UBT vs. MSFT

Last updated Jun 4, 2026

UBT (ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury) is Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Index (200%), while MSFT (Microsoft Corporation) is a stock. Over the past 10 years, UBT returned -8.27%/yr vs 25.03%/yr for MSFT. At a correlation of -0.15, they often move in opposite directions.

Performance

UBT vs. MSFT - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) and Microsoft Corporation (MSFT). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, UBT achieves a -2.69% return, which is significantly higher than MSFT's -11.24% return. Over the past 10 years, UBT has underperformed MSFT with an annualized return of -8.27%, while MSFT has yielded a comparatively higher 25.03% annualized return.

UBT

• 1D: -0.74%
• 1M: 1.08%
• YTD: -2.69%
• 6M: -6.59%
• 1Y: 4.39%
• 3Y*: -10.32%
• 5Y*: -17.99%
• 10Y*: -8.27%

MSFT

• 1D: -3.17%
• 1M: 3.54%
• YTD: -11.24%
• 6M: -10.15%
• 1Y: -6.96%
• 3Y*: 9.26%
• 5Y*: 12.17%
• 10Y*: 25.03%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

UBT vs. MSFT - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
UBT ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury	-2.69%	2.03%	-21.81%	-3.68%	-55.54%	-12.14%	31.87%	24.46%	-6.54%	16.12%
MSFT Microsoft Corporation	-11.24%	15.58%	12.93%	58.19%	-28.02%	52.48%	42.53%	57.56%	20.80%	40.73%

Correlation

The correlation between UBT and MSFT is 0.07, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.07
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.04
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.04
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	-0.03
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 22, 2010	-0.15

The correlation between UBT and MSFT shifts across timeframes, from -0.15 (all time) to 0.07 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

Return for Risk

UBT vs. MSFT — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

UBT

UBT Risk / Return Rank: 11
UBT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 12
UBT Sortino Ratio Rank: 11
UBT Omega Ratio Rank: 11
UBT Calmar Ratio Rank: 12
UBT Martin Ratio Rank: 11

MSFT

MSFT Risk / Return Rank: 29
MSFT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 29
MSFT Sortino Ratio Rank: 25
MSFT Omega Ratio Rank: 25
MSFT Calmar Ratio Rank: 33
MSFT Martin Ratio Rank: 33

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

UBT vs. MSFT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) and Microsoft Corporation (MSFT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	UBT	MSFT	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	0.23	-0.28	+0.51
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	0.46	-0.21	+0.68
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.05	0.97	+0.08
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	0.26	-0.21	+0.47
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	0.63	-0.44	+1.06
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

UBT vs. MSFT - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current UBT Sharpe Ratio is 0.23, which is higher than the MSFT Sharpe Ratio of -0.28. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of UBT and MSFT, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	UBT	MSFT	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.23	-0.28	+0.51
Sharpe Ratio (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	-0.58	0.46	-1.04
Sharpe Ratio (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	-0.28	0.93	-1.21
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	0.02	0.75	-0.72

Drawdowns

UBT vs. MSFT - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum UBT drawdown since its inception was -78.90%, which is greater than MSFT's maximum drawdown of -69.38%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UBT and MSFT.

Drawdown Indicators

	UBT	MSFT	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-78.90%	-69.38%	-9.52%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-16.86%	-33.91%	+17.05%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-36.62%	-33.91%	-2.71%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-72.49%	-37.15%	-35.34%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-78.90%	-37.15%	-41.75%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-76.66%	-20.67%	-55.99%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-32.30%	-21.78%	-10.52%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	7.01%	15.95%	-8.94%

Volatility

UBT vs. MSFT - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) is 5.41%, while Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a volatility of 9.95%. This indicates that UBT experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than MSFT based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	UBT	MSFT	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	5.41%	9.95%	-4.54%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	12.78%	22.34%	-9.56%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	19.41%	25.12%	-5.71%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	31.33%	26.63%	+4.70%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	29.31%	27.04%	+2.27%

Dividends

UBT vs. MSFT - Dividend Comparison

UBT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.99%, more than MSFT's 0.83% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
MSFT Microsoft Corporation	0.83%	0.70%	0.73%	0.74%	1.06%	0.68%	0.94%	1.20%	1.69%	1.86%	2.37%	2.33%
UBT ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury	3.99%	4.26%	4.50%	3.54%	0.30%	0.00%	0.26%	1.50%	1.55%	1.37%	0.75%	1.56%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both UBT and MSFT in my portfolio?

UBT and MSFT have a correlation of 0.07, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, UBT or MSFT?

MSFT has higher volatility (9.95%) compared to UBT (5.41%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UBT dropped -78.90% vs MSFT's -69.38%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

UBT currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.23 vs -0.28), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.