TMF vs. DFEN
TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) and DFEN (Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares) are both exchange-traded funds - TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while DFEN is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Select Aerospace & Defense Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 5 years, TMF returned -31.43%/yr vs 28.61%/yr for DFEN. At a correlation of -0.12, they often move in opposite directions. TMF charges 1.01%/yr vs 0.99%/yr for DFEN.
Performance
TMF vs. DFEN - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, TMF achieves a -6.85% return, which is significantly lower than DFEN's 9.17% return.
TMF
- 1D
- 1.71%
- 1M
- -2.92%
- YTD
- -6.85%
- 6M
- -8.82%
- 1Y
- -1.07%
- 3Y*
- -20.85%
- 5Y*
- -31.43%
- 10Y*
- -16.90%
DFEN
- 1D
- 4.22%
- 1M
- 7.12%
- YTD
- 9.17%
- 6M
- 28.36%
- 1Y
- 61.29%
- 3Y*
- 63.30%
- 5Y*
- 28.61%
- 10Y*
- —
TMF vs. DFEN - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -6.85% | -2.94% | -35.95% | -13.01% | -72.60% | -19.80% | 39.02% | 34.75% | -11.01% | 14.73% |
DFEN Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares | 9.17% | 156.62% | 27.07% | 24.70% | 6.99% | 12.72% | -70.23% | 95.09% | -32.86% | 83.64% |
Correlation
The correlation between TMF and DFEN is 0.13, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.13 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.10 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.00 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since May 3, 2017 | -0.12 |
The correlation between TMF and DFEN shifts across timeframes, from -0.12 (all time) to 0.13 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
TMF vs. DFEN - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
TMF
DFEN
Financial Services
-
Basic Materials
-
-
Communication Services
-
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
-
Consumer Defensive
-
-
Energy
-
-
Healthcare
-
-
Industrials
-
Real Estate
-
-
Technology
-
Utilities
-
-
Financial Services
TMF
DFEN
-
Basic Materials
TMF
-
DFEN
-
Communication Services
TMF
-
DFEN
-
Consumer Cyclical
TMF
-
DFEN
-
Consumer Defensive
TMF
-
DFEN
-
Energy
TMF
-
DFEN
-
Healthcare
TMF
-
DFEN
-
Industrials
TMF
-
DFEN
Real Estate
TMF
-
DFEN
-
Technology
TMF
-
DFEN
Utilities
TMF
-
DFEN
-
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Return for Risk
TMF vs. DFEN — Risk / Return Rank
TMF
DFEN
TMF vs. DFEN - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) and Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (DFEN). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| TMF | DFEN | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.00 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.47 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.02 | 1.19 | -0.17 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.04 | 1.48 | -1.52 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.09 | 3.47 | -3.56 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| TMF | DFEN | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.04 | 0.96 | -1.00 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.68 | 0.48 | -1.15 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.39 | — | — |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | -0.14 | 0.22 | -0.36 |
Drawdowns
TMF vs. DFEN - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum TMF drawdown since its inception was -92.89%, roughly equal to the maximum DFEN drawdown of -91.36%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TMF and DFEN.
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Drawdown Indicators
| TMF | DFEN | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -92.89% | -91.36% | -1.53% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -26.51% | -41.75% | +15.24% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -56.31% | -43.13% | -13.18% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -88.81% | -55.30% | -33.51% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -92.89% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -92.29% | -28.46% | -63.83% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -43.66% | -45.22% | +1.56% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 11.77% | 17.75% | -5.98% |
Volatility
TMF vs. DFEN - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) is 7.87%, while Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares (DFEN) has a volatility of 22.05%. This indicates that TMF experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than DFEN based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| TMF | DFEN | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 7.87% | 22.05% | -14.18% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 19.09% | 53.67% | -34.58% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 28.24% | 64.00% | -35.76% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 46.71% | 60.30% | -13.59% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 43.92% | 71.49% | -27.57% |
TMF vs. DFEN - Expense Ratio Comparison
TMF has a 1.01% expense ratio, which is higher than DFEN's 0.99% expense ratio.
Dividends
TMF vs. DFEN - Dividend Comparison
TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.19%, less than DFEN's 8.18% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DFEN Direxion Daily Aerospace & Defense Bull 3X Shares | 8.18% | 8.89% | 14.12% | 1.13% | 0.46% | 1.89% | 0.48% | 0.50% | 1.07% | 1.50% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.19% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
Frequently Asked Questions
TMF and DFEN have a correlation of 0.13, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
DFEN has higher volatility (22.05%) compared to TMF (7.87%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TMF dropped -92.89% vs DFEN's -91.36%.
On 5-year performance, DFEN leads with 28.61% vs -31.43% for TMF. On fees, DFEN is cheaper at 0.99% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 7.87%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 5-year period, DFEN has performed better with a 28.61% return vs -31.43%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
DFEN is cheaper with a 0.99% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for TMF.
DFEN has the higher dividend yield at 8.18%, compared with 4.19% for TMF.
TMF is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while DFEN is Leveraged Equities. TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while DFEN tracks Dow Jones U.S. Select Aerospace & Defense Index (300%). Their fees differ too: 1.01% for TMF and 0.99% for DFEN.
DFEN currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.96 vs -0.04), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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