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Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends.
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Returns By Period
SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) has returned -1.02% so far this year and -1.76% over the past 12 months.
SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF
- 1D
- 2.94%
- 1M
- -8.22%
- YTD
- -1.02%
- 6M
- -7.23%
- 1Y
- -1.76%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
Benchmark (S&P 500 Index)
- 1D
- 2.91%
- 1M
- -5.09%
- YTD
- -4.63%
- 6M
- -2.39%
- 1Y
- 16.33%
- 3Y*
- 16.69%
- 5Y*
- 10.18%
- 10Y*
- 12.16%
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 2, 2024, FCTE's average daily return is +0.01%, while the average monthly return is +0.11%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 52.5 years.
Historically, 62% of months were positive and 38% were negative. The best month was Jul 2024 with a return of +8.1%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -8.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 3 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.
On a daily basis, FCTE closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +9.7%, while the worst single day was Apr 3, 2025 at -6.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6.97% | 0.82% | -8.22% | -1.02% | |||||||||
| 2025 | 4.47% | -2.40% | -4.94% | 0.84% | 3.87% | 1.14% | -2.63% | 0.89% | 1.76% | -7.07% | 1.03% | -0.17% | -3.80% |
| 2024 | 8.05% | 1.62% | 2.54% | -4.77% | 2.84% | -4.35% | 5.47% |
Benchmark Metrics
SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF has an annualized alpha of -8.23%, beta of 0.94, and R² of 0.73 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 03, 2024.
- This ETF participated in 128.70% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 66.62% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- This ETF had an annualized alpha of -8.23% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering less than market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 0.94 and R² of 0.73, this ETF moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- -8.23%
- Beta
- 0.94
- R²
- 0.73
- Upside Capture
- 66.62%
- Downside Capture
- 128.70%
Expense Ratio
FCTE has an expense ratio of 0.85%, placing it in the medium range.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
FCTE ranks 10 for risk / return — in the bottom 10% of ETFs on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below present risk-adjusted performance metrics for SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF (FCTE) and compare them to a chosen benchmark (S&P 500 Index).
| FCTE | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.09 | 0.90 | -0.98 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.02 | 1.39 | -1.37 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.00 | 1.21 | -0.21 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.08 | 1.40 | -1.48 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.21 | 6.61 | -6.82 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
Explore FCTE risk-adjusted metrics in detail
Dive deeper into individual metrics with historical trends, benchmark comparisons, and performance across different time periods.
Dividends
Dividend History
SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF provided a 0.09% dividend yield over the last twelve months, with an annual payout of $0.02 per share.
| Period | TTM | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend | $0.02 | $0.05 | $0.05 |
Dividend yield | 0.09% | 0.18% | 0.18% |
Monthly Dividends
The table displays the monthly dividend distributions for SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF. The dividends shown in the table have been adjusted to account for any splits that may have occurred.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||||||||
| 2025 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $0.05 |
| 2024 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $0.05 |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF was 19.68%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current SMI 3Fourteen Full-Cycle Trend ETF drawdown is 11.94%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -19.68% | Oct 15, 2024 | 120 | Apr 8, 2025 | — | — | — |
| -7.26% | Aug 26, 2024 | 9 | Sep 6, 2024 | 9 | Sep 19, 2024 | 18 |
| -4.92% | Aug 1, 2024 | 5 | Aug 7, 2024 | 6 | Aug 15, 2024 | 11 |
| -3.1% | Jul 17, 2024 | 6 | Jul 24, 2024 | 4 | Jul 30, 2024 | 10 |
| -2.2% | Sep 27, 2024 | 7 | Oct 7, 2024 | 5 | Oct 14, 2024 | 12 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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