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HODL vs. MOAT
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

HODL vs. MOAT - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) and VanEck Vectors Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (MOAT). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, HODL achieves a -25.27% return, which is significantly lower than MOAT's -0.94% return.


HODL

1D
-2.79%
1M
-18.34%
YTD
-25.27%
6M
-29.73%
1Y
-38.56%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*

MOAT

1D
-1.37%
1M
3.30%
YTD
-0.94%
6M
-0.69%
1Y
14.97%
3Y*
11.34%
5Y*
8.01%
10Y*
13.37%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

HODL vs. MOAT - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024
HODL
VanEck Bitcoin Trust
-25.27%-6.42%99.75%
MOAT
VanEck Vectors Morningstar Wide Moat ETF
-0.94%13.20%12.16%

Correlation

The correlation between HODL and MOAT is 0.36, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.36

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 12, 2024

0.35

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Return for Risk

HODL vs. MOAT — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

HODL
HODL Risk / Return Rank: 22
Overall Rank
HODL Sharpe Ratio Rank: 22
Sharpe Ratio Rank
HODL Sortino Ratio Rank: 22
Sortino Ratio Rank
HODL Omega Ratio Rank: 22
Omega Ratio Rank
HODL Calmar Ratio Rank: 22
Calmar Ratio Rank
HODL Martin Ratio Rank: 22
Martin Ratio Rank

MOAT
MOAT Risk / Return Rank: 2727
Overall Rank
MOAT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2929
Sharpe Ratio Rank
MOAT Sortino Ratio Rank: 2929
Sortino Ratio Rank
MOAT Omega Ratio Rank: 2727
Omega Ratio Rank
MOAT Calmar Ratio Rank: 2525
Calmar Ratio Rank
MOAT Martin Ratio Rank: 2727
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

HODL vs. MOAT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) and VanEck Vectors Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (MOAT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


HODLMOATDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-1.98

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-2.87

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.86

1.19

-0.32

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.79

1.21

-2.00

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-1.36

3.77

-5.14

HODL vs. MOAT - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current HODL Sharpe Ratio is -0.89, which is lower than the MOAT Sharpe Ratio of 1.09. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of HODL and MOAT, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


HODLMOATDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.89

1.09

-1.98

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.44

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.72

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.30

0.77

-0.47

Drawdowns

HODL vs. MOAT - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum HODL drawdown since its inception was -49.25%, which is greater than MOAT's maximum drawdown of -33.31%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for HODL and MOAT.


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Drawdown Indicators


HODLMOATDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-49.25%

-33.31%

-15.94%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-49.25%

-12.43%

-36.82%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-21.44%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-23.96%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-33.31%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-47.93%

-4.72%

-43.21%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-15.97%

-3.83%

-12.14%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

28.35%

3.98%

+24.37%

Volatility

HODL vs. MOAT - Volatility Comparison

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) has a higher volatility of 9.43% compared to VanEck Vectors Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (MOAT) at 3.82%. This indicates that HODL's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than MOAT based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


HODLMOATDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

9.43%

3.82%

+5.61%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

34.37%

9.87%

+24.50%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

43.51%

13.86%

+29.65%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

49.88%

18.18%

+31.70%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

49.88%

18.68%

+31.20%

HODL vs. MOAT - Expense Ratio Comparison

HODL has a 0.25% expense ratio, which is lower than MOAT's 0.48% expense ratio.


Dividends

HODL vs. MOAT - Dividend Comparison

HODL has not paid dividends to shareholders, while MOAT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.37%.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
HODL
VanEck Bitcoin Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
MOAT
VanEck Vectors Morningstar Wide Moat ETF
1.37%1.36%1.37%0.86%1.25%1.08%1.46%1.31%1.79%1.07%1.17%2.13%

Frequently Asked Questions


HODL and MOAT have a correlation of 0.36, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

HODL has higher volatility (9.43%) compared to MOAT (3.82%). In terms of maximum drawdown, HODL dropped -49.25% vs MOAT's -33.31%.

On 1-year performance, MOAT leads with 14.97% vs -38.56% for HODL. On fees, HODL is cheaper at 0.25% per year. On volatility, MOAT has been the lower-risk option at 3.82%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, MOAT has performed better with a 14.97% return vs -38.56%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

HODL is cheaper with a 0.25% expense ratio, compared with 0.48% for MOAT.

MOAT has the higher dividend yield at 1.37%, compared with 0.00% for HODL.

HODL is categorized as Cryptocurrency, while MOAT is Large Cap Blend Equities. HODL tracks CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate - New York Variant, while MOAT tracks Morningstar Wide Moat Focus Index. Their fees differ too: 0.25% for HODL and 0.48% for MOAT.

MOAT currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.09 vs -0.89), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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