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HARD vs. TUA
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

HARD vs. TUA - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF (HARD) and Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, HARD achieves a 8.63% return, which is significantly higher than TUA's -5.24% return.


HARD

1D
-1.27%
1M
-11.57%
YTD
8.63%
6M
9.40%
1Y
11.32%
3Y*
11.25%
5Y*
10Y*

TUA

1D
-0.27%
1M
-0.34%
YTD
-5.24%
6M
-4.70%
1Y
-1.82%
3Y*
-0.12%
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

HARD vs. TUA - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023
HARD
Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF
8.63%12.19%20.48%-5.04%
TUA
Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF
-5.24%7.27%-3.59%-6.18%

Correlation

The correlation between HARD and TUA is -0.18, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.18

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

-0.06

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 28, 2023

-0.05

The correlation between HARD and TUA shifts across timeframes, from -0.18 (1 year) to -0.05 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

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Return for Risk

HARD vs. TUA — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

HARD
HARD Risk / Return Rank: 1616
Overall Rank
HARD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1616
Sharpe Ratio Rank
HARD Sortino Ratio Rank: 1515
Sortino Ratio Rank
HARD Omega Ratio Rank: 1515
Omega Ratio Rank
HARD Calmar Ratio Rank: 1818
Calmar Ratio Rank
HARD Martin Ratio Rank: 1818
Martin Ratio Rank

TUA
TUA Risk / Return Rank: 66
Overall Rank
TUA Sharpe Ratio Rank: 77
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TUA Sortino Ratio Rank: 66
Sortino Ratio Rank
TUA Omega Ratio Rank: 66
Omega Ratio Rank
TUA Calmar Ratio Rank: 77
Calmar Ratio Rank
TUA Martin Ratio Rank: 66
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

HARD vs. TUA - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF (HARD) and Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


HARDTUADifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.70

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+1.07

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.08

0.95

+0.13

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.65

-0.32

+0.97

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

1.69

-0.81

+2.50

HARD vs. TUA - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current HARD Sharpe Ratio is 0.37, which is higher than the TUA Sharpe Ratio of -0.33. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of HARD and TUA, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

HARD vs. TUA - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum HARD drawdown since its inception was -15.20%, roughly equal to the maximum TUA drawdown of -15.85%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for HARD and TUA.


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Drawdown Indicators


HARDTUADifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-15.20%

-15.85%

+0.65%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-15.20%

-7.05%

-8.15%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-15.20%

-9.14%

-6.06%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-15.20%

-9.92%

-5.28%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-5.53%

-8.37%

+2.84%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

5.84%

2.74%

+3.10%

Volatility

HARD vs. TUA - Volatility Comparison

Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF (HARD) has a higher volatility of 6.44% compared to Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF (TUA) at 2.35%. This indicates that HARD's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TUA based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


HARDTUADifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

6.44%

2.35%

+4.09%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

21.87%

5.00%

+16.87%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

26.48%

6.84%

+19.64%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

19.08%

10.75%

+8.33%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

19.08%

10.75%

+8.33%

HARD vs. TUA - Expense Ratio Comparison

HARD has a 0.75% expense ratio, which is higher than TUA's 0.16% expense ratio.


Dividends

HARD vs. TUA - Dividend Comparison

HARD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.76%, less than TUA's 3.55% yield.


PositionTTM2025202420232022
HARD
Simplify Commodities Strategy No K-1 ETF
2.76%2.36%3.51%1.95%0.00%
TUA
Simplify Short Term Treasury Futures Strategy ETF
3.55%3.84%5.19%4.83%0.15%

Frequently Asked Questions


HARD and TUA have a correlation of -0.18, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

HARD has higher volatility (6.44%) compared to TUA (2.35%). In terms of maximum drawdown, HARD dropped -15.20% vs TUA's -15.85%.

On 3-year performance, HARD leads with 11.25% vs -0.12% for TUA. On fees, TUA is cheaper at 0.16% per year. On volatility, TUA has been the lower-risk option at 2.35%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 3-year period, HARD has performed better with a 11.25% return vs -0.12%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

TUA is cheaper with a 0.16% expense ratio, compared with 0.75% for HARD.

TUA has the higher dividend yield at 3.55%, compared with 2.76% for HARD.

HARD is categorized as Commodities, while TUA is Intermediate Core Bond. Their fees differ too: 0.75% for HARD and 0.16% for TUA.

HARD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.37 vs -0.33), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for HARD and TUA

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