TMV vs. GDE
TMV (Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X) and GDE (WisdomTree Efficient Gold Plus Equity Strategy Fund) are both exchange-traded funds - TMV is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index (-300%), while GDE is a Gold fund actively managed by WisdomTree. TMV is passively managed, while GDE is actively managed. Over the past 3 years, TMV returned 12.91%/yr vs 40.84%/yr for GDE. At a correlation of -0.19, they often move in opposite directions. TMV charges 1.04%/yr vs 0.20%/yr for GDE.
Performance
TMV vs. GDE - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, TMV achieves a 1.44% return, which is significantly higher than GDE's -0.50% return.
TMV
- 1D
- -1.17%
- 1M
- -6.25%
- YTD
- 1.44%
- 6M
- 2.97%
- 1Y
- -1.80%
- 3Y*
- 12.91%
- 5Y*
- 20.39%
- 10Y*
- -0.46%
GDE
- 1D
- -3.14%
- 1M
- -10.04%
- YTD
- -0.50%
- 6M
- -5.03%
- 1Y
- 37.19%
- 3Y*
- 40.84%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
TMV vs. GDE - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TMV Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X | 1.44% | -3.75% | 39.76% | -9.69% | 90.32% |
GDE WisdomTree Efficient Gold Plus Equity Strategy Fund | -0.50% | 73.76% | 44.79% | 33.85% | -8.58% |
Correlation
The correlation between TMV and GDE is -0.19, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.19 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.18 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 17, 2022 | -0.19 |
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Return for Risk
TMV vs. GDE — Risk / Return Rank
TMV
GDE
TMV vs. GDE - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X (TMV) and WisdomTree Efficient Gold Plus Equity Strategy Fund (GDE). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| TMV | GDE | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.30 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.54 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.01 | 1.24 | -0.22 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.08 | 1.65 | -1.73 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.16 | 4.59 | -4.76 |
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Drawdowns
TMV vs. GDE - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum TMV drawdown since its inception was -98.96%, which is greater than GDE's maximum drawdown of -32.01%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TMV and GDE.
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Drawdown Indicators
| TMV | GDE | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -98.96% | -32.01% | -66.95% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -21.62% | -22.66% | +1.04% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -48.49% | -22.66% | -25.83% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -48.49% | — | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -82.31% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -96.06% | -19.50% | -76.56% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -86.61% | -7.97% | -78.64% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 11.09% | 8.12% | +2.97% |
Volatility
TMV vs. GDE - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X (TMV) is 6.55%, while WisdomTree Efficient Gold Plus Equity Strategy Fund (GDE) has a volatility of 11.41%. This indicates that TMV experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than GDE based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| TMV | GDE | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 6.55% | 11.41% | -4.86% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 19.56% | 26.51% | -6.95% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 28.25% | 30.33% | -2.08% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 47.05% | 27.15% | +19.90% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 44.38% | 27.15% | +17.23% |
TMV vs. GDE - Expense Ratio Comparison
TMV has a 1.04% expense ratio, which is higher than GDE's 0.20% expense ratio.
Dividends
TMV vs. GDE - Dividend Comparison
TMV's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.70%, less than GDE's 4.34% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GDE WisdomTree Efficient Gold Plus Equity Strategy Fund | 4.34% | 4.32% | 7.14% | 2.22% | 0.81% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TMV Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bear 3X | 2.70% | 2.85% | 3.41% | 3.87% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.37% | 1.60% | 0.62% |
Frequently Asked Questions
TMV and GDE have a correlation of -0.19, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
GDE has higher volatility (11.41%) compared to TMV (6.55%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TMV dropped -98.96% vs GDE's -32.01%.
On 3-year performance, GDE leads with 40.84% vs 12.91% for TMV. On fees, GDE is cheaper at 0.20% per year. On volatility, TMV has been the lower-risk option at 6.55%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 3-year period, GDE has performed better with a 40.84% return vs 12.91%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
GDE is cheaper with a 0.20% expense ratio, compared with 1.04% for TMV.
GDE has the higher dividend yield at 4.34%, compared with 2.70% for TMV.
TMV is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while GDE is Gold. They also come from different issuers: Direxion and WisdomTree. Their fees differ too: 1.04% for TMV and 0.20% for GDE.
GDE currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.23 vs -0.06), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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