TUA vs. HARD
TUA (Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF) and HARD (Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - TUA is a Intermediate Core Bond fund actively managed by Simplify, while HARD is a Commodities fund actively managed by Simplify. Both are actively managed. Over the past 3 years, TUA returned -0.12%/yr vs 11.25%/yr for HARD. At a correlation of -0.05, they often move in opposite directions. TUA charges 0.16%/yr vs 0.75%/yr for HARD.
Performance
TUA vs. HARD - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, TUA achieves a -5.24% return, which is significantly lower than HARD's 8.63% return.
TUA
- 1D
- -0.27%
- 1M
- -0.34%
- YTD
- -5.24%
- 6M
- -4.70%
- 1Y
- -1.82%
- 3Y*
- -0.12%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
HARD
- 1D
- -1.27%
- 1M
- -11.36%
- YTD
- 8.63%
- 6M
- 9.40%
- 1Y
- 11.32%
- 3Y*
- 11.25%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
TUA vs. HARD - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
TUA Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF | -5.24% | 7.27% | -3.59% | -6.18% |
HARD Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF | 8.63% | 12.19% | 20.48% | -5.04% |
Correlation
The correlation between TUA and HARD is -0.18, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.18 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.06 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 28, 2023 | -0.05 |
The correlation between TUA and HARD shifts across timeframes, from -0.18 (1 year) to -0.05 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
TUA vs. HARD — Risk / Return Rank
TUA
HARD
TUA vs. HARD - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) and Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF (HARD). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| TUA | HARD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.70 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.07 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.95 | 1.08 | -0.13 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.32 | 0.65 | -0.97 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.81 | 1.69 | -2.50 |
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Drawdowns
TUA vs. HARD - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum TUA drawdown since its inception was -15.85%, roughly equal to the maximum HARD drawdown of -15.20%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TUA and HARD.
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Drawdown Indicators
| TUA | HARD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -15.85% | -15.20% | -0.65% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -7.05% | -15.20% | +8.15% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -9.14% | -15.20% | +6.06% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -9.92% | -15.20% | +5.28% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -8.37% | -5.53% | -2.84% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 2.74% | 5.84% | -3.10% |
Volatility
TUA vs. HARD - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) is 2.35%, while Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF (HARD) has a volatility of 6.44%. This indicates that TUA experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than HARD based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| TUA | HARD | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 2.35% | 6.44% | -4.09% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 5.00% | 21.87% | -16.87% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 6.84% | 26.48% | -19.64% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 10.75% | 19.08% | -8.33% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 10.75% | 19.08% | -8.33% |
TUA vs. HARD - Expense Ratio Comparison
TUA has a 0.16% expense ratio, which is lower than HARD's 0.75% expense ratio.
Dividends
TUA vs. HARD - Dividend Comparison
TUA's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.55%, more than HARD's 2.76% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HARD Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF | 2.76% | 2.36% | 3.51% | 1.95% | 0.00% |
TUA Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF | 3.55% | 3.84% | 5.19% | 4.83% | 0.15% |
Frequently Asked Questions
TUA and HARD have a correlation of -0.18, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
HARD has higher volatility (6.44%) compared to TUA (2.35%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TUA dropped -15.85% vs HARD's -15.20%.
On 3-year performance, HARD leads with 11.25% vs -0.12% for TUA. On fees, TUA is cheaper at 0.16% per year. On volatility, TUA has been the lower-risk option at 2.35%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 3-year period, HARD has performed better with a 11.25% return vs -0.12%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TUA is cheaper with a 0.16% expense ratio, compared with 0.75% for HARD.
TUA has the higher dividend yield at 3.55%, compared with 2.76% for HARD.
TUA is categorized as Intermediate Core Bond, while HARD is Commodities. Their fees differ too: 0.16% for TUA and 0.75% for HARD.
HARD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.37 vs -0.33), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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