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Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


USHY 5.00%1 position 1.00%MLPA 7.50%JEPI 5.00%1 position 1.00%VTHRX 68.00%PFFD 7.50%VNQ 5.00%BondBondEquityEquityMulti-AssetMulti-AssetPreferred StockPreferred StockReal EstateReal Estate

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.


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The earliest data available for this chart is May 21, 2020, corresponding to the inception date of JEPI

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.72%-3.54%-3.95%-2.09%15.95%16.96%10.34%12.24%
Portfolio
Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030
0.02%-2.81%0.38%1.84%11.33%11.07%6.41%
VTHRX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund
1.80%-4.21%-1.04%0.92%14.44%11.80%5.88%8.19%
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate ETF
0.36%-6.21%1.67%-0.84%2.18%6.57%2.86%4.69%
JEPI
JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF
0.27%-4.29%0.46%3.19%8.06%9.67%8.32%
SCHD
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF
-0.55%-3.43%12.17%12.91%13.70%11.84%8.32%12.25%
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
0.00%-1.08%0.41%0.15%2.76%2.98%1.24%2.49%
PFFD
Global X U.S. Preferred ETF
0.49%-3.65%-1.20%-2.91%3.43%4.06%-0.42%
MLPA
Global X MLP ETF
-0.71%-1.40%12.65%14.71%7.44%17.45%18.47%8.07%
USHY
iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
0.33%-0.67%-0.05%0.98%7.26%8.45%4.21%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 22, 2020, Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.80%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 7.2 years.

Historically, 68% of months were positive and 32% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +8.6%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -7.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.

On a daily basis, Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +4.4%, while the worst single day was Jun 11, 2020 at -4.2%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20262.45%2.09%-4.03%0.02%0.38%
20252.38%0.87%-2.14%-0.38%2.64%2.78%0.75%1.91%1.63%0.79%0.75%0.26%12.83%
20240.22%2.12%2.19%-3.02%2.87%1.25%2.26%2.07%1.89%-1.91%3.56%-3.10%10.59%
20236.06%-2.70%1.47%0.99%-1.26%3.37%2.29%-1.65%-2.96%-2.31%7.09%3.90%14.55%
2022-2.82%-1.70%0.72%-5.40%0.98%-6.57%6.36%-3.01%-7.07%4.15%5.35%-3.41%-12.75%
2021-0.02%1.72%2.61%3.32%1.60%1.59%0.31%0.92%-2.35%3.39%-2.21%3.19%14.79%

Benchmark Metrics

Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 has an annualized alpha of 1.34%, beta of 0.56, and R² of 0.86 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 22, 2020.

  • This portfolio participated in 69.10% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 60.54% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
  • Beta of 0.56 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.

Alpha
1.34%
Beta
0.56
0.86
Upside Capture
60.54%
Downside Capture
69.10%

Expense Ratio

Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 has an expense ratio of 0.14%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 ranks 42 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.


Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 Risk / Return Rank: 4242
Overall Rank
Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 Sharpe Ratio Rank: 4747
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 Sortino Ratio Rank: 4242
Sortino Ratio Rank
Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 Omega Ratio Rank: 4949
Omega Ratio Rank
Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 Calmar Ratio Rank: 3131
Calmar Ratio Rank
Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 Martin Ratio Rank: 4343
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.21

0.92

+0.29

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

1.71

1.41

+0.30

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.26

1.21

+0.05

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

1.54

1.41

+0.12

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

7.46

6.61

+0.85


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
VTHRX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund
811.462.091.302.058.88
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate ETF
150.130.301.040.180.70
JEPI
JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF
340.610.951.160.793.83
SCHD
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF
430.881.321.191.053.55
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
320.670.931.121.032.99
PFFD
Global X U.S. Preferred ETF
230.410.621.080.571.67
MLPA
Global X MLP ETF
240.470.711.100.611.51
USHY
iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
761.321.941.311.919.64

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 Sharpe ratios as of Apr 2, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.21
  • 5-Year: 0.64
  • All Time: 0.95

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.00 to 1.70, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 provided a 4.83% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio4.83%4.83%4.46%3.82%3.95%13.76%3.96%3.22%3.67%1.08%2.44%3.46%
VTHRX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2030 Fund
4.07%4.03%3.63%2.59%2.53%17.56%2.56%2.38%2.71%0.06%2.38%3.72%
VNQ
Vanguard Real Estate ETF
3.92%3.92%3.85%3.95%3.91%2.56%3.93%3.39%4.74%4.23%4.82%3.92%
JEPI
JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF
8.46%8.25%7.33%8.40%11.68%6.59%5.79%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SCHD
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF
3.46%3.82%3.64%3.49%3.39%2.78%3.16%2.98%3.06%2.63%2.89%2.97%
TIP
iShares TIPS Bond ETF
2.80%3.46%2.52%2.73%6.96%4.28%1.17%1.75%2.71%2.07%1.48%0.34%
PFFD
Global X U.S. Preferred ETF
6.53%6.37%6.42%6.49%6.63%5.09%5.17%5.48%6.21%1.94%0.00%0.00%
MLPA
Global X MLP ETF
7.20%7.82%7.25%7.49%7.30%8.72%13.84%9.09%10.00%8.05%7.15%9.29%
USHY
iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
6.95%6.79%6.89%6.63%6.08%5.07%5.30%5.92%6.30%0.73%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 was 18.41%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 322 trading sessions.

The current Vanguard Modified Target Retirement 2030 drawdown is 4.09%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-18.41%Nov 10, 2021234Oct 14, 2022322Jan 29, 2024556
-9.74%Feb 21, 202533Apr 8, 202538Jun 3, 202571
-5.75%Jun 9, 202014Jun 26, 202026Aug 4, 202040
-5.4%Feb 27, 202622Mar 30, 2026
-5.3%Sep 3, 202015Sep 24, 202012Oct 12, 202027

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.08, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkTIPMLPAPFFDVNQSCHDUSHYJEPIVTHRXPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.170.420.560.630.720.720.800.930.91
TIP0.171.000.070.370.280.130.400.200.300.30
MLPA0.420.071.000.310.400.540.360.380.440.58
PFFD0.560.370.311.000.530.490.670.540.630.68
VNQ0.630.280.400.531.000.700.610.710.670.74
SCHD0.720.130.540.490.701.000.590.780.710.78
USHY0.720.400.360.670.610.591.000.610.790.80
JEPI0.800.200.380.540.710.780.611.000.770.79
VTHRX0.930.300.440.630.670.710.790.771.000.97
Portfolio0.910.300.580.680.740.780.800.790.971.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from May 22, 2020