NFXL vs. TMF
NFXL (Direxion Daily NFLX Bull 2X Shares) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - NFXL is a Leveraged Equities fund actively managed by Direxion, while TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). NFXL is actively managed, while TMF is passively managed. Over the past year, NFXL returned -73.11% vs -5.12% for TMF. At a correlation of -0.01, they often move in opposite directions. NFXL charges 1.06%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.
Performance
NFXL vs. TMF - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, NFXL achieves a -45.89% return, which is significantly lower than TMF's -10.33% return.
NFXL
- 1D
- -0.97%
- 1M
- -18.12%
- 6M
- -41.46%
- YTD
- -45.89%
- 1Y
- -73.11%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
TMF
- 1D
- 0.34%
- 1M
- -5.43%
- 6M
- -11.84%
- YTD
- -10.33%
- 1Y
- -5.12%
- 3Y*
- -21.17%
- 5Y*
- -33.53%
- 10Y*
- -17.87%
NFXL vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
NFXL Direxion Daily NFLX Bull 2X Shares | -45.89% | -11.98% | 51.02% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -10.33% | -2.94% | -29.57% |
Correlation
The correlation between NFXL and TMF is -0.09, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.09 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 3, 2024 | -0.02 |
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Return for Risk
NFXL vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank
NFXL
TMF
NFXL vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily NFLX Bull 2X Shares (NFXL) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| NFXL | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.88 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -2.00 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.74 | 0.99 | -0.25 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.97 | -0.19 | -0.78 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.53 | -0.40 | -1.13 |
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Drawdowns
NFXL vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum NFXL drawdown since its inception was -77.64%, smaller than the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for NFXL and TMF.
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Drawdown Indicators
| NFXL | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -77.64% | -92.89% | +15.25% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -75.22% | -26.51% | -48.71% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -55.14% | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -88.81% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -92.89% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -76.27% | -92.58% | +16.31% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -30.79% | -43.92% | +13.13% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 47.77% | 12.91% | +34.86% |
Volatility
NFXL vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Daily NFLX Bull 2X Shares (NFXL) has a higher volatility of 23.38% compared to Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) at 7.49%. This indicates that NFXL's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| NFXL | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 23.38% | 7.49% | +15.89% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 53.10% | 19.84% | +33.26% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 68.76% | 27.57% | +41.19% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 69.57% | 46.51% | +23.06% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 69.57% | 43.72% | +25.85% |
NFXL vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison
NFXL has a 1.06% expense ratio, which is higher than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.
Dividends
NFXL vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison
NFXL's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 13.18%, more than TMF's 4.40% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NFXL Direxion Daily NFLX Bull 2X Shares | 13.18% | 7.97% | 0.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.40% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
Frequently Asked Questions
NFXL and TMF have a correlation of -0.09, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
NFXL has higher volatility (23.38%) compared to TMF (7.49%). In terms of maximum drawdown, NFXL dropped -77.64% vs TMF's -92.89%.
On 1-year performance, TMF leads with -5.12% vs -73.11% for NFXL. On fees, TMF is cheaper at 1.01% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 7.49%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, TMF has performed better with a -5.12% return vs -73.11%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TMF is cheaper with a 1.01% expense ratio, compared with 1.06% for NFXL.
NFXL has the higher dividend yield at 13.18%, compared with 4.40% for TMF.
NFXL is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. Their fees differ too: 1.06% for NFXL and 1.01% for TMF.
TMF currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.19 vs -1.07), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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