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TMF vs. UVIX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

TMF vs. UVIX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) and 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, TMF achieves a -4.67% return, which is significantly higher than UVIX's -36.43% return.


TMF

1D
-0.62%
1M
4.96%
YTD
-4.67%
6M
-5.95%
1Y
-2.80%
3Y*
-21.07%
5Y*
-31.33%
10Y*
-16.87%

UVIX

1D
10.67%
1M
-21.26%
YTD
-36.43%
6M
-38.89%
1Y
-86.69%
3Y*
-80.80%
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

TMF vs. UVIX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)2025202420232022
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
-4.67%-2.94%-35.95%-13.01%-59.28%
UVIX
2x Long VIX Futures ETF
-36.43%-83.21%-75.24%-95.28%-61.86%

Correlation

The correlation between TMF and UVIX is -0.13, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.13

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

-0.11

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 30, 2022

-0.09

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Return for Risk

TMF vs. UVIX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

TMF
TMF Risk / Return Rank: 88
Overall Rank
TMF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 88
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TMF Sortino Ratio Rank: 88
Sortino Ratio Rank
TMF Omega Ratio Rank: 88
Omega Ratio Rank
TMF Calmar Ratio Rank: 88
Calmar Ratio Rank
TMF Martin Ratio Rank: 88
Martin Ratio Rank

UVIX
UVIX Risk / Return Rank: 11
Overall Rank
UVIX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 33
Sharpe Ratio Rank
UVIX Sortino Ratio Rank: 11
Sortino Ratio Rank
UVIX Omega Ratio Rank: 11
Omega Ratio Rank
UVIX Calmar Ratio Rank: 00
Calmar Ratio Rank
UVIX Martin Ratio Rank: 22
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

TMF vs. UVIX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) and 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


TMFUVIXDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.67

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+1.79

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.01

0.80

+0.20

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.11

-1.01

+0.90

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-0.23

-1.36

+1.13

TMF vs. UVIX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current TMF Sharpe Ratio is -0.10, which is higher than the UVIX Sharpe Ratio of -0.77. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of TMF and UVIX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

TMF vs. UVIX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum TMF drawdown since its inception was -92.89%, smaller than the maximum UVIX drawdown of -99.98%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TMF and UVIX.


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Drawdown Indicators


TMFUVIXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-92.89%

-99.98%

+7.09%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-26.51%

-86.20%

+59.69%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-56.09%

-99.36%

+43.27%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-88.81%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-92.89%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-92.11%

-99.97%

+7.86%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-43.76%

-88.58%

+44.82%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

12.26%

67.73%

-55.47%

Volatility

TMF vs. UVIX - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) is 6.50%, while 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX) has a volatility of 33.94%. This indicates that TMF experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than UVIX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


TMFUVIXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

6.50%

33.94%

-27.44%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

19.35%

87.40%

-68.05%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

27.91%

112.72%

-84.81%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

46.59%

136.13%

-89.54%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

43.86%

136.13%

-92.27%

TMF vs. UVIX - Expense Ratio Comparison

TMF has a 1.01% expense ratio, which is lower than UVIX's 2.78% expense ratio.


Dividends

TMF vs. UVIX - Dividend Comparison

TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.09%, while UVIX has not paid dividends to shareholders.


PositionTTM202520242023202220212020201920182017
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
4.09%4.06%4.29%2.82%1.62%0.13%2.23%0.94%1.49%0.41%
UVIX
2x Long VIX Futures ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


TMF and UVIX have a correlation of -0.13, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

UVIX has higher volatility (33.94%) compared to TMF (6.50%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TMF dropped -92.89% vs UVIX's -99.98%.

On 3-year performance, TMF leads with -21.07% vs -80.80% for UVIX. On fees, TMF is cheaper at 1.01% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 6.50%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 3-year period, TMF has performed better with a -21.07% return vs -80.80%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

TMF is cheaper with a 1.01% expense ratio, compared with 2.78% for UVIX.

TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.09%, compared with 0.00% for UVIX.

TMF is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while UVIX is Volatility. TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while UVIX tracks Long VIX Futures Index (200% Daily). They also come from different issuers: Direxion and Volatility Shares. Their fees differ too: 1.01% for TMF and 2.78% for UVIX.

TMF currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.10 vs -0.77), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for TMF and UVIX

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