TECS vs. TMF
TECS (Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - TECS is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the Technology Select Sector Index (-300%), while TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, TECS returned -62.40%/yr vs -16.87%/yr for TMF. At a 0.20 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. TECS charges 1.08%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.
Performance
TECS vs. TMF - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, TECS achieves a -60.06% return, which is significantly lower than TMF's -4.67% return. Over the past 10 years, TECS has underperformed TMF with an annualized return of -62.40%, while TMF has yielded a comparatively higher -16.87% annualized return.
TECS
- 1D
- 11.54%
- 1M
- -13.82%
- YTD
- -60.06%
- 6M
- -58.34%
- 1Y
- -76.73%
- 3Y*
- -62.98%
- 5Y*
- -57.09%
- 10Y*
- -62.40%
TMF
- 1D
- -0.62%
- 1M
- 4.96%
- YTD
- -4.67%
- 6M
- -5.95%
- 1Y
- -2.80%
- 3Y*
- -21.07%
- 5Y*
- -31.33%
- 10Y*
- -16.87%
TECS vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TECS Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares | -60.06% | -62.44% | -49.76% | -74.45% | 45.05% | -67.92% | -87.79% | -73.77% | -19.14% | -60.81% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -4.67% | -2.94% | -35.95% | -13.01% | -72.60% | -19.80% | 39.02% | 34.75% | -11.01% | 22.72% |
Correlation
The correlation between TECS and TMF is -0.12, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.12 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.10 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.05 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.05 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 16, 2009 | 0.20 |
The correlation between TECS and TMF shifts across timeframes, from -0.12 (1 year) to 0.20 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
TECS vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank
TECS
TMF
TECS vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares (TECS) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| TECS | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.00 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -2.45 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.75 | 1.01 | -0.26 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.98 | -0.11 | -0.87 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.86 | -0.23 | -1.63 |
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Drawdowns
TECS vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum TECS drawdown since its inception was -100.00%, which is greater than TMF's maximum drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TECS and TMF.
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Drawdown Indicators
| TECS | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -100.00% | -92.89% | -7.11% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -78.66% | -26.51% | -52.15% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -96.22% | -56.09% | -40.13% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -98.82% | -88.81% | -10.01% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -100.00% | -92.89% | -7.11% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -100.00% | -92.11% | -7.89% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -96.76% | -43.76% | -53.00% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 43.87% | 12.26% | +31.61% |
Volatility
TECS vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares (TECS) has a higher volatility of 36.37% compared to Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) at 6.50%. This indicates that TECS's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| TECS | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 36.37% | 6.50% | +29.87% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 58.81% | 19.35% | +39.46% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 70.17% | 27.91% | +42.26% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 75.65% | 46.59% | +29.06% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 72.84% | 43.86% | +28.98% |
TECS vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison
TECS has a 1.08% expense ratio, which is higher than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.
Dividends
TECS vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison
TECS's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 9.75%, more than TMF's 4.09% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TECS Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3X Shares | 9.75% | 5.83% | 5.24% | 7.52% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.50% | 2.40% | 0.72% | 0.00% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.09% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
Frequently Asked Questions
TECS and TMF have a correlation of -0.12, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
TECS has higher volatility (36.37%) compared to TMF (6.50%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TECS dropped -100.00% vs TMF's -92.89%.
On 10-year performance, TMF leads with -16.87% vs -62.40% for TECS. On fees, TMF is cheaper at 1.01% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 6.50%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, TMF has performed better with a -16.87% return vs -62.40%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TMF is cheaper with a 1.01% expense ratio, compared with 1.08% for TECS.
TECS has the higher dividend yield at 9.75%, compared with 4.09% for TMF.
TECS is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. TECS tracks Technology Select Sector Index (-300%), while TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Their fees differ too: 1.08% for TECS and 1.01% for TMF.
TMF currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.10 vs -1.10), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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