | 4.96% | 4.58% | 3.52% | 2.76% | 1.60% | 1.68% | 2.22% | 2.06% | 2.53% | 3.00% | 2.98% |
Frequently Asked Questions
With a correlation of 0.97, UBT and ZROZ move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.
UBT has higher volatility (5.41%) compared to ZROZ (4.46%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UBT dropped -78.90% vs ZROZ's -62.93%.
On 10-year performance, ZROZ leads with -4.15% vs -8.27% for UBT. On fees, ZROZ is cheaper at 0.15% per year. On volatility, ZROZ has been the lower-risk option at 4.46%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, ZROZ has performed better with a -4.15% return vs -8.27%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
ZROZ is cheaper with a 0.15% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for UBT.
ZROZ has the higher dividend yield at 5.15%, compared with 3.99% for UBT.
UBT is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while ZROZ is Government Bonds. UBT tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Index (200%), while ZROZ tracks ICE BofA Long U.S. Treasury Principal STRIPS Index. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and PIMCO. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for UBT and 0.15% for ZROZ.
ZROZ currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.24 vs 0.23), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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