TMF vs. UJB
TMF (Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X) and UJB (ProShares Ultra High Yield) are both Leveraged Bonds funds - TMF tracks the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index (300%) while UJB tracks the Markit iBoxx $ Liquid High Yield Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, TMF returned -16.56%/yr vs 6.36%/yr for UJB. At a 0.07 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. TMF charges 1.09%/yr vs 0.95%/yr for UJB.
Performance
TMF vs. UJB - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, TMF achieves a -6.13% return, which is significantly lower than UJB's 0.81% return. Over the past 10 years, TMF has underperformed UJB with an annualized return of -16.56%, while UJB has yielded a comparatively higher 6.36% annualized return.
TMF
- 1D
- -1.14%
- 1M
- 1.22%
- YTD
- -6.13%
- 6M
- -11.63%
- 1Y
- 0.90%
- 3Y*
- -20.78%
- 5Y*
- -30.52%
- 10Y*
- -16.56%
UJB
- 1D
- -0.45%
- 1M
- 0.33%
- YTD
- 0.81%
- 6M
- 1.28%
- 1Y
- 8.44%
- 3Y*
- 11.49%
- 5Y*
- 3.01%
- 10Y*
- 6.36%
TMF vs. UJB - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | -6.13% | -2.94% | -35.95% | -13.01% | -72.60% | -19.80% | 39.02% | 34.75% | -11.01% | 22.72% |
UJB ProShares Ultra High Yield | 0.81% | 12.22% | 9.41% | 17.70% | -23.27% | 6.96% | 5.19% | 26.68% | -6.08% | 11.77% |
Correlation
The correlation between TMF and UJB is 0.45, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.45 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.53 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.40 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.16 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 15, 2011 | 0.07 |
Over the past year, TMF and UJB have become more correlated (0.45) than their long-term average of 0.07, meaning their price movements have been converging.
TMF vs. UJB - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
TMF
UJB
Financial Services
-
Basic Materials
-
-
Communication Services
-
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
-
Consumer Defensive
-
-
Energy
-
Healthcare
-
-
Industrials
-
-
Real Estate
-
-
Technology
-
-
Utilities
-
-
Financial Services
TMF
UJB
-
Basic Materials
TMF
-
UJB
-
Communication Services
TMF
-
UJB
-
Consumer Cyclical
TMF
-
UJB
-
Consumer Defensive
TMF
-
UJB
-
Energy
TMF
-
UJB
Healthcare
TMF
-
UJB
-
Industrials
TMF
-
UJB
-
Real Estate
TMF
-
UJB
-
Technology
TMF
-
UJB
-
Utilities
TMF
-
UJB
-
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Return for Risk
TMF vs. UJB — Risk / Return Rank
TMF
UJB
TMF vs. UJB - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X (TMF) and ProShares Ultra High Yield (UJB). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| TMF | UJB | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.13 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.49 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.03 | 1.22 | -0.19 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.03 | 1.69 | -1.66 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.08 | 7.20 | -7.13 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| TMF | UJB | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.03 | 1.16 | -1.13 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.66 | 0.21 | -0.86 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.38 | 0.35 | -0.73 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | -0.14 | 0.33 | -0.47 |
Drawdowns
TMF vs. UJB - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum TMF drawdown since its inception was -92.89%, which is greater than UJB's maximum drawdown of -40.14%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TMF and UJB.
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Drawdown Indicators
| TMF | UJB | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -92.89% | -40.14% | -52.75% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -26.51% | -5.01% | -21.50% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -56.31% | -9.47% | -46.84% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -88.81% | -30.14% | -58.67% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -92.89% | -40.14% | -52.75% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -92.23% | -0.85% | -91.38% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -43.63% | -6.17% | -37.46% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 11.49% | 1.17% | +10.32% |
Volatility
TMF vs. UJB - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X (TMF) has a higher volatility of 8.09% compared to ProShares Ultra High Yield (UJB) at 2.29%. This indicates that TMF's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than UJB based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| TMF | UJB | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 8.09% | 2.29% | +5.80% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 19.01% | 5.76% | +13.25% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 28.76% | 7.29% | +21.47% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 46.75% | 14.67% | +32.08% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 43.92% | 18.28% | +25.64% |
TMF vs. UJB - Expense Ratio Comparison
TMF has a 1.09% expense ratio, which is higher than UJB's 0.95% expense ratio.
Dividends
TMF vs. UJB - Dividend Comparison
TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.15%, more than UJB's 3.35% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X | 4.15% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
UJB ProShares Ultra High Yield | 3.35% | 2.61% | 3.02% | 3.92% | 0.05% | 0.63% | 2.88% | 3.95% | 3.22% | 2.67% | 2.35% | 3.62% |
Frequently Asked Questions
TMF and UJB have a correlation of 0.45, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
TMF has higher volatility (8.09%) compared to UJB (2.29%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TMF dropped -92.89% vs UJB's -40.14%.
On 10-year performance, UJB leads with 6.36% vs -16.56% for TMF. On fees, UJB is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, UJB has been the lower-risk option at 2.29%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, UJB has performed better with a 6.36% return vs -16.56%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
UJB is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.09% for TMF.
TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.15%, compared with 3.35% for UJB.
TMF tracks NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index (300%), while UJB tracks Markit iBoxx $ Liquid High Yield Index. They also come from different issuers: Direxion and ProShares. Their fees differ too: 1.09% for TMF and 0.95% for UJB.
UJB currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.16 vs 0.03), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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