Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.
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The earliest data available for this chart is May 21, 2020, corresponding to the inception date of JEPI
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.72% | -3.54% | -3.95% | -2.09% | 15.95% | 16.96% | 10.34% | 12.24% |
Portfolio Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 | 0.02% | -2.81% | 0.38% | 1.84% | 11.33% | 11.07% | 6.41% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VTHRX Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund | 1.80% | -4.21% | -1.04% | 0.92% | 14.44% | 11.80% | 5.88% | 8.19% |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | 0.36% | -6.21% | 1.67% | -0.84% | 2.18% | 6.57% | 2.86% | 4.69% |
JEPI JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF | 0.27% | -4.29% | 0.46% | 3.19% | 8.06% | 9.67% | 8.32% | — |
SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | -0.55% | -3.43% | 12.17% | 12.91% | 13.70% | 11.84% | 8.32% | 12.25% |
TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 0.00% | -1.08% | 0.41% | 0.15% | 2.76% | 2.98% | 1.24% | 2.49% |
PFFD Global X U.S. Preferred ETF | 0.49% | -3.65% | -1.20% | -2.91% | 3.43% | 4.06% | -0.42% | — |
MLPA Global X MLP ETF | -0.71% | -1.40% | 12.65% | 14.71% | 7.44% | 17.45% | 18.47% | 8.07% |
USHY iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF | 0.33% | -0.67% | -0.05% | 0.98% | 7.26% | 8.45% | 4.21% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 22, 2020, Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.80%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 7.2 years.
Historically, 68% of months were positive and 32% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +8.6%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -7.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +4.4%, while the worst single day was Jun 11, 2020 at -4.2%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.45% | 2.09% | -4.03% | 0.02% | 0.38% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.38% | 0.87% | -2.14% | -0.38% | 2.64% | 2.78% | 0.75% | 1.91% | 1.63% | 0.79% | 0.75% | 0.26% | 12.83% |
| 2024 | 0.22% | 2.12% | 2.19% | -3.02% | 2.87% | 1.25% | 2.26% | 2.07% | 1.89% | -1.91% | 3.56% | -3.10% | 10.59% |
| 2023 | 6.06% | -2.70% | 1.47% | 0.99% | -1.26% | 3.37% | 2.29% | -1.65% | -2.96% | -2.31% | 7.09% | 3.90% | 14.55% |
| 2022 | -2.82% | -1.70% | 0.72% | -5.40% | 0.98% | -6.57% | 6.36% | -3.01% | -7.07% | 4.15% | 5.35% | -3.41% | -12.75% |
| 2021 | -0.02% | 1.72% | 2.61% | 3.32% | 1.60% | 1.59% | 0.31% | 0.92% | -2.35% | 3.39% | -2.21% | 3.19% | 14.79% |
Benchmark Metrics
Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 has an annualized alpha of 1.34%, beta of 0.56, and R² of 0.86 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 22, 2020.
