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TMV vs. SOXL
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

TMV vs. SOXL - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X (TMV) and Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF (SOXL). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, TMV achieves a 4.73% return, which is significantly lower than SOXL's 567.48% return. Over the past 10 years, TMV has underperformed SOXL with an annualized return of -0.80%, while SOXL has yielded a comparatively higher 65.39% annualized return.


TMV

1D
1.13%
1M
-1.68%
YTD
4.73%
6M
11.42%
1Y
-4.33%
3Y*
12.83%
5Y*
19.12%
10Y*
-0.80%

SOXL

1D
5.34%
1M
119.95%
YTD
567.48%
6M
502.28%
1Y
1,438.30%
3Y*
135.13%
5Y*
48.72%
10Y*
65.39%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

TMV vs. SOXL - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
TMV
Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X
4.73%-3.75%39.76%-9.69%150.18%0.83%-54.13%-34.22%3.99%-26.48%
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
567.48%54.91%-12.31%226.98%-85.66%118.84%70.04%231.83%-39.07%141.71%

Correlation

The correlation between TMV and SOXL is -0.09, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.09

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

-0.07

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.02

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.09

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 12, 2010

0.20

The correlation between TMV and SOXL shifts across timeframes, from -0.09 (1 year) to 0.20 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

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Return for Risk

TMV vs. SOXL — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

TMV
TMV Risk / Return Rank: 77
Overall Rank
TMV Sharpe Ratio Rank: 77
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TMV Sortino Ratio Rank: 77
Sortino Ratio Rank
TMV Omega Ratio Rank: 77
Omega Ratio Rank
TMV Calmar Ratio Rank: 77
Calmar Ratio Rank
TMV Martin Ratio Rank: 77
Martin Ratio Rank

SOXL
SOXL Risk / Return Rank: 9797
Overall Rank
SOXL Sharpe Ratio Rank: 100100
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SOXL Sortino Ratio Rank: 9595
Sortino Ratio Rank
SOXL Omega Ratio Rank: 9595
Omega Ratio Rank
SOXL Calmar Ratio Rank: 9999
Calmar Ratio Rank
SOXL Martin Ratio Rank: 9999
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

TMV vs. SOXL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X (TMV) and Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF (SOXL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


TMVSOXLDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-14.43

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-5.18

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.00

1.72

-0.72

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.20

33.47

-33.67

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-0.40

114.79

-115.18

TMV vs. SOXL - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current TMV Sharpe Ratio is -0.15, which is lower than the SOXL Sharpe Ratio of 14.28. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of TMV and SOXL, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


TMVSOXLDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.15

14.28

-14.43

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.41

0.46

-0.05

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.02

0.66

-0.68

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

-0.33

0.52

-0.84

Drawdowns

TMV vs. SOXL - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum TMV drawdown since its inception was -98.96%, which is greater than SOXL's maximum drawdown of -90.46%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TMV and SOXL.


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Drawdown Indicators


TMVSOXLDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-98.96%

-90.46%

-8.50%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-21.62%

-43.47%

+21.85%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-48.49%

-87.88%

+39.39%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-48.49%

-90.46%

+41.97%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-82.31%

-90.46%

+8.15%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-95.94%

0.00%

-95.94%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-86.60%

-35.01%

-51.59%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

11.13%

12.65%

-1.52%

Volatility

TMV vs. SOXL - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X (TMV) is 8.15%, while Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF (SOXL) has a volatility of 40.82%. This indicates that TMV experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than SOXL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


TMVSOXLDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

8.15%

40.82%

-32.67%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

19.18%

81.29%

-62.11%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

29.12%

102.11%

-72.99%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

47.21%

107.25%

-60.04%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

44.44%

99.04%

-54.60%

TMV vs. SOXL - Expense Ratio Comparison

TMV has a 1.04% expense ratio, which is higher than SOXL's 0.75% expense ratio.


Dividends

TMV vs. SOXL - Dividend Comparison

TMV's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.62%, more than SOXL's 0.03% yield.


PositionTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
0.03%0.34%1.18%0.51%1.07%0.04%0.05%0.38%1.30%0.09%4.84%
TMV
Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X
2.62%2.85%3.41%3.87%0.00%0.00%0.37%1.60%0.62%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


TMV and SOXL have a correlation of -0.09, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

SOXL has higher volatility (40.82%) compared to TMV (8.15%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TMV dropped -98.96% vs SOXL's -90.46%.

On 10-year performance, SOXL leads with 65.39% vs -0.80% for TMV. On fees, SOXL is cheaper at 0.75% per year. On volatility, TMV has been the lower-risk option at 8.15%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 10-year period, SOXL has performed better with a 65.39% return vs -0.80%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

SOXL is cheaper with a 0.75% expense ratio, compared with 1.04% for TMV.

TMV has the higher dividend yield at 2.62%, compared with 0.03% for SOXL.

TMV is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while SOXL is Leveraged Equities. TMV tracks NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index (-300%), while SOXL tracks ICE Semiconductor Index. Their fees differ too: 1.04% for TMV and 0.75% for SOXL.

SOXL currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (14.28 vs -0.15), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for TMV and SOXL

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