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4.12
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Portfolio Optimizer

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 4.12, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.50%0.31%8.56%8.85%24.33%19.37%11.84%13.61%
Portfolio
4.12
0.49%0.48%21.80%23.87%51.54%
AIS
VistaShares Artificial Intelligence Supercycle ETF
0.76%13.27%103.39%110.47%195.97%
CCNR
ALPS/CoreCommodity Natural Resources ETF
0.78%-3.42%21.92%23.45%55.12%
FTXL
First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF
2.27%15.13%108.47%110.95%204.23%57.13%33.62%
IDV
iShares International Select Dividend ETF
0.31%0.43%13.60%15.83%36.40%25.11%12.17%10.92%
XTL
SPDR S&P Telecom ETF
0.16%2.24%51.28%51.62%120.42%46.01%18.76%16.27%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Dec 3, 2024, 4.12's average daily return is +0.15%, while the average monthly return is +3.10%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 1.9 years.

Historically, 84% of months were positive and 16% were negative. The best month was Jan 2026 with a return of +8.4%, while the worst month was Dec 2024 at -3.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 14 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 1 months.

On a daily basis, 4.12 closed higher 61% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +6.9%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -6.9%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20268.38%7.40%-2.97%6.58%1.93%-0.73%21.80%
20253.07%2.30%3.74%1.75%5.26%5.61%1.33%6.14%3.16%3.62%2.21%3.83%50.98%
2024-3.77%-3.77%

Benchmark Metrics

4.12 has an annualized alpha of 32.87%, beta of 0.70, and R2 of 0.57 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since December 03, 2024.

  • This portfolio captured 120.73% of S&P 500 Index gains and tended to rise during its downturns (downside capture of -72.15%) - