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TMF vs. UVIX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

TMF vs. UVIX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X (TMF) and Volatility Shares 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, TMF achieves a -6.13% return, which is significantly higher than UVIX's -31.87% return.


TMF

1D
-1.14%
1M
1.22%
YTD
-6.13%
6M
-11.63%
1Y
0.90%
3Y*
-20.78%
5Y*
-30.52%
10Y*
-16.56%

UVIX

1D
-0.26%
1M
-29.01%
YTD
-31.87%
6M
-51.86%
1Y
-85.80%
3Y*
-82.43%
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

TMF vs. UVIX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)2025202420232022
TMF
Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X
-6.13%-2.94%-35.95%-13.01%-60.27%
UVIX
Volatility Shares 2x Long VIX Futures ETF
-31.87%-83.21%-75.24%-95.28%-62.08%

Correlation

The correlation between TMF and UVIX is -0.09, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.09

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

-0.11

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 31, 2022

-0.09

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Return for Risk

TMF vs. UVIX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

TMF
TMF Risk / Return Rank: 99
Overall Rank
TMF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 99
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TMF Sortino Ratio Rank: 99
Sortino Ratio Rank
TMF Omega Ratio Rank: 99
Omega Ratio Rank
TMF Calmar Ratio Rank: 99
Calmar Ratio Rank
TMF Martin Ratio Rank: 99
Martin Ratio Rank

UVIX
UVIX Risk / Return Rank: 22
Overall Rank
UVIX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 33
Sharpe Ratio Rank
UVIX Sortino Ratio Rank: 11
Sortino Ratio Rank
UVIX Omega Ratio Rank: 11
Omega Ratio Rank
UVIX Calmar Ratio Rank: 11
Calmar Ratio Rank
UVIX Martin Ratio Rank: 33
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

TMF vs. UVIX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X (TMF) and Volatility Shares 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


TMFUVIXDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.80

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+1.95

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.03

0.81

+0.22

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.03

-0.98

+1.02

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

0.08

-1.26

+1.34

TMF vs. UVIX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current TMF Sharpe Ratio is 0.03, which is higher than the UVIX Sharpe Ratio of -0.77. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of TMF and UVIX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


TMFUVIXDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.03

-0.77

+0.80

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.66

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.38

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

-0.14

-0.62

+0.48

Drawdowns

TMF vs. UVIX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum TMF drawdown since its inception was -92.89%, smaller than the maximum UVIX drawdown of -99.97%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TMF and UVIX.


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Drawdown Indicators


TMFUVIXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-92.89%

-99.97%

+7.08%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-26.51%

-87.35%

+60.84%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-56.31%

-99.44%

+43.13%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-88.81%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-92.89%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-92.23%

-99.97%

+7.74%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-43.63%

-88.52%

+44.89%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

11.49%

67.78%

-56.29%

Volatility

TMF vs. UVIX - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X (TMF) is 8.09%, while Volatility Shares 2x Long VIX Futures ETF (UVIX) has a volatility of 15.41%. This indicates that TMF experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than UVIX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


TMFUVIXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

8.09%

15.41%

-7.32%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

19.01%

82.35%

-63.34%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

28.76%

111.51%

-82.75%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

46.75%

136.15%

-89.40%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

43.92%

136.15%

-92.23%

TMF vs. UVIX - Expense Ratio Comparison

TMF has a 1.09% expense ratio, which is lower than UVIX's 2.78% expense ratio.


Dividends

TMF vs. UVIX - Dividend Comparison

TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.15%, while UVIX has not paid dividends to shareholders.


PositionTTM202520242023202220212020201920182017
TMF
Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X
4.15%4.06%4.29%2.82%1.62%0.13%2.23%0.94%1.49%0.41%
UVIX
Volatility Shares 2x Long VIX Futures ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


TMF and UVIX have a correlation of -0.09, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

UVIX has higher volatility (15.41%) compared to TMF (8.09%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TMF dropped -92.89% vs UVIX's -99.97%.

On 3-year performance, TMF leads with -20.78% vs -82.43% for UVIX. On fees, TMF is cheaper at 1.09% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 8.09%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 3-year period, TMF has performed better with a -20.78% return vs -82.43%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

TMF is cheaper with a 1.09% expense ratio, compared with 2.78% for UVIX.

TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.15%, compared with 0.00% for UVIX.

TMF is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while UVIX is Volatility. TMF tracks NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index (300%), while UVIX tracks Long VIX Futures Index – Benchmark TR Gross (200%). They also come from different issuers: Direxion and Volatility Shares. Their fees differ too: 1.09% for TMF and 2.78% for UVIX.

TMF currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.03 vs -0.77), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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