TMF vs. EURL
TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) and EURL (Direxion Daily FTSE Europe Bull 3x Shares) are both exchange-traded funds - TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while EURL is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the FTSE Developed Europe Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, TMF returned -18.08%/yr vs 10.87%/yr for EURL. At a correlation of -0.10, they often move in opposite directions. TMF charges 1.01%/yr vs 1.07%/yr for EURL.
Performance
TMF vs. EURL - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, TMF achieves a -11.93% return, which is significantly lower than EURL's 13.43% return. Over the past 10 years, TMF has underperformed EURL with an annualized return of -18.08%, while EURL has yielded a comparatively higher 10.87% annualized return.
TMF
- 1D
- -1.01%
- 1M
- -10.16%
- 6M
- -9.78%
- YTD
- -11.93%
- 1Y
- -7.67%
- 3Y*
- -21.85%
- 5Y*
- -34.00%
- 10Y*
- -18.08%
- ALL TIME*
- -6.40%
EURL
- 1D
- 3.50%
- 1M
- 0.26%
- 6M
- 8.58%
- YTD
- 13.43%
- 1Y
- 38.54%
- 3Y*
- 27.58%
- 5Y*
- 7.62%
- 10Y*
- 10.87%
- ALL TIME*
- 2.52%
TMF vs. EURL - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -11.93% | -2.94% | -35.95% | -13.01% | -72.60% | -19.80% | 39.02% | 34.75% | -11.01% | 22.72% |
EURL Direxion Daily FTSE Europe Bull 3x Shares | 13.43% | 105.85% | -11.42% | 44.19% | -54.41% | 46.59% | -23.19% | 72.61% | -46.39% | 91.32% |
Correlation
The correlation between TMF and EURL is 0.35, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.35 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.29 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.16 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.03 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 22, 2014 | -0.10 |
The correlation between TMF and EURL shifts across timeframes, from -0.10 (all time) to 0.35 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
TMF vs. EURL — Risk / Return Rank
TMF
EURL
TMF vs. EURL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) and Direxion Daily FTSE Europe Bull 3x Shares (EURL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| TMF | EURL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.09 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.60 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.98 | 1.16 | -0.19 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.29 | 1.17 | -1.46 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.58 | 3.55 | -4.12 |
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Drawdowns
TMF vs. EURL - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum TMF drawdown since its inception was -92.89%, which is greater than EURL's maximum drawdown of -84.65%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TMF and EURL.
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Drawdown Indicators
| TMF | EURL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -92.89% | -84.65% | -8.24% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -26.51% | -33.05% | +6.54% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -53.47% | -38.81% | -14.66% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -88.81% | -75.24% | -13.57% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -92.89% | -84.65% | -8.24% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -92.71% | -9.00% | -83.71% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -43.98% | -36.70% | -7.28% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 13.32% | 10.89% | +2.43% |
Volatility
TMF vs. EURL - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) is 7.32%, while Direxion Daily FTSE Europe Bull 3x Shares (EURL) has a volatility of 11.85%. This indicates that TMF experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than EURL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| TMF | EURL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 7.32% | 11.85% | -4.53% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 19.81% | 41.44% | -21.63% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 27.58% | 47.96% | -20.38% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 46.37% | 53.42% | -7.05% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 43.72% | 54.44% | -10.72% |
TMF vs. EURL - Expense Ratio Comparison
TMF has a 1.01% expense ratio, which is lower than EURL's 1.07% expense ratio.
Dividends
TMF vs. EURL - Dividend Comparison
TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.48%, more than EURL's 1.59% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
EURL Direxion Daily FTSE Europe Bull 3x Shares | 1.59% | 1.50% | 3.51% | 2.50% | 1.80% | 0.33% | 0.41% | 1.17% | 3.07% | 0.38% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.48% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
Frequently Asked Questions
TMF and EURL have a correlation of 0.35, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
EURL has higher volatility (11.85%) compared to TMF (7.32%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TMF dropped -92.89% vs EURL's -84.65%.
On 10-year performance, EURL leads with 10.87% vs -18.08% for TMF. On fees, TMF is cheaper at 1.01% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 7.32%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, EURL has performed better with a 10.87% return vs -18.08%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TMF is cheaper with a 1.01% expense ratio, compared with 1.07% for EURL.
TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.48%, compared with 1.59% for EURL.
TMF is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while EURL is Leveraged Equities. TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while EURL tracks FTSE Developed Europe Index (300%). Their fees differ too: 1.01% for TMF and 1.07% for EURL.
EURL currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.81 vs -0.28), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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