HTGC vs. UCO
HTGC (Hercules Capital, Inc.) is a stock, while UCO (ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil) is Leveraged Commodities fund tracking the Dow Jones-UBS Crude Oil Sub-Index (200%). Over the past 10 years, HTGC returned 13.30%/yr vs -11.31%/yr for UCO. At a 0.23 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.
Performance
HTGC vs. UCO - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, HTGC achieves a -14.37% return, which is significantly lower than UCO's 149.12% return. Over the past 10 years, HTGC has outperformed UCO with an annualized return of 13.30%, while UCO has yielded a comparatively lower -11.31% annualized return.
HTGC
- 1D
- -1.93%
- 1M
- -5.03%
- YTD
- -14.37%
- 6M
- -14.09%
- 1Y
- -4.30%
- 3Y*
- 12.45%
- 5Y*
- 9.03%
- 10Y*
- 13.30%
UCO
- 1D
- 2.71%
- 1M
- -4.64%
- YTD
- 149.12%
- 6M
- 137.09%
- 1Y
- 120.48%
- 3Y*
- 25.90%
- 5Y*
- 22.16%
- 10Y*
- -11.31%
HTGC vs. UCO - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HTGC Hercules Capital, Inc. | -14.37% | 3.54% | 33.33% | 42.91% | -10.42% | 26.50% | 14.49% | 39.86% | -6.86% | 1.86% |
UCO ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil | 149.12% | -29.75% | 5.36% | -13.89% | 39.71% | 139.26% | -92.91% | 53.83% | -43.26% | 0.34% |
Correlation
The correlation between HTGC and UCO is -0.07, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.07 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.06 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.12 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.16 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 26, 2008 | 0.23 |
The correlation between HTGC and UCO shifts across timeframes, from -0.07 (1 year) to 0.23 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
HTGC vs. UCO — Risk / Return Rank
HTGC
UCO
HTGC vs. UCO - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC) and ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (UCO). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| HTGC | UCO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -2.31 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -2.56 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.99 | 1.32 | -0.33 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.17 | 3.49 | -3.66 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.40 | 6.60 | -7.00 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| HTGC | UCO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.19 | 2.12 | -2.31 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.35 | 0.37 | -0.02 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.48 | -0.16 | +0.64 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.35 | -0.34 | +0.69 |
Drawdowns
HTGC vs. UCO - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum HTGC drawdown since its inception was -68.21%, smaller than the maximum UCO drawdown of -99.95%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for HTGC and UCO.
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Drawdown Indicators
| HTGC | UCO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -68.21% | -99.95% | +31.74% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -24.74% | -34.77% | +10.03% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -27.97% | -50.38% | +22.41% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -36.11% | -67.24% | +31.13% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -57.54% | -98.75% | +41.21% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -19.03% | -99.23% | +80.20% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -10.86% | -85.49% | +74.63% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 10.72% | 18.33% | -7.61% |
Volatility
HTGC vs. UCO - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Hercules Capital, Inc. (HTGC) is 5.23%, while ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (UCO) has a volatility of 20.83%. This indicates that HTGC experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than UCO based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| HTGC | UCO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 5.23% | 20.83% | -15.60% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 20.00% | 46.44% | -26.44% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 23.14% | 57.11% | -33.97% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 25.72% | 59.78% | -34.06% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 27.84% | 71.36% | -43.52% |
Dividends
HTGC vs. UCO - Dividend Comparison
HTGC's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 11.89%, while UCO has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HTGC Hercules Capital, Inc. | 11.89% | 9.99% | 9.56% | 11.40% | 13.77% | 9.76% | 9.02% | 9.49% | 11.40% | 9.45% | 8.79% | 10.17% |
UCO ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
HTGC and UCO have a correlation of -0.07, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
UCO has higher volatility (20.83%) compared to HTGC (5.23%). In terms of maximum drawdown, HTGC dropped -68.21% vs UCO's -99.95%.
UCO currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.12 vs -0.19), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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