UBOT vs. TMF
UBOT (Direxion Robotics, Artificial Intelligence & Automation Index Bull 3X Shares) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - UBOT is a Robotics fund tracking the Indxx Global Robotics & Artificial Intelligence Thematic Index (300%), while TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 5 years, UBOT returned -9.18%/yr vs -33.43%/yr for TMF. At a correlation of -0.05, they often move in opposite directions. UBOT charges 1.29%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.
Performance
UBOT vs. TMF - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UBOT achieves a -8.40% return, which is significantly higher than TMF's -9.97% return.
UBOT
- 1D
- 0.95%
- 1M
- -12.31%
- 6M
- -16.43%
- YTD
- -8.40%
- 1Y
- 10.17%
- 3Y*
- 1.06%
- 5Y*
- -9.18%
- 10Y*
- —
TMF
- 1D
- 0.39%
- 1M
- -5.05%
- 6M
- -13.00%
- YTD
- -9.97%
- 1Y
- -2.56%
- 3Y*
- -21.07%
- 5Y*
- -33.43%
- 10Y*
- -17.84%
UBOT vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UBOT Direxion Robotics, Artificial Intelligence & Automation Index Bull 3X Shares | -8.40% | 13.42% | 12.02% | 72.59% | -72.45% | 9.78% | 80.13% | 87.34% | -71.74% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -9.97% | -2.94% | -35.95% | -13.01% | -72.60% | -19.80% | 39.02% | 34.75% | 4.54% |
Correlation
The correlation between UBOT and TMF is 0.21, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.21 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.16 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.09 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 19, 2018 | -0.05 |
The correlation between UBOT and TMF shifts across timeframes, from -0.05 (all time) to 0.21 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
UBOT vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank
UBOT
TMF
UBOT vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Robotics, Artificial Intelligence & Automation Index Bull 3X Shares (UBOT) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| UBOT | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.29 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.59 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.08 | 1.01 | +0.07 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.28 | -0.10 | +0.38 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.76 | -0.20 | +0.96 |
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Drawdowns
UBOT vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UBOT drawdown since its inception was -86.24%, smaller than the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UBOT and TMF.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UBOT | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -86.24% | -92.89% | +6.65% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -35.90% | -26.51% | -9.39% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -51.64% | -55.14% | +3.50% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -82.90% | -88.81% | +5.91% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -92.89% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -55.65% | -92.55% | +36.90% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -49.84% | -43.93% | -5.91% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 13.34% | 12.98% | +0.36% |
Volatility
UBOT vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Robotics, Artificial Intelligence & Automation Index Bull 3X Shares (UBOT) has a higher volatility of 19.65% compared to Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) at 7.49%. This indicates that UBOT's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UBOT | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 19.65% | 7.49% | +12.16% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 41.91% | 19.83% | +22.08% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 52.10% | 27.57% | +24.53% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 53.86% | 46.49% | +7.37% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 63.57% | 43.71% | +19.86% |
UBOT vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison
UBOT has a 1.29% expense ratio, which is higher than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.
Dividends
UBOT vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison
UBOT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.08%, less than TMF's 4.39% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.39% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
UBOT Direxion Robotics, Artificial Intelligence & Automation Index Bull 3X Shares | 1.08% | 0.78% | 1.45% | 0.65% | 0.00% | 2.25% | 15.83% | 0.55% | 0.33% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
UBOT and TMF have a correlation of 0.21, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
UBOT has higher volatility (19.65%) compared to TMF (7.49%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UBOT dropped -86.24% vs TMF's -92.89%.
On 5-year performance, UBOT leads with -9.18% vs -33.43% for TMF. On fees, TMF is cheaper at 1.01% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 7.49%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 5-year period, UBOT has performed better with a -9.18% return vs -33.43%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TMF is cheaper with a 1.01% expense ratio, compared with 1.29% for UBOT.
TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.39%, compared with 1.08% for UBOT.
UBOT is categorized as Robotics, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. UBOT tracks Indxx Global Robotics & Artificial Intelligence Thematic Index (300%), while TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Their fees differ too: 1.29% for UBOT and 1.01% for TMF.
UBOT currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.20 vs -0.09), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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