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QQQ vs. UST
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

QQQ vs. UST - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) and ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, QQQ achieves a 16.71% return, which is significantly higher than UST's -3.85% return. Over the past 10 years, QQQ has outperformed UST with an annualized return of 21.59%, while UST has yielded a comparatively lower -2.33% annualized return.


QQQ

1D
1.56%
1M
0.68%
YTD
16.71%
6M
15.00%
1Y
35.78%
3Y*
27.15%
5Y*
16.98%
10Y*
21.59%

UST

1D
-0.17%
1M
-2.60%
YTD
-3.85%
6M
-3.76%
1Y
3.53%
3Y*
-0.56%
5Y*
-7.13%
10Y*
-2.33%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

QQQ vs. UST - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
16.71%20.77%25.58%54.86%-32.58%27.42%48.62%38.96%-0.13%32.66%
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
-3.85%10.26%-6.19%0.16%-30.19%-7.81%18.83%13.34%-1.09%3.21%

Correlation

The correlation between QQQ and UST is 0.16, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.16

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.08

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.07

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.05

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 3, 2010

-0.19

The correlation between QQQ and UST shifts across timeframes, from -0.19 (all time) to 0.16 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

QQQ vs. UST - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
QQQ
UST

Technology

53.8%

-

Communication Services

15.8%

-

Consumer Cyclical

12.3%

-

Consumer Defensive

7.7%

-

Healthcare

4.2%

-

Industrials

2.8%

-

Utilities

1.4%

-

Basic Materials

1.1%

-

Energy

0.6%

-

Financial Services

0.2%
96.7%

Real Estate

0.1%

-

Technology

QQQ
53.8%
UST

-

Communication Services

QQQ
15.8%
UST

-

Consumer Cyclical

QQQ
12.3%
UST

-

Consumer Defensive

QQQ
7.7%
UST

-

Healthcare

QQQ
4.2%
UST

-

Industrials

QQQ
2.8%
UST

-

Utilities

QQQ
1.4%
UST

-

Basic Materials

QQQ
1.1%
UST

-

Energy

QQQ
0.6%
UST

-

Financial Services

QQQ
0.2%
UST
96.7%

Real Estate

QQQ
0.1%
UST

-

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Return for Risk

QQQ vs. UST — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

QQQ
QQQ Risk / Return Rank: 6969
Overall Rank
QQQ Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7474
Sharpe Ratio Rank
QQQ Sortino Ratio Rank: 6767
Sortino Ratio Rank
QQQ Omega Ratio Rank: 7070
Omega Ratio Rank
QQQ Calmar Ratio Rank: 6666
Calmar Ratio Rank
QQQ Martin Ratio Rank: 6868
Martin Ratio Rank

UST
UST Risk / Return Rank: 1515
Overall Rank
UST Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1616
Sharpe Ratio Rank
UST Sortino Ratio Rank: 1515
Sortino Ratio Rank
UST Omega Ratio Rank: 1414
Omega Ratio Rank
UST Calmar Ratio Rank: 1515
Calmar Ratio Rank
UST Martin Ratio Rank: 1515
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

QQQ vs. UST - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) and ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


QQQUSTDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+1.77

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+2.16

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.38

1.07

+0.31

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

3.00

0.41

+2.60

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

11.43

1.14

+10.30

QQQ vs. UST - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current QQQ Sharpe Ratio is 2.15, which is higher than the UST Sharpe Ratio of 0.38. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of QQQ and UST, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


QQQUSTDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.15

0.38

+1.77

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.76

-0.46

+1.22

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.97

-0.18

+1.15

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.40

0.19

+0.22

Drawdowns

QQQ vs. UST - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum QQQ drawdown since its inception was -82.97%, which is greater than UST's maximum drawdown of -47.99%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for QQQ and UST.


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Drawdown Indicators


QQQUSTDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-82.97%

-47.99%

-34.98%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-11.96%

-8.75%

-3.21%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-22.77%

-16.74%

-6.03%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-35.12%

-43.97%

+8.85%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-35.12%

-47.99%

+12.87%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-4.03%

-38.94%

+34.91%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-32.77%

-15.14%

-17.63%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

3.14%

3.11%

+0.03%

Volatility

QQQ vs. UST - Volatility Comparison

Invesco QQQ ETF (QQQ) has a higher volatility of 6.84% compared to ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) at 3.02%. This indicates that QQQ's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than UST based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


QQQUSTDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

6.84%

3.02%

+3.82%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

13.20%

6.64%

+6.56%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

16.74%

9.29%

+7.45%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

22.49%

15.47%

+7.02%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

22.36%

13.18%

+9.18%

QQQ vs. UST - Expense Ratio Comparison

QQQ has a 0.18% expense ratio, which is lower than UST's 0.95% expense ratio.


Dividends

QQQ vs. UST - Dividend Comparison

QQQ's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.39%, less than UST's 3.52% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.39%0.45%0.56%0.62%0.80%0.43%0.55%0.74%0.91%0.84%1.06%0.99%
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
3.52%3.65%4.09%3.49%0.47%0.27%0.53%1.42%1.71%0.84%0.64%0.75%

Frequently Asked Questions


QQQ and UST have a correlation of 0.16, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

QQQ has higher volatility (6.84%) compared to UST (3.02%). In terms of maximum drawdown, QQQ dropped -82.97% vs UST's -47.99%.

On 10-year performance, QQQ leads with 21.59% vs -2.33% for UST. On fees, QQQ is cheaper at 0.18% per year. On volatility, UST has been the lower-risk option at 3.02%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 10-year period, QQQ has performed better with a 21.59% return vs -2.33%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

QQQ is cheaper with a 0.18% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for UST.

UST has the higher dividend yield at 3.52%, compared with 0.39% for QQQ.

QQQ is categorized as Nasdaq-100, while UST is Leveraged Bonds. QQQ tracks NASDAQ-100 Index, while UST tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%). They also come from different issuers: Invesco and ProShares. Their fees differ too: 0.18% for QQQ and 0.95% for UST.

QQQ currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.15 vs 0.38), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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