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FCTE vs. VTI
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

FCTE vs. VTI - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) and Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, FCTE achieves a 16.87% return, which is significantly higher than VTI's 10.49% return.


FCTE

1D
1.22%
1M
0.54%
6M
9.25%
YTD
16.87%
1Y
13.55%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*
ALL TIME*
8.91%

VTI

1D
0.53%
1M
-0.15%
6M
8.77%
YTD
10.49%
1Y
21.84%
3Y*
18.92%
5Y*
11.74%
10Y*
14.63%
ALL TIME*
9.58%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Liquidity Comparison


PositionAvg. Volume Value (2W)Avg. Volume Value (1M)Avg. Volume Value (3M)
$395.29K$768.22K$634.95K
$1.06B$1.16B$1.24B

FCTE vs. VTI - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024
FCTE
SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF
16.87%-3.80%6.19%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
10.49%17.10%8.80%

Correlation

The correlation between FCTE and VTI is 0.69, which is moderate. They have sometimes moved together and sometimes differently, sharing some price drivers without tracking each other closely.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most.

0.69

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 2, 2024

0.78

The correlation between FCTE and VTI has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.69 to 0.78 - a consistent structural relationship.

FCTE vs. VTI - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
FCTE
VTI

Technology

30.1%
36.1%

Industrials

25.0%
10.2%

Healthcare

19.9%
9.7%

Communication Services

10.0%
9.1%

Energy

5.0%
3.2%

Consumer Cyclical

5.0%
9.4%

Consumer Defensive

5.0%
4.3%

Basic Materials

-

1.9%

Financial Services

-

11.8%

Real Estate

-

2.3%

Utilities

-

2.2%

Technology

FCTE
30.1%
VTI
36.1%

Industrials

FCTE
25.0%
VTI
10.2%

Healthcare

FCTE
19.9%
VTI
9.7%

Communication Services

FCTE
10.0%
VTI
9.1%

Energy

FCTE
5.0%
VTI
3.2%

Consumer Cyclical

FCTE
5.0%
VTI
9.4%

Consumer Defensive

FCTE
5.0%
VTI
4.3%

Basic Materials

FCTE

-

VTI
1.9%

Financial Services

FCTE

-

VTI
11.8%

Real Estate

FCTE

-

VTI
2.3%

Utilities

FCTE

-

VTI
2.2%

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Return for Risk

FCTE vs. VTI — Risk / Return Rank

Compare historical risk-adjusted metric ranks over the past 12 months.

FCTE
FCTE Risk / Return Rank: 3232
Overall Rank
FCTE Sharpe Ratio Rank: 3333
Sharpe Ratio Rank
FCTE Sortino Ratio Rank: 3333
Sortino Ratio Rank
FCTE Omega Ratio Rank: 3131
Omega Ratio Rank
FCTE Calmar Ratio Rank: 3030
Calmar Ratio Rank
FCTE Martin Ratio Rank: 3131
Martin Ratio Rank

VTI
VTI Risk / Return Rank: 6767
Overall Rank
VTI Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6767
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VTI Sortino Ratio Rank: 6464
Sortino Ratio Rank
VTI Omega Ratio Rank: 6464
Omega Ratio Rank
VTI Calmar Ratio Rank: 6565
Calmar Ratio Rank
VTI Martin Ratio Rank: 7777
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) uses a weighted average of the Sharpe, Sortino, Omega, Calmar, and Martin percentile ranks for the trailing 12 months. Higher means stronger historical risk-adjusted performance within the peer group.

FCTE vs. VTI - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) and Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


FCTEVTIDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.70

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-0.86

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.15

1.27

-0.12

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.97

2.23

-1.26

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

2.74

9.62

-6.88

FCTE vs. VTI - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current FCTE Sharpe Ratio is 0.82, which is lower than the VTI Sharpe Ratio of 1.52. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of FCTE and VTI, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

FCTE vs. VTI - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum FCTE drawdown since its inception was -19.68%, smaller than the maximum VTI drawdown of -55.45%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for FCTE and VTI.


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Drawdown Indicators


FCTEVTIDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-19.68%

-55.45%

+35.77%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-12.85%

-8.92%

-3.93%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-19.30%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-25.36%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-35.00%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-0.37%

-1.36%

+0.99%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-5.63%

-7.99%

+2.36%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

4.55%

2.07%

+2.48%

Volatility

FCTE vs. VTI - Volatility Comparison

SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) and Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) have volatilities of 3.40% and 3.46%, respectively, indicating that both stocks experience similar levels of price fluctuations. This suggests that the risk associated with both stocks, as measured by volatility, is nearly the same. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


FCTEVTIDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

3.40%

3.46%

-0.06%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

12.21%

10.24%

+1.97%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

15.29%

13.10%

+2.19%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

18.40%

17.51%

+0.89%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

18.40%

18.30%

+0.10%

FCTE vs. VTI - Expense Ratio Comparison

FCTE has a 0.85% expense ratio, which is higher than VTI's 0.03% expense ratio.


Dividends

FCTE vs. VTI - Dividend Comparison

FCTE's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.08%, less than VTI's 1.06% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
FCTE
SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF
0.08%0.18%0.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
1.06%1.12%1.27%1.44%1.66%1.21%1.42%1.78%2.04%1.71%1.92%1.98%

Frequently Asked Questions


FCTE and VTI have a correlation of 0.69, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

VTI has higher volatility (3.46%) compared to FCTE (3.40%). In terms of maximum drawdown, FCTE dropped -19.68% vs VTI's -55.45%.

On 1-year performance, VTI leads with 21.84% vs 13.55% for FCTE. On fees, VTI is cheaper at 0.03% per year. Their volatility is very similar. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, VTI has performed better with a 21.84% return vs 13.55%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

VTI is cheaper with a 0.03% expense ratio, compared with 0.85% for FCTE.

VTI has the higher dividend yield at 1.06%, compared with 0.08% for FCTE.

They also come from different issuers: SMI 3Fourteen and Vanguard. Their fees differ too: 0.85% for FCTE and 0.03% for VTI.

VTI currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.52 vs 0.82), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for FCTE and VTI

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