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MOON vs. TMF
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

MOON vs. TMF - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Moonshot Innovators ETF (MOON) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period


MOON

1D
1M
YTD
6M
1Y
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*

TMF

1D
-1.14%
1M
1.22%
YTD
-6.13%
6M
-11.63%
1Y
0.90%
3Y*
-20.78%
5Y*
-30.52%
10Y*
-16.56%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

MOON vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020
MOON
Direxion Moonshot Innovators ETF
0.00%0.00%-8.56%9.85%-61.07%-13.78%24.70%
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
-6.13%-2.94%-35.95%-13.01%-72.60%-19.80%-1.32%

Correlation

The correlation between MOON and TMF is 0.06, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.


Correlation
Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.16

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.06

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 13, 2020

0.06

MOON vs. TMF - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
MOON
TMF

Technology

42.4%

-

Healthcare

23.5%

-

Consumer Cyclical

11.9%

-

Communication Services

9.3%

-

Industrials

7.5%

-

Financial Services

4.2%
18.7%

Basic Materials

1.2%

-

Consumer Defensive

-

-

Energy

-

-

Real Estate

-

-

Utilities

-

-

Technology

MOON
42.4%
TMF

-

Healthcare

MOON
23.5%
TMF

-

Consumer Cyclical

MOON
11.9%
TMF

-

Communication Services

MOON
9.3%
TMF

-

Industrials

MOON
7.5%
TMF

-

Financial Services

MOON
4.2%
TMF
18.7%

Basic Materials

MOON
1.2%
TMF

-

Consumer Defensive

MOON

-

TMF

-

Energy

MOON

-

TMF

-

Real Estate

MOON

-

TMF

-

Utilities

MOON

-

TMF

-

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Return for Risk

MOON vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

MOON

TMF
TMF Risk / Return Rank: 99
Overall Rank
TMF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 99
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TMF Sortino Ratio Rank: 99
Sortino Ratio Rank
TMF Omega Ratio Rank: 99
Omega Ratio Rank
TMF Calmar Ratio Rank: 99
Calmar Ratio Rank
TMF Martin Ratio Rank: 99
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

MOON vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Moonshot Innovators ETF (MOON) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


Risk / return metrics aren't available yet — we need at least 12 months of trading data to calculate them.

MOON vs. TMF - Sharpe Ratio Comparison


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


MOONTMFDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.03

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.66

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.38

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

-0.14

Drawdowns

MOON vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison


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Drawdown Indicators


MOONTMFDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-92.89%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-26.51%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-56.31%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-88.81%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-92.89%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-92.23%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-43.63%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

11.49%

Volatility

MOON vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison


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Volatility by Period


MOONTMFDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

8.09%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

19.01%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

28.76%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

46.75%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

43.92%

MOON vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison

MOON has a 0.65% expense ratio, which is lower than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.


Dividends

MOON vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison

MOON has not paid dividends to shareholders, while TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.15%.


PositionTTM202520242023202220212020201920182017
MOON
Direxion Moonshot Innovators ETF
0.00%0.00%0.62%1.41%0.00%1.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
4.15%4.06%4.29%2.82%1.62%0.13%2.23%0.94%1.49%0.41%

Frequently Asked Questions


MOON and TMF have a correlation of 0.06, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

On fees, MOON is cheaper at 0.65% per year. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

MOON is cheaper with a 0.65% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for TMF.

TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.15%, compared with 0.00% for MOON.

MOON is categorized as Technology Equities, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. MOON tracks S&P Kensho Moonshots Index, while TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Their fees differ too: 0.65% for MOON and 1.01% for TMF.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for MOON and TMF

Add both to a portfolio and optimize allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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