PLTU vs. TMF
PLTU (Direxion Daily PLTR Bull 2X ETF) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - PLTU is a Leveraged Equities fund actively managed by Direxion, while TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). PLTU is actively managed, while TMF is passively managed. Over the past year, PLTU returned -45.63% vs -16.55% for TMF. Their -0.05 correlation means they have often moved in opposite directions in the past. PLTU charges 0.86%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.
Performance
PLTU vs. TMF - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, PLTU achieves a -41.29% return, which is significantly lower than TMF's -13.43% return.
PLTU
- 1D
- -5.09%
- 1M
- 31.95%
- 6M
- 0.05%
- YTD
- -41.29%
- 1Y
- -45.63%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
- ALL TIME*
- 60.34%
TMF
- 1D
- 0.70%
- 1M
- -8.20%
- 6M
- -11.46%
- YTD
- -13.43%
- 1Y
- -16.55%
- 3Y*
- -18.06%
- 5Y*
- -33.81%
- 10Y*
- -18.10%
- ALL TIME*
- -6.47%
Liquidity Comparison
| Position | Avg. Volume Value (2W) | Avg. Volume Value (1M) | Avg. Volume Value (3M) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $128.32M | $105.18M | $113.60M | |
| $174.56M | $137.48M | $128.85M |
PLTU vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
PLTU Direxion Daily PLTR Bull 2X ETF | -41.29% | 223.17% | 14.77% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -13.43% | -2.94% | -17.20% |
Correlation
The correlation between PLTU and TMF is 0.03, meaning there was essentially no consistent relationship between their historical price movements. Each responded to its own set of market drivers.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most. | 0.03 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 11, 2024 | -0.05 |
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Return for Risk
PLTU vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank
PLTU
TMF
PLTU vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily PLTR Bull 2X ETF (PLTU) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| PLTU | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.23 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.80 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.01 | 0.92 | +0.09 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.58 | -0.58 | 0.00 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.93 | -1.16 | +0.22 |
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Drawdowns
PLTU vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum PLTU drawdown since its inception was -79.43%, smaller than the maximum TMF drawdown of -93.10%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for PLTU and TMF.
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Drawdown Indicators
| PLTU | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -79.43% | -93.10% | +13.67% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -79.43% | -28.69% | -50.74% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -50.64% | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -89.14% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -93.10% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -59.18% | -92.83% | +33.65% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -35.85% | -44.10% | +8.25% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 48.98% | 14.40% | +34.58% |
Volatility
PLTU vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Daily PLTR Bull 2X ETF (PLTU) has a higher volatility of 53.82% compared to Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) at 7.36%. This indicates that PLTU's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| PLTU | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 53.82% | 7.36% | +46.46% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 92.81% | 20.07% | +72.74% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 119.30% | 27.13% | +92.17% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 132.75% | 46.38% | +86.37% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 132.75% | 43.69% | +89.06% |
PLTU vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison
PLTU has a 0.86% expense ratio, which is lower than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.
Dividends
PLTU vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison
PLTU's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 40.61%, more than TMF's 4.56% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PLTU Direxion Daily PLTR Bull 2X ETF | 40.61% | 23.29% | 0.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.56% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
Frequently Asked Questions
PLTU and TMF have a correlation of 0.03, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
PLTU has higher volatility (53.82%) compared to TMF (7.36%). In terms of maximum drawdown, PLTU dropped -79.43% vs TMF's -93.10%.
On 1-year performance, TMF leads with -16.55% vs -45.63% for PLTU. On fees, PLTU is cheaper at 0.86% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 7.36%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, TMF has performed better with a -16.55% return vs -45.63%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
PLTU is cheaper with a 0.86% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for TMF.
PLTU has the higher dividend yield at 40.61%, compared with 4.56% for TMF.
PLTU is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. Their fees differ too: 0.86% for PLTU and 1.01% for TMF.
PLTU currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.39 vs -0.61), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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