QQQD vs. MGC
QQQD (Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bear 1X Shares) and MGC (Vanguard Mega Cap ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - QQQD is a Inverse Equities fund tracking the Indxx Magnificent 7 Index (-100%), while MGC is a Large Cap Blend Equities fund tracking the CRSP US Mega Cap Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past year, QQQD returned -16.58% vs 22.16% for MGC. At a correlation of -0.85, they often move in opposite directions. QQQD charges 0.57%/yr vs 0.05%/yr for MGC.
Performance
QQQD vs. MGC - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, QQQD achieves a -2.58% return, which is significantly lower than MGC's 10.09% return.
QQQD
- 1D
- 1.30%
- 1M
- -2.56%
- 6M
- -4.14%
- YTD
- -2.58%
- 1Y
- -16.58%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
MGC
- 1D
- -0.71%
- 1M
- 0.29%
- 6M
- 9.19%
- YTD
- 10.09%
- 1Y
- 22.16%
- 3Y*
- 21.42%
- 5Y*
- 13.79%
- 10Y*
- 15.89%
QQQD vs. MGC - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
QQQD Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bear 1X Shares | -2.58% | -20.32% | -27.75% |
MGC Vanguard Mega Cap ETF | 10.09% | 19.31% | 18.00% |
Correlation
The correlation between QQQD and MGC is -0.86, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.86 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 7, 2024 | -0.85 |
The correlation between QQQD and MGC has been stable across timeframes, ranging from -0.86 to -0.85 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
QQQD vs. MGC — Risk / Return Rank
QQQD
MGC
QQQD vs. MGC - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bear 1X Shares (QQQD) and Vanguard Mega Cap ETF (MGC). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| QQQD | MGC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -2.46 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -3.37 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.89 | 1.30 | -0.41 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.76 | 2.26 | -3.02 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.29 | 9.43 | -10.72 |
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Drawdowns
QQQD vs. MGC - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum QQQD drawdown since its inception was -49.47%, smaller than the maximum MGC drawdown of -52.26%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for QQQD and MGC.
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Drawdown Indicators
| QQQD | MGC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -49.47% | -52.26% | +2.79% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -21.94% | -9.85% | -12.09% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -19.28% | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -25.74% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -33.07% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -47.33% | -1.43% | -45.90% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -31.02% | -7.15% | -23.87% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 12.85% | 2.36% | +10.49% |
Volatility
QQQD vs. MGC - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bear 1X Shares (QQQD) has a higher volatility of 7.77% compared to Vanguard Mega Cap ETF (MGC) at 3.77%. This indicates that QQQD's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than MGC based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| QQQD | MGC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 7.77% | 3.77% | +4.00% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 16.79% | 10.53% | +6.26% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 21.50% | 13.18% | +8.32% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 26.82% | 17.41% | +9.41% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 26.82% | 18.22% | +8.60% |
QQQD vs. MGC - Expense Ratio Comparison
QQQD has a 0.57% expense ratio, which is higher than MGC's 0.05% expense ratio.
Dividends
QQQD vs. MGC - Dividend Comparison
QQQD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.16%, more than MGC's 0.91% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MGC Vanguard Mega Cap ETF | 0.91% | 0.93% | 1.15% | 1.35% | 1.65% | 1.17% | 1.45% | 1.81% | 2.10% | 1.83% | 2.14% | 2.11% |
QQQD Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bear 1X Shares | 3.16% | 4.33% | 5.17% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
QQQD and MGC have a correlation of -0.86, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
QQQD has higher volatility (7.77%) compared to MGC (3.77%). In terms of maximum drawdown, QQQD dropped -49.47% vs MGC's -52.26%.
On 1-year performance, MGC leads with 22.16% vs -16.58% for QQQD. On fees, MGC is cheaper at 0.05% per year. On volatility, MGC has been the lower-risk option at 3.77%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, MGC has performed better with a 22.16% return vs -16.58%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
MGC is cheaper with a 0.05% expense ratio, compared with 0.57% for QQQD.
QQQD has the higher dividend yield at 3.16%, compared with 0.91% for MGC.
QQQD is categorized as Inverse Equities, while MGC is Large Cap Blend Equities. QQQD tracks Indxx Magnificent 7 Index (-100%), while MGC tracks CRSP US Mega Cap Index. They also come from different issuers: Direxion and Vanguard. Their fees differ too: 0.57% for QQQD and 0.05% for MGC.
MGC currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.69 vs -0.77), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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