TMF vs. UTSL
TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) and UTSL (Direxion Daily Utilities Bull 3X Shares) are both exchange-traded funds - TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while UTSL is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the Utilities Select Sector Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 5 years, TMF returned -34.00%/yr vs 10.33%/yr for UTSL. At a 0.16 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. TMF charges 1.01%/yr vs 0.99%/yr for UTSL.
Performance
TMF vs. UTSL - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, TMF achieves a -11.93% return, which is significantly lower than UTSL's 9.61% return.
TMF
- 1D
- -1.01%
- 1M
- -10.16%
- 6M
- -9.78%
- YTD
- -11.93%
- 1Y
- -7.67%
- 3Y*
- -21.85%
- 5Y*
- -34.00%
- 10Y*
- -18.08%
- ALL TIME*
- -6.40%
UTSL
- 1D
- -0.02%
- 1M
- 1.69%
- 6M
- 8.72%
- YTD
- 9.61%
- 1Y
- 12.25%
- 3Y*
- 17.95%
- 5Y*
- 10.33%
- 10Y*
- —
- ALL TIME*
- 8.71%
TMF vs. UTSL - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -11.93% | -2.94% | -35.95% | -13.01% | -72.60% | -19.80% | 39.02% | 34.75% | -11.01% | 14.73% |
UTSL Direxion Daily Utilities Bull 3X Shares | 9.61% | 29.03% | 54.24% | -35.55% | -14.06% | 48.16% | -38.58% | 81.07% | -2.27% | 11.00% |
Correlation
The correlation between TMF and UTSL is 0.22, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.22 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.29 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.23 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since May 3, 2017 | 0.16 |
The correlation between TMF and UTSL shifts across timeframes, from 0.16 (all time) to 0.29 (3 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
TMF vs. UTSL — Risk / Return Rank
TMF
UTSL
TMF vs. UTSL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) and Direxion Daily Utilities Bull 3X Shares (UTSL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| TMF | UTSL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.56 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.89 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.98 | 1.08 | -0.11 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.29 | 0.43 | -0.72 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.58 | 0.83 | -1.40 |
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Drawdowns
TMF vs. UTSL - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum TMF drawdown since its inception was -92.89%, which is greater than UTSL's maximum drawdown of -79.55%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TMF and UTSL.
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Drawdown Indicators
| TMF | UTSL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -92.89% | -79.55% | -13.34% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -26.51% | -28.45% | +1.94% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -53.47% | -46.22% | -7.25% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -88.81% | -68.01% | -20.80% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -92.89% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -92.71% | -19.30% | -73.41% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -43.98% | -33.01% | -10.97% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 13.32% | 14.87% | -1.55% |
Volatility
TMF vs. UTSL - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) is 7.32%, while Direxion Daily Utilities Bull 3X Shares (UTSL) has a volatility of 12.77%. This indicates that TMF experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than UTSL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| TMF | UTSL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 7.32% | 12.77% | -5.45% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 19.81% | 35.46% | -15.65% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 27.58% | 44.31% | -16.73% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 46.37% | 52.02% | -5.65% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 43.72% | 59.08% | -15.36% |
TMF vs. UTSL - Expense Ratio Comparison
TMF has a 1.01% expense ratio, which is higher than UTSL's 0.99% expense ratio.
Dividends
TMF vs. UTSL - Dividend Comparison
TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.48%, more than UTSL's 1.60% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.48% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
UTSL Direxion Daily Utilities Bull 3X Shares | 1.60% | 1.69% | 1.61% | 3.61% | 1.15% | 1.19% | 1.40% | 5.01% | 1.46% | 0.57% |
Frequently Asked Questions
TMF and UTSL have a correlation of 0.22, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
UTSL has higher volatility (12.77%) compared to TMF (7.32%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TMF dropped -92.89% vs UTSL's -79.55%.
On 5-year performance, UTSL leads with 10.33% vs -34.00% for TMF. On fees, UTSL is cheaper at 0.99% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 7.32%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 5-year period, UTSL has performed better with a 10.33% return vs -34.00%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
UTSL is cheaper with a 0.99% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for TMF.
TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.48%, compared with 1.60% for UTSL.
TMF is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while UTSL is Leveraged Equities. TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while UTSL tracks Utilities Select Sector Index (300%). Their fees differ too: 1.01% for TMF and 0.99% for UTSL.
UTSL currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.28 vs -0.28), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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