DOG vs. MSFD

Last updated Jun 4, 2026

DOG (ProShares Short Dow30) and MSFD (Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares) are both Inverse Equities funds - DOG tracks the DJ Industrial Average (-100%) while MSFD tracks the Microsoft Corporation (-100%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 3 years, DOG returned -8.28%/yr vs -8.15%/yr for MSFD. At a 0.48 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. DOG charges 0.95%/yr vs 1.06%/yr for MSFD.

Performance

DOG vs. MSFD - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ProShares Short Dow30 (DOG) and Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, DOG achieves a -4.15% return, which is significantly lower than MSFD's 6.94% return.

DOG

• 1D: 1.13%
• 1M: -3.36%
• YTD: -4.15%
• 6M: -4.06%
• 1Y: -12.72%
• 3Y*: -8.28%
• 5Y*: -5.31%
• 10Y*: -11.18%

MSFD

• 1D: 4.21%
• 1M: -6.67%
• YTD: 6.94%
• 6M: 8.58%
• 1Y: 3.79%
• 3Y*: -8.15%
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

DOG vs. MSFD - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022
DOG ProShares Short Dow30	-4.15%	-8.40%	-5.62%	-7.05%	-4.87%
MSFD Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares	6.94%	-13.36%	-7.86%	-35.90%	3.88%

Correlation

The correlation between DOG and MSFD is 0.31, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.31
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.42
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 8, 2022	0.48

The correlation between DOG and MSFD shifts across timeframes, from 0.31 (1 year) to 0.48 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

Return for Risk

DOG vs. MSFD — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

DOG

DOG Risk / Return Rank: 1
DOG Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1
DOG Sortino Ratio Rank: 2
DOG Omega Ratio Rank: 2
DOG Calmar Ratio Rank: 1
DOG Martin Ratio Rank: 1

MSFD

MSFD Risk / Return Rank: 11
MSFD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 11
MSFD Sortino Ratio Rank: 11
MSFD Omega Ratio Rank: 12
MSFD Calmar Ratio Rank: 10
MSFD Martin Ratio Rank: 10

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

DOG vs. MSFD - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Short Dow30 (DOG) and Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	DOG	MSFD	Difference
Sharpe ratio Return per unit of total volatility	-1.05	0.15	-1.20
Sortino ratio Return per unit of downside risk	-1.42	0.42	-1.84
Omega ratio Gain probability vs. loss probability	0.84	1.05	-0.21
Calmar ratio Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.87	0.14	-1.01
Martin ratio Return relative to average drawdown	-1.43	0.39	-1.82
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

DOG vs. MSFD - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current DOG Sharpe Ratio is -1.05, which is lower than the MSFD Sharpe Ratio of 0.15. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of DOG and MSFD, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	DOG	MSFD	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-1.05	0.15	-1.20
Sharpe Ratio (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	-0.36	—	—
Sharpe Ratio (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	-0.64	—	—
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	-0.57	-0.54	-0.03

Drawdowns

DOG vs. MSFD - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum DOG drawdown since its inception was -92.69%, which is greater than MSFD's maximum drawdown of -59.90%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for DOG and MSFD.

Drawdown Indicators

	DOG	MSFD	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-92.69%	-59.90%	-32.79%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-14.63%	-23.25%	+8.62%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-28.77%	-40.50%	+11.73%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-33.99%	—	—
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-70.79%	—	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-92.61%	-51.77%	-40.84%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-66.39%	-41.58%	-24.81%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	8.89%	8.44%	+0.45%

Volatility

DOG vs. MSFD - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for ProShares Short Dow30 (DOG) is 2.98%, while Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD) has a volatility of 9.49%. This indicates that DOG experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than MSFD based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	DOG	MSFD	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	2.98%	9.49%	-6.51%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	9.37%	21.86%	-12.49%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	12.13%	25.12%	-12.99%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	14.79%	26.11%	-11.32%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	17.49%	26.11%	-8.62%

DOG vs. MSFD - Expense Ratio Comparison

DOG has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is lower than MSFD's 1.06% expense ratio.

Dividends

DOG vs. MSFD - Dividend Comparison

DOG's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.49%, more than MSFD's 2.92% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DOG ProShares Short Dow30	3.49%	3.65%	5.72%	4.54%	0.41%	0.00%	0.14%	1.54%	0.86%	0.04%
MSFD Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares	2.92%	3.33%	4.46%	4.43%	0.74%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both DOG and MSFD in my portfolio?

DOG and MSFD have a correlation of 0.31, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, DOG or MSFD?

MSFD has higher volatility (9.49%) compared to DOG (2.98%). In terms of maximum drawdown, DOG dropped -92.69% vs MSFD's -59.90%.

Which ETF is better, DOG or MSFD?

On 3-year performance, MSFD leads with -8.15% vs -8.28% for DOG. On fees, DOG is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, DOG has been the lower-risk option at 2.98%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, DOG or MSFD?

Over the 3-year period, MSFD has performed better with a -8.15% return vs -8.28%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, DOG or MSFD?

DOG is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.06% for MSFD.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, DOG or MSFD?

DOG has the higher dividend yield at 3.49%, compared with 2.92% for MSFD.

What is the main difference between DOG and MSFD?

DOG tracks DJ Industrial Average (-100%), while MSFD tracks Microsoft Corporation (-100%). They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for DOG and 1.06% for MSFD.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

MSFD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.15 vs -1.05), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.