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NVD vs. MSFD
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

NVD vs. MSFD - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in GraniteShares 2x Short NVDA Daily ETF (NVD) and Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, NVD achieves a -37.20% return, which is significantly lower than MSFD's 10.13% return.


NVD

1D
-3.65%
1M
-22.72%
YTD
-37.20%
6M
-40.09%
1Y
-68.07%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*

MSFD

1D
-0.27%
1M
-4.61%
YTD
10.13%
6M
9.68%
1Y
7.32%
3Y*
-7.21%
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

NVD vs. MSFD - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023
NVD
GraniteShares 2x Short NVDA Daily ETF
-37.20%-73.27%-93.09%-15.28%
MSFD
Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares
10.13%-13.36%-7.86%-13.00%

Correlation

The correlation between NVD and MSFD is 0.41, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.41

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 23, 2023

0.50

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Return for Risk

NVD vs. MSFD — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

NVD
NVD Risk / Return Rank: 11
Overall Rank
NVD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 11
Sharpe Ratio Rank
NVD Sortino Ratio Rank: 11
Sortino Ratio Rank
NVD Omega Ratio Rank: 11
Omega Ratio Rank
NVD Calmar Ratio Rank: 11
Calmar Ratio Rank
NVD Martin Ratio Rank: 22
Martin Ratio Rank

MSFD
MSFD Risk / Return Rank: 1414
Overall Rank
MSFD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1414
Sharpe Ratio Rank
MSFD Sortino Ratio Rank: 1515
Sortino Ratio Rank
MSFD Omega Ratio Rank: 1515
Omega Ratio Rank
MSFD Calmar Ratio Rank: 1313
Calmar Ratio Rank
MSFD Martin Ratio Rank: 1414
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

NVD vs. MSFD - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for GraniteShares 2x Short NVDA Daily ETF (NVD) and Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


NVDMSFDDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-1.29

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-2.38

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.81

1.08

-0.27

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.94

0.32

-1.26

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-1.42

0.90

-2.32

NVD vs. MSFD - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current NVD Sharpe Ratio is -1.00, which is lower than the MSFD Sharpe Ratio of 0.29. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of NVD and MSFD, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


NVDMSFDDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-1.00

0.29

-1.29

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

-0.88

-0.51

-0.36

Drawdowns

NVD vs. MSFD - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum NVD drawdown since its inception was -99.26%, which is greater than MSFD's maximum drawdown of -59.90%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for NVD and MSFD.


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Drawdown Indicators


NVDMSFDDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-99.26%

-59.90%

-39.36%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-72.64%

-23.25%

-49.39%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-40.50%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-99.15%

-50.33%

-48.82%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-81.68%

-41.60%

-40.08%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

47.83%

8.40%

+39.43%

Volatility

NVD vs. MSFD - Volatility Comparison

GraniteShares 2x Short NVDA Daily ETF (NVD) has a higher volatility of 25.96% compared to Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD) at 10.09%. This indicates that NVD's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than MSFD based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


NVDMSFDDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

25.96%

10.09%

+15.87%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

52.11%

22.05%

+30.06%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

68.48%

25.32%

+43.16%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

92.55%

26.14%

+66.41%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

92.55%

26.14%

+66.41%

NVD vs. MSFD - Expense Ratio Comparison

NVD has a 1.50% expense ratio, which is higher than MSFD's 1.06% expense ratio.


Dividends

NVD vs. MSFD - Dividend Comparison

NVD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 18.83%, more than MSFD's 2.84% yield.


PositionTTM2025202420232022
MSFD
Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares
2.84%3.33%4.46%4.43%0.74%
NVD
GraniteShares 2x Short NVDA Daily ETF
18.83%11.83%8.68%15.78%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


NVD and MSFD have a correlation of 0.41, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

NVD has higher volatility (25.96%) compared to MSFD (10.09%). In terms of maximum drawdown, NVD dropped -99.26% vs MSFD's -59.90%.

On 1-year performance, MSFD leads with 7.32% vs -68.07% for NVD. On fees, MSFD is cheaper at 1.06% per year. On volatility, MSFD has been the lower-risk option at 10.09%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, MSFD has performed better with a 7.32% return vs -68.07%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

MSFD is cheaper with a 1.06% expense ratio, compared with 1.50% for NVD.

NVD has the higher dividend yield at 18.83%, compared with 2.84% for MSFD.

They also come from different issuers: GraniteShares and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 1.50% for NVD and 1.06% for MSFD.

MSFD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.29 vs -1.00), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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