ORCU vs. TMF

Last updated Jun 4, 2026

ORCU (Direxion Daily ORCL Bull 2X ETF) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - ORCU is a Leveraged Equities fund actively managed by Direxion, while TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). ORCU is actively managed, while TMF is passively managed. At a 0.19 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. ORCU charges 0.97%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.

Performance

ORCU vs. TMF - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily ORCL Bull 2X ETF (ORCU) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, ORCU achieves a 17.65% return, which is significantly higher than TMF's -5.59% return.

ORCU

• 1D: -11.68%
• 1M: 56.16%
• YTD: 17.65%
• 6M: -0.60%
• 1Y: —
• 3Y*: —
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

TMF

• 1D: 0.57%
• 1M: 0.40%
• YTD: -5.59%
• 6M: -9.73%
• 1Y: -3.14%
• 3Y*: -20.49%
• 5Y*: -30.44%
• 10Y*: -16.34%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

ORCU vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025
ORCU Direxion Daily ORCL Bull 2X ETF	17.65%	-29.42%
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF	-5.59%	-4.94%

Correlation

The correlation between ORCU and TMF is 0.19, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.

	Correlation
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 20, 2025	0.19

Return for Risk

ORCU vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

TMF

TMF Risk / Return Rank: 8
TMF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8
TMF Sortino Ratio Rank: 8
TMF Omega Ratio Rank: 8
TMF Calmar Ratio Rank: 8
TMF Martin Ratio Rank: 8

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

ORCU vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily ORCL Bull 2X ETF (ORCU) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Risk / return metrics aren't available yet — we need at least 12 months of trading data to calculate them.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	ORCU	TMF	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	—	-0.11	—
Sharpe Ratio (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	—	-0.65	—
Sharpe Ratio (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	—	-0.37	—
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	-0.25	-0.13	-0.12

Drawdowns

ORCU vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum ORCU drawdown since its inception was -67.67%, smaller than the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for ORCU and TMF.

Drawdown Indicators

	ORCU	TMF	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-67.67%	-92.89%	+25.22%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	—	-26.51%	—
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	—	-56.31%	—
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	—	-88.81%	—
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	—	-92.89%	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-16.96%	-92.18%	+75.22%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-43.89%	-43.64%	-0.25%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	—	11.55%	—

Volatility

Volatility by Period

	ORCU	TMF	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	—	7.99%	—
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	—	19.02%	—
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	118.61%	28.76%	+89.85%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	118.61%	46.72%	+71.89%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	118.61%	43.91%	+74.70%

ORCU vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison

ORCU has a 0.97% expense ratio, which is lower than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.

Dividends

ORCU vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison

ORCU's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.45%, less than TMF's 4.13% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
ORCU Direxion Daily ORCL Bull 2X ETF	0.45%	0.17%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF	4.13%	4.06%	4.29%	2.82%	1.62%	0.13%	2.23%	0.94%	1.49%	0.41%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both ORCU and TMF in my portfolio?

ORCU and TMF have a correlation of 0.19, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which ETF is better, ORCU or TMF?

On fees, ORCU is cheaper at 0.97% per year. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF is cheaper, ORCU or TMF?

ORCU is cheaper with a 0.97% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for TMF.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, ORCU or TMF?

TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.13%, compared with 0.45% for ORCU.

What is the main difference between ORCU and TMF?

ORCU is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. Their fees differ too: 0.97% for ORCU and 1.01% for TMF.