IBGK vs. UCO
IBGK (iShares iBonds Dec 2054 Term Treasury ETF) and UCO (ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil) are both exchange-traded funds - IBGK is a Long-Term Bond fund tracking the ICE 2054 Maturity US Treasury Index, while UCO is a Leveraged Commodities fund tracking the Dow Jones-UBS Crude Oil Sub-Index (200%). Both are passively managed. Over the past year, IBGK returned 4.74% vs 120.48% for UCO. At a correlation of -0.26, they often move in opposite directions. IBGK charges 0.07%/yr vs 0.95%/yr for UCO.
Performance
IBGK vs. UCO - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, IBGK achieves a -0.36% return, which is significantly lower than UCO's 149.12% return.
IBGK
- 1D
- -0.34%
- 1M
- 0.75%
- YTD
- -0.36%
- 6M
- -1.89%
- 1Y
- 4.74%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
UCO
- 1D
- 2.71%
- 1M
- -4.64%
- YTD
- 149.12%
- 6M
- 137.09%
- 1Y
- 120.48%
- 3Y*
- 25.90%
- 5Y*
- 22.16%
- 10Y*
- -11.31%
IBGK vs. UCO - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
IBGK iShares iBonds Dec 2054 Term Treasury ETF | -0.36% | 3.66% | -2.73% |
UCO ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil | 149.12% | -29.75% | -12.34% |
Correlation
The correlation between IBGK and UCO is -0.36, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.36 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 13, 2024 | -0.26 |
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Return for Risk
IBGK vs. UCO — Risk / Return Rank
IBGK
UCO
IBGK vs. UCO - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for iShares iBonds Dec 2054 Term Treasury ETF (IBGK) and ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (UCO). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| IBGK | UCO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.61 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.66 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.09 | 1.32 | -0.23 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.65 | 3.49 | -2.83 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.63 | 6.60 | -4.97 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| IBGK | UCO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.51 | 2.12 | -1.61 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | — | 0.37 | — |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | — | -0.16 | — |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.02 | -0.34 | +0.36 |
Drawdowns
IBGK vs. UCO - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum IBGK drawdown since its inception was -14.62%, smaller than the maximum UCO drawdown of -99.95%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for IBGK and UCO.
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Drawdown Indicators
| IBGK | UCO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -14.62% | -99.95% | +85.33% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -7.29% | -34.77% | +27.48% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -50.38% | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -67.24% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -98.75% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -9.19% | -99.23% | +90.04% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -8.06% | -85.49% | +77.43% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 2.92% | 18.33% | -15.41% |
Volatility
IBGK vs. UCO - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for iShares iBonds Dec 2054 Term Treasury ETF (IBGK) is 2.70%, while ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (UCO) has a volatility of 20.83%. This indicates that IBGK experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than UCO based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| IBGK | UCO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 2.70% | 20.83% | -18.13% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 6.20% | 46.44% | -40.24% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 9.36% | 57.11% | -47.75% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 11.81% | 59.78% | -47.97% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 11.81% | 71.36% | -59.55% |
IBGK vs. UCO - Expense Ratio Comparison
IBGK has a 0.07% expense ratio, which is lower than UCO's 0.95% expense ratio.
Dividends
IBGK vs. UCO - Dividend Comparison
IBGK's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.72%, while UCO has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
IBGK iShares iBonds Dec 2054 Term Treasury ETF | 4.72% | 4.59% | 3.15% |
UCO ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
IBGK and UCO have a correlation of -0.36, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
UCO has higher volatility (20.83%) compared to IBGK (2.70%). In terms of maximum drawdown, IBGK dropped -14.62% vs UCO's -99.95%.
On 1-year performance, UCO leads with 120.48% vs 4.74% for IBGK. On fees, IBGK is cheaper at 0.07% per year. On volatility, IBGK has been the lower-risk option at 2.70%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, UCO has performed better with a 120.48% return vs 4.74%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
IBGK is cheaper with a 0.07% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for UCO.
IBGK has the higher dividend yield at 4.72%, compared with 0.00% for UCO.
IBGK is categorized as Long-Term Bond, while UCO is Leveraged Commodities. IBGK tracks ICE 2054 Maturity US Treasury Index, while UCO tracks Dow Jones-UBS Crude Oil Sub-Index (200%). They also come from different issuers: iShares and ProShares. Their fees differ too: 0.07% for IBGK and 0.95% for UCO.
UCO currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.12 vs 0.51), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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