NFLX vs. TMF

Last updated Jun 13, 2026

NFLX (Netflix, Inc.) is a stock, while TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) is Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Over the past 10 years, NFLX returned 23.92%/yr vs -16.87%/yr for TMF. At a correlation of -0.07, they often move in opposite directions.

Performance

NFLX vs. TMF - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, NFLX achieves a -14.31% return, which is significantly lower than TMF's -5.18% return. Over the past 10 years, NFLX has outperformed TMF with an annualized return of 23.92%, while TMF has yielded a comparatively lower -16.87% annualized return.

NFLX

• 1D: -1.14%
• 1M: -7.68%
• YTD: -14.31%
• 6M: -15.60%
• 1Y: -33.72%
• 3Y*: 22.62%
• 5Y*: 10.45%
• 10Y*: 23.92%

TMF

• 1D: -0.93%
• 1M: 7.62%
• YTD: -5.18%
• 6M: -5.04%
• 1Y: -1.79%
• 3Y*: -19.82%
• 5Y*: -31.10%
• 10Y*: -16.87%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

NFLX vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
NFLX Netflix, Inc.	-14.31%	5.19%	83.07%	65.11%	-51.05%	11.41%	67.11%	20.89%	39.44%	55.06%
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF	-5.18%	-2.94%	-35.95%	-13.01%	-72.60%	-19.80%	39.02%	34.75%	-11.01%	22.72%

Correlation

The correlation between NFLX and TMF is -0.07, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.07
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.02
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.07
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.01
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 16, 2009	-0.07

The correlation between NFLX and TMF shifts across timeframes, from -0.07 (all time) to 0.07 (5 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

Return for Risk

NFLX vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

NFLX

NFLX Risk / Return Rank: 8
NFLX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 5
NFLX Sortino Ratio Rank: 7
NFLX Omega Ratio Rank: 7
NFLX Calmar Ratio Rank: 13
NFLX Martin Ratio Rank: 11

TMF

TMF Risk / Return Rank: 8
TMF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8
TMF Sortino Ratio Rank: 8
TMF Omega Ratio Rank: 8
TMF Calmar Ratio Rank: 8
TMF Martin Ratio Rank: 8

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

NFLX vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	NFLX	TMF	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-1.03	-0.17	-0.85
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	-1.46	-0.05	-1.40
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	0.81	0.99	-0.18
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.78	-0.19	-0.60
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-1.35	-0.41	-0.94

NFLX vs. TMF - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current NFLX Sharpe Ratio is -1.03, which is lower than the TMF Sharpe Ratio of -0.17. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of NFLX and TMF, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

NFLX vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum NFLX drawdown since its inception was -81.99%, smaller than the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for NFLX and TMF.

Drawdown Indicators

	NFLX	TMF	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-81.99%	-92.89%	+10.90%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-43.35%	-26.51%	-16.84%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-43.35%	-56.31%	+12.96%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-75.95%	-88.81%	+12.86%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-75.95%	-92.89%	+16.94%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-40.01%	-92.15%	+52.14%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-24.91%	-43.70%	+18.79%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	25.19%	11.96%	+13.23%

Volatility

NFLX vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) is 5.85%, while Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) has a volatility of 8.43%. This indicates that NFLX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	NFLX	TMF	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	5.85%	8.43%	-2.58%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	24.58%	19.46%	+5.12%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	33.05%	28.49%	+4.56%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	43.09%	46.72%	-3.63%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	41.49%	43.92%	-2.43%

Dividends

NFLX vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison

NFLX has not paid dividends to shareholders, while TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.11%.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
NFLX Netflix, Inc.	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF	4.11%	4.06%	4.29%	2.82%	1.62%	0.13%	2.23%	0.94%	1.49%	0.41%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both NFLX and TMF in my portfolio?

NFLX and TMF have a correlation of -0.07, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, NFLX or TMF?

TMF has higher volatility (8.43%) compared to NFLX (5.85%). In terms of maximum drawdown, NFLX dropped -81.99% vs TMF's -92.89%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

TMF currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.17 vs -1.03), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.