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TUA vs. HARD
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

TUA vs. HARD - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) and Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF (HARD). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, TUA achieves a -5.24% return, which is significantly lower than HARD's 8.63% return.


TUA

1D
-0.27%
1M
-0.34%
YTD
-5.24%
6M
-4.70%
1Y
-1.82%
3Y*
-0.12%
5Y*
10Y*

HARD

1D
-1.27%
1M
-11.36%
YTD
8.63%
6M
9.40%
1Y
11.32%
3Y*
11.25%
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

TUA vs. HARD - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023
TUA
Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF
-5.24%7.27%-3.59%-6.18%
HARD
Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF
8.63%12.19%20.48%-5.04%

Correlation

The correlation between TUA and HARD is -0.18, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.18

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

-0.06

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 28, 2023

-0.05

The correlation between TUA and HARD shifts across timeframes, from -0.18 (1 year) to -0.05 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

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Return for Risk

TUA vs. HARD — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

TUA
TUA Risk / Return Rank: 66
Overall Rank
TUA Sharpe Ratio Rank: 77
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TUA Sortino Ratio Rank: 66
Sortino Ratio Rank
TUA Omega Ratio Rank: 66
Omega Ratio Rank
TUA Calmar Ratio Rank: 77
Calmar Ratio Rank
TUA Martin Ratio Rank: 66
Martin Ratio Rank

HARD
HARD Risk / Return Rank: 1616
Overall Rank
HARD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1616
Sharpe Ratio Rank
HARD Sortino Ratio Rank: 1515
Sortino Ratio Rank
HARD Omega Ratio Rank: 1515
Omega Ratio Rank
HARD Calmar Ratio Rank: 1818
Calmar Ratio Rank
HARD Martin Ratio Rank: 1818
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

TUA vs. HARD - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) and Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF (HARD). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


TUAHARDDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.70

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-1.07

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.95

1.08

-0.13

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.32

0.65

-0.97

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-0.81

1.69

-2.50

TUA vs. HARD - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current TUA Sharpe Ratio is -0.33, which is lower than the HARD Sharpe Ratio of 0.37. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of TUA and HARD, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

TUA vs. HARD - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum TUA drawdown since its inception was -15.85%, roughly equal to the maximum HARD drawdown of -15.20%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TUA and HARD.


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Drawdown Indicators


TUAHARDDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-15.85%

-15.20%

-0.65%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-7.05%

-15.20%

+8.15%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-9.14%

-15.20%

+6.06%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-9.92%

-15.20%

+5.28%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-8.37%

-5.53%

-2.84%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

2.74%

5.84%

-3.10%

Volatility

TUA vs. HARD - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) is 2.35%, while Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF (HARD) has a volatility of 6.44%. This indicates that TUA experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than HARD based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


TUAHARDDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

2.35%

6.44%

-4.09%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

5.00%

21.87%

-16.87%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

6.84%

26.48%

-19.64%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

10.75%

19.08%

-8.33%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

10.75%

19.08%

-8.33%

TUA vs. HARD - Expense Ratio Comparison

TUA has a 0.16% expense ratio, which is lower than HARD's 0.75% expense ratio.


Dividends

TUA vs. HARD - Dividend Comparison

TUA's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.55%, more than HARD's 2.76% yield.


PositionTTM2025202420232022
HARD
Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF
2.76%2.36%3.51%1.95%0.00%
TUA
Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF
3.55%3.84%5.19%4.83%0.15%

Frequently Asked Questions


TUA and HARD have a correlation of -0.18, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

HARD has higher volatility (6.44%) compared to TUA (2.35%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TUA dropped -15.85% vs HARD's -15.20%.

On 3-year performance, HARD leads with 11.25% vs -0.12% for TUA. On fees, TUA is cheaper at 0.16% per year. On volatility, TUA has been the lower-risk option at 2.35%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 3-year period, HARD has performed better with a 11.25% return vs -0.12%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

TUA is cheaper with a 0.16% expense ratio, compared with 0.75% for HARD.

TUA has the higher dividend yield at 3.55%, compared with 2.76% for HARD.

TUA is categorized as Intermediate Core Bond, while HARD is Commodities. Their fees differ too: 0.16% for TUA and 0.75% for HARD.

HARD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.37 vs -0.33), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for TUA and HARD

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