AAPU vs. TMF
AAPU (Direxion Daily AAPL Bull 2X Shares) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - AAPU is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the Apple Inc. (150%), while TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 3 years, AAPU returned 19.25%/yr vs -21.07%/yr for TMF. At a 0.12 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. AAPU charges 1.04%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.
Performance
AAPU vs. TMF - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, AAPU achieves a 9.14% return, which is significantly higher than TMF's -4.67% return.
AAPU
- 1D
- -2.33%
- 1M
- -10.69%
- YTD
- 9.14%
- 6M
- 8.52%
- 1Y
- 85.62%
- 3Y*
- 19.25%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
TMF
- 1D
- -0.62%
- 1M
- 4.96%
- YTD
- -4.67%
- 6M
- -5.95%
- 1Y
- -2.80%
- 3Y*
- -21.07%
- 5Y*
- -31.33%
- 10Y*
- -16.87%
AAPU vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AAPU Direxion Daily AAPL Bull 2X Shares | 9.14% | -2.91% | 58.45% | 68.66% | -32.44% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -4.67% | -2.94% | -35.95% | -13.01% | -43.40% |
Correlation
The correlation between AAPU and TMF is 0.15, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.15 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.14 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 9, 2022 | 0.12 |
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Return for Risk
AAPU vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank
AAPU
TMF
AAPU vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily AAPL Bull 2X Shares (AAPU) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| AAPU | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +2.01 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +2.51 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.33 | 1.01 | +0.32 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.98 | -0.11 | +3.08 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.03 | -0.23 | +7.26 |
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Drawdowns
AAPU vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum AAPU drawdown since its inception was -58.61%, smaller than the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for AAPU and TMF.
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Drawdown Indicators
| AAPU | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -58.61% | -92.89% | +34.28% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -28.90% | -26.51% | -2.39% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -58.61% | -56.09% | -2.52% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -88.81% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -92.89% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -14.08% | -92.11% | +78.03% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -17.59% | -43.76% | +26.17% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 12.22% | 12.26% | -0.04% |
Volatility
AAPU vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Daily AAPL Bull 2X Shares (AAPU) has a higher volatility of 14.03% compared to Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) at 6.50%. This indicates that AAPU's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| AAPU | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 14.03% | 6.50% | +7.53% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 33.29% | 19.35% | +13.94% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 45.19% | 27.91% | +17.28% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 48.91% | 46.59% | +2.32% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 48.91% | 43.86% | +5.05% |
AAPU vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison
AAPU has a 1.04% expense ratio, which is higher than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.
Dividends
AAPU vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison
AAPU's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 7.79%, more than TMF's 4.09% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AAPU Direxion Daily AAPL Bull 2X Shares | 7.79% | 8.66% | 14.58% | 2.32% | 0.79% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.09% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
Frequently Asked Questions
AAPU and TMF have a correlation of 0.15, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
AAPU has higher volatility (14.03%) compared to TMF (6.50%). In terms of maximum drawdown, AAPU dropped -58.61% vs TMF's -92.89%.
On 3-year performance, AAPU leads with 19.25% vs -21.07% for TMF. On fees, TMF is cheaper at 1.01% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 6.50%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 3-year period, AAPU has performed better with a 19.25% return vs -21.07%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TMF is cheaper with a 1.01% expense ratio, compared with 1.04% for AAPU.
AAPU has the higher dividend yield at 7.79%, compared with 4.09% for TMF.
AAPU is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. AAPU tracks Apple Inc. (150%), while TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Their fees differ too: 1.04% for AAPU and 1.01% for TMF.
AAPU currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.91 vs -0.10), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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