PLTU vs. TMF
PLTU (Direxion Daily PLTR Bull 2X Shares) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - PLTU is a Leveraged Equities fund actively managed by Direxion, while TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). PLTU is actively managed, while TMF is passively managed. Over the past year, PLTU returned -52.46% vs -2.80% for TMF. At a correlation of -0.04, they often move in opposite directions. PLTU charges 0.97%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.
Performance
PLTU vs. TMF - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, PLTU achieves a -65.11% return, which is significantly lower than TMF's -4.67% return.
PLTU
- 1D
- -5.56%
- 1M
- -30.96%
- YTD
- -65.11%
- 6M
- -70.86%
- 1Y
- -52.46%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
TMF
- 1D
- -0.62%
- 1M
- 4.96%
- YTD
- -4.67%
- 6M
- -5.95%
- 1Y
- -2.80%
- 3Y*
- -21.07%
- 5Y*
- -31.33%
- 10Y*
- -16.87%
PLTU vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
PLTU Direxion Daily PLTR Bull 2X Shares | -65.11% | 223.17% | 14.77% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -4.67% | -2.94% | -17.20% |
Correlation
The correlation between PLTU and TMF is 0.05, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.05 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 11, 2024 | -0.04 |
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Return for Risk
PLTU vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank
PLTU
TMF
PLTU vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily PLTR Bull 2X Shares (PLTU) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| PLTU | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.41 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.32 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.97 | 1.01 | -0.04 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.69 | -0.11 | -0.59 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.24 | -0.23 | -1.01 |
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Drawdowns
PLTU vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum PLTU drawdown since its inception was -75.74%, smaller than the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for PLTU and TMF.
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Drawdown Indicators
| PLTU | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -75.74% | -92.89% | +17.15% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -75.74% | -26.51% | -49.23% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -56.09% | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -88.81% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -92.89% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -75.74% | -92.11% | +16.37% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -33.07% | -43.76% | +10.69% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 42.43% | 12.26% | +30.17% |
Volatility
PLTU vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Daily PLTR Bull 2X Shares (PLTU) has a higher volatility of 38.01% compared to Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) at 6.50%. This indicates that PLTU's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| PLTU | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 38.01% | 6.50% | +31.51% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 77.85% | 19.35% | +58.50% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 102.74% | 27.91% | +74.83% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 126.48% | 46.59% | +79.89% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 126.48% | 43.86% | +82.62% |
PLTU vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison
PLTU has a 0.97% expense ratio, which is lower than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.
Dividends
PLTU vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison
PLTU's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 68.15%, more than TMF's 4.09% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PLTU Direxion Daily PLTR Bull 2X Shares | 68.15% | 23.29% | 0.12% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.09% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
Frequently Asked Questions
PLTU and TMF have a correlation of 0.05, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
PLTU has higher volatility (38.01%) compared to TMF (6.50%). In terms of maximum drawdown, PLTU dropped -75.74% vs TMF's -92.89%.
On 1-year performance, TMF leads with -2.80% vs -52.46% for PLTU. On fees, PLTU is cheaper at 0.97% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 6.50%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, TMF has performed better with a -2.80% return vs -52.46%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
PLTU is cheaper with a 0.97% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for TMF.
PLTU has the higher dividend yield at 68.15%, compared with 4.09% for TMF.
PLTU is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. Their fees differ too: 0.97% for PLTU and 1.01% for TMF.
TMF currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.10 vs -0.51), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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