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TUA vs. IBTM
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

TUA vs. IBTM - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) and iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Treasury ETF (IBTM). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, TUA achieves a -5.38% return, which is significantly lower than IBTM's -0.50% return.


TUA

1D
-0.39%
1M
-0.91%
YTD
-5.38%
6M
-5.28%
1Y
-1.78%
3Y*
-0.88%
5Y*
10Y*

IBTM

1D
-0.18%
1M
-0.15%
YTD
-0.50%
6M
-0.81%
1Y
3.93%
3Y*
2.68%
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

TUA vs. IBTM - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)2025202420232022
TUA
Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF
-5.38%7.27%-3.59%-2.04%-0.81%
IBTM
iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Treasury ETF
-0.50%8.06%-0.14%3.48%0.02%

Correlation

The correlation between TUA and IBTM is 0.91, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.91

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.83

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 16, 2022

0.84

The correlation between TUA and IBTM has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.83 to 0.91 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

TUA vs. IBTM — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

TUA
TUA Risk / Return Rank: 66
Overall Rank
TUA Sharpe Ratio Rank: 66
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TUA Sortino Ratio Rank: 55
Sortino Ratio Rank
TUA Omega Ratio Rank: 55
Omega Ratio Rank
TUA Calmar Ratio Rank: 66
Calmar Ratio Rank
TUA Martin Ratio Rank: 55
Martin Ratio Rank

IBTM
IBTM Risk / Return Rank: 2626
Overall Rank
IBTM Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2727
Sharpe Ratio Rank
IBTM Sortino Ratio Rank: 2727
Sortino Ratio Rank
IBTM Omega Ratio Rank: 2525
Omega Ratio Rank
IBTM Calmar Ratio Rank: 2626
Calmar Ratio Rank
IBTM Martin Ratio Rank: 2626
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

TUA vs. IBTM - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) and iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Treasury ETF (IBTM). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


TUAIBTMDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-1.23

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-1.79

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.96

1.17

-0.20

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.27

1.21

-1.48

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-0.71

3.51

-4.21

TUA vs. IBTM - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current TUA Sharpe Ratio is -0.26, which is lower than the IBTM Sharpe Ratio of 0.96. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of TUA and IBTM, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


TUAIBTMDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.26

0.96

-1.23

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

-0.13

0.20

-0.33

Drawdowns

TUA vs. IBTM - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum TUA drawdown since its inception was -15.85%, which is greater than IBTM's maximum drawdown of -13.60%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TUA and IBTM.


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Drawdown Indicators


TUAIBTMDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-15.85%

-13.60%

-2.25%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-6.68%

-3.26%

-3.42%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-9.14%

-7.86%

-1.28%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-10.05%

-2.38%

-7.67%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-8.37%

-4.82%

-3.55%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

2.53%

1.12%

+1.41%

Volatility

TUA vs. IBTM - Volatility Comparison

Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) has a higher volatility of 1.95% compared to iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Treasury ETF (IBTM) at 1.20%. This indicates that TUA's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than IBTM based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


TUAIBTMDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

1.95%

1.20%

+0.75%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

4.84%

2.75%

+2.09%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

6.85%

4.09%

+2.76%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

10.76%

7.56%

+3.20%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

10.76%

7.56%

+3.20%

TUA vs. IBTM - Expense Ratio Comparison

TUA has a 0.16% expense ratio, which is higher than IBTM's 0.07% expense ratio. However, both funds are considered low-cost compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios usually range from 0.3% to 0.9%.


Dividends

TUA vs. IBTM - Dividend Comparison

TUA's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.56%, less than IBTM's 3.95% yield.


PositionTTM2025202420232022
IBTM
iShares iBonds Dec 2032 Term Treasury ETF
3.95%3.87%3.96%3.39%1.38%
TUA
Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF
3.56%3.84%5.19%4.83%0.15%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.91, TUA and IBTM move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

TUA has higher volatility (1.95%) compared to IBTM (1.20%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TUA dropped -15.85% vs IBTM's -13.60%.

On 3-year performance, IBTM leads with 2.68% vs -0.88% for TUA. On fees, IBTM is cheaper at 0.07% per year. On volatility, IBTM has been the lower-risk option at 1.20%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 3-year period, IBTM has performed better with a 2.68% return vs -0.88%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

IBTM is cheaper with a 0.07% expense ratio, compared with 0.16% for TUA.

IBTM has the higher dividend yield at 3.95%, compared with 3.56% for TUA.

They also come from different issuers: Simplify and iShares. Their fees differ too: 0.16% for TUA and 0.07% for IBTM.

IBTM currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.96 vs -0.26), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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