UBT vs. DBC
UBT (ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury) and DBC (Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund) are both exchange-traded funds - UBT is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Index (200%), while DBC is a Commodities fund tracking the DBIQ Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Index Excess Return. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, UBT returned -8.66%/yr vs 8.43%/yr for DBC. At a correlation of -0.20, they often move in opposite directions. UBT charges 0.95%/yr vs 0.85%/yr for DBC.
Performance
UBT vs. DBC - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UBT achieves a -3.85% return, which is significantly lower than DBC's 30.46% return. Over the past 10 years, UBT has underperformed DBC with an annualized return of -8.66%, while DBC has yielded a comparatively higher 8.43% annualized return.
UBT
- 1D
- -0.81%
- 1M
- -1.43%
- YTD
- -3.85%
- 6M
- -5.86%
- 1Y
- 1.24%
- 3Y*
- -10.64%
- 5Y*
- -18.74%
- 10Y*
- -8.66%
DBC
- 1D
- 0.34%
- 1M
- -6.08%
- YTD
- 30.46%
- 6M
- 30.36%
- 1Y
- 39.46%
- 3Y*
- 13.72%
- 5Y*
- 11.77%
- 10Y*
- 8.43%
UBT vs. DBC - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UBT ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury | -3.85% | 2.03% | -21.81% | -3.68% | -55.54% | -12.14% | 31.87% | 24.46% | -6.54% | 16.12% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 30.46% | 8.10% | 2.18% | -6.19% | 19.34% | 41.36% | -7.84% | 11.84% | -11.63% | 4.86% |
Correlation
The correlation between UBT and DBC is -0.31, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.31 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.15 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.14 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.16 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 21, 2010 | -0.20 |
The correlation between UBT and DBC shifts across timeframes, from -0.31 (1 year) to -0.14 (5 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
UBT vs. DBC - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
UBT
DBC
Financial Services
Basic Materials
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-
Communication Services
-
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
-
Consumer Defensive
-
-
Energy
-
-
Healthcare
-
-
Industrials
-
-
Real Estate
-
-
Technology
-
-
Utilities
-
-
Financial Services
UBT
DBC
Basic Materials
UBT
-
DBC
-
Communication Services
UBT
-
DBC
-
Consumer Cyclical
UBT
-
DBC
-
Consumer Defensive
UBT
-
DBC
-
Energy
UBT
-
DBC
-
Healthcare
UBT
-
DBC
-
Industrials
UBT
-
DBC
-
Real Estate
UBT
-
DBC
-
Technology
UBT
-
DBC
-
Utilities
UBT
-
DBC
-
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Return for Risk
UBT vs. DBC — Risk / Return Rank
UBT
DBC
UBT vs. DBC - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) and Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| UBT | DBC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -2.03 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -2.50 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.03 | 1.36 | -0.34 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.07 | 4.80 | -4.72 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.17 | 11.41 | -11.24 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| UBT | DBC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.07 | 2.10 | -2.03 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.60 | 0.62 | -1.22 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.30 | 0.47 | -0.77 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.02 | 0.10 | -0.08 |
Drawdowns
UBT vs. DBC - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UBT drawdown since its inception was -78.90%, roughly equal to the maximum DBC drawdown of -76.36%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UBT and DBC.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UBT | DBC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -78.90% | -76.36% | -2.54% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -16.86% | -8.27% | -8.59% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -36.62% | -13.82% | -22.80% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -72.49% | -27.34% | -45.15% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -78.90% | -41.71% | -37.19% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -76.94% | -24.53% | -52.41% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -32.35% | -46.20% | +13.85% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 7.22% | 3.47% | +3.75% |
Volatility
UBT vs. DBC - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) is 5.02%, while Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC) has a volatility of 5.69%. This indicates that UBT experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than DBC based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UBT | DBC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 5.02% | 5.69% | -0.67% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 12.80% | 16.02% | -3.22% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 19.05% | 18.93% | +0.12% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 31.30% | 19.21% | +12.09% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 29.31% | 17.82% | +11.49% |
UBT vs. DBC - Expense Ratio Comparison
UBT has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is higher than DBC's 0.85% expense ratio.
Dividends
UBT vs. DBC - Dividend Comparison
UBT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.04%, more than DBC's 2.55% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 2.55% | 3.33% | 5.22% | 4.94% | 0.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.59% | 1.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UBT ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury | 4.04% | 4.26% | 4.50% | 3.54% | 0.30% | 0.00% | 0.26% | 1.50% | 1.55% | 1.37% | 0.75% | 1.56% |
Frequently Asked Questions
UBT and DBC have a correlation of -0.31, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
DBC has higher volatility (5.69%) compared to UBT (5.02%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UBT dropped -78.90% vs DBC's -76.36%.
On 10-year performance, DBC leads with 8.43% vs -8.66% for UBT. On fees, DBC is cheaper at 0.85% per year. On volatility, UBT has been the lower-risk option at 5.02%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, DBC has performed better with a 8.43% return vs -8.66%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
DBC is cheaper with a 0.85% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for UBT.
UBT has the higher dividend yield at 4.04%, compared with 2.55% for DBC.
UBT is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while DBC is Commodities. UBT tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Index (200%), while DBC tracks DBIQ Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Index Excess Return. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Invesco. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for UBT and 0.85% for DBC.
DBC currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.10 vs 0.07), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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