- This portfolio participated in 69.10% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 60.54% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.56 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 1.34%
- Beta
- 0.56
- R²
- 0.86
- Upside Capture
- 60.54%
- Downside Capture
- 69.10%
Expense Ratio
Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 has an expense ratio of 0.14%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 ranks 42 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.21 | 0.92 | +0.29 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.71 | 1.41 | +0.30 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.26 | 1.21 | +0.05 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.54 | 1.41 | +0.12 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.46 | 6.61 | +0.85 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VTHRX Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund | 81 | 1.46 | 2.09 | 1.30 | 2.05 | 8.88 |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | 15 | 0.13 | 0.30 | 1.04 | 0.18 | 0.70 |
JEPI JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF | 34 | 0.61 | 0.95 | 1.16 | 0.79 | 3.83 |
SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | 43 | 0.88 | 1.32 | 1.19 | 1.05 | 3.55 |
TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 32 | 0.67 | 0.93 | 1.12 | 1.03 | 2.99 |
PFFD Global X U.S. Preferred ETF | 23 | 0.41 | 0.62 | 1.08 | 0.57 | 1.67 |
MLPA Global X MLP ETF | 24 | 0.47 | 0.71 | 1.10 | 0.61 | 1.51 |
USHY iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF | 76 | 1.32 | 1.94 | 1.31 | 1.91 | 9.64 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 provided a 4.83% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 4.83% | 4.83% | 4.46% | 3.82% | 3.95% | 13.76% | 3.96% | 3.22% | 3.67% | 1.08% | 2.44% | 3.46% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VTHRX Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund | 4.07% | 4.03% | 3.63% | 2.59% | 2.53% | 17.56% | 2.56% | 2.38% | 2.71% | 0.06% | 2.38% | 3.72% |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | 3.92% | 3.92% | 3.85% | 3.95% | 3.91% | 2.56% | 3.93% | 3.39% | 4.74% | 4.23% | 4.82% | 3.92% |
JEPI JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF | 8.46% | 8.25% | 7.33% | 8.40% | 11.68% | 6.59% | 5.79% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | 3.46% | 3.82% | 3.64% | 3.49% | 3.39% | 2.78% | 3.16% | 2.98% | 3.06% | 2.63% | 2.89% | 2.97% |
TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 2.80% | 3.46% | 2.52% | 2.73% | 6.96% | 4.28% | 1.17% | 1.75% | 2.71% | 2.07% | 1.48% | 0.34% |
PFFD Global X U.S. Preferred ETF | 6.53% | 6.37% | 6.42% | 6.49% | 6.63% | 5.09% | 5.17% | 5.48% | 6.21% | 1.94% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
MLPA Global X MLP ETF | 7.20% | 7.82% | 7.25% | 7.49% | 7.30% | 8.72% | 13.84% | 9.09% | 10.00% | 8.05% | 7.15% | 9.29% |
USHY iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF | 6.95% | 6.79% | 6.89% | 6.63% | 6.08% | 5.07% | 5.30% | 5.92% | 6.30% | 0.73% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 was 18.41%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 322 trading sessions.
The current Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 drawdown is 4.09%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -18.41% | Nov 10, 2021 | 234 | Oct 14, 2022 | 322 | Jan 29, 2024 | 556 |
| -9.74% | Feb 21, 2025 | 33 | Apr 8, 2025 | 38 | Jun 3, 2025 | 71 |
| -5.75% | Jun 9, 2020 | 14 | Jun 26, 2020 | 26 | Aug 4, 2020 | 40 |
| -5.4% | Feb 27, 2026 | 22 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -5.3% | Sep 3, 2020 | 15 | Sep 24, 2020 | 12 | Oct 12, 2020 | 27 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.08, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | TIP | MLPA | PFFD | VNQ | SCHD | USHY | JEPI | VTHRX | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.17 | 0.42 | 0.56 | 0.63 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 0.80 | 0.93 | 0.91 |
| TIP | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.07 | 0.37 | 0.28 | 0.13 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| MLPA | 0.42 | 0.07 | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.40 | 0.54 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.44 | 0.58 |
| PFFD | 0.56 | 0.37 | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.53 | 0.49 | 0.67 | 0.54 | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| VNQ | 0.63 | 0.28 | 0.40 | 0.53 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.61 | 0.71 | 0.67 | 0.74 |
| SCHD | 0.72 | 0.13 | 0.54 | 0.49 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.59 | 0.78 | 0.71 | 0.78 |
| USHY | 0.72 | 0.40 | 0.36 | 0.67 | 0.61 | 0.59 | 1.00 | 0.61 | 0.79 | 0.80 |
| JEPI | 0.80 | 0.20 | 0.38 | 0.54 | 0.71 | 0.78 | 0.61 | 1.00 | 0.77 | 0.79 |
| VTHRX | 0.93 | 0.30 | 0.44 | 0.63 | 0.67 | 0.71 | 0.79 | 0.77 | 1.00 | 0.97 |
| Portfolio | 0.91 | 0.30 | 0.58 | 0.68 | 0.74 | 0.78 | 0.80 | 0.79 | 0.97 | 1.00 |