^IDCOT10TR vs. TMF

Last updated Apr 2, 2026

Compare and contrast key facts about ICE U.S. Treasury 10-20 Year TR Index (^IDCOT10TR) and Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X (TMF).

TMF is a passively managed fund by Direxion that tracks the performance of the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index (300%). It was launched on Apr 16, 2009.

Performance

^IDCOT10TR vs. TMF - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ICE U.S. Treasury 10-20 Year TR Index (^IDCOT10TR) and Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X (TMF). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

^IDCOT10TR vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
^IDCOT10TR ICE U.S. Treasury 10-20 Year TR Index	-0.80%	6.86%	-3.72%	3.30%	-24.68%	-5.66%	13.56%	10.96%	-0.01%	4.19%
TMF Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X	-3.05%	-2.94%	-35.95%	-13.01%	-72.60%	-19.80%	39.02%	34.75%	-11.01%	22.72%

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, ^IDCOT10TR achieves a -0.80% return, which is significantly higher than TMF's -3.05% return. Over the past 10 years, ^IDCOT10TR has outperformed TMF with an annualized return of -0.60%, while TMF has yielded a comparatively lower -15.81% annualized return.

^IDCOT10TR

• 1D: -0.01%
• 1M: -3.82%
• YTD: -0.80%
• 6M: -0.44%
• 1Y: 0.71%
• 3Y*: -0.02%
• 5Y*: -3.15%
• 10Y*: -0.60%

TMF

• 1D: -0.28%
• 1M: -10.73%
• YTD: -3.05%
• 6M: -9.57%
• 1Y: -17.24%
• 3Y*: -23.47%
• 5Y*: -29.34%
• 10Y*: -15.81%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Return for Risk

^IDCOT10TR vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

^IDCOT10TR

^IDCOT10TR Risk / Return Rank: 17
^IDCOT10TR Sharpe Ratio Rank: 16
^IDCOT10TR Sortino Ratio Rank: 14
^IDCOT10TR Omega Ratio Rank: 14
^IDCOT10TR Calmar Ratio Rank: 20
^IDCOT10TR Martin Ratio Rank: 21

TMF

TMF Risk / Return Rank: 4
TMF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 4
TMF Sortino Ratio Rank: 4
TMF Omega Ratio Rank: 4
TMF Calmar Ratio Rank: 3
TMF Martin Ratio Rank: 5

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

^IDCOT10TR vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ICE U.S. Treasury 10-20 Year TR Index (^IDCOT10TR) and Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	^IDCOT10TR	TMF	Difference
Sharpe ratio Return per unit of total volatility	0.08	-0.51	+0.59
Sortino ratio Return per unit of downside risk	0.16	-0.52	+0.69
Omega ratio Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.02	0.94	+0.08
Calmar ratio Return relative to maximum drawdown	0.18	-0.56	+0.73
Martin ratio Return relative to average drawdown	0.41	-0.89	+1.30
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

^IDCOT10TR vs. TMF - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current ^IDCOT10TR Sharpe Ratio is 0.08, which is higher than the TMF Sharpe Ratio of -0.51. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of ^IDCOT10TR and TMF, offering insights into how both investments have performed under varying market conditions. These values are calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	^IDCOT10TR	TMF	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.08	-0.51	+0.59
Sharpe Ratio (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	-0.25	-0.63	+0.38
Sharpe Ratio (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	-0.05	-0.36	+0.31
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	0.30	-0.13	+0.43

Correlation

The correlation between ^IDCOT10TR and TMF is 0.88, which is considered to be high. That indicates a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Having highly-correlated positions in a portfolio may signal a lack of diversification, potentially leading to increased risk during market downturns.

Drawdowns

^IDCOT10TR vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum ^IDCOT10TR drawdown since its inception was -41.24%, smaller than the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.61%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for ^IDCOT10TR and TMF.

Drawdown Indicators

	^IDCOT10TR	TMF	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-41.24%	-92.61%	+51.37%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-7.53%	-27.13%	+19.60%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-35.44%	-88.37%	+52.93%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-41.24%	-92.61%	+51.37%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-29.59%	-91.97%	+62.38%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-10.18%	-43.14%	+32.96%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	3.25%	16.98%	-13.73%

Volatility

^IDCOT10TR vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for ICE U.S. Treasury 10-20 Year TR Index (^IDCOT10TR) is 3.44%, while Direxion Daily 20-Year Treasury Bull 3X (TMF) has a volatility of 10.85%. This indicates that ^IDCOT10TR experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	^IDCOT10TR	TMF	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	3.44%	10.85%	-7.41%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	5.52%	19.49%	-13.97%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	9.35%	33.77%	-24.42%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	12.71%	46.81%	-34.10%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	10.93%	44.00%	-33.07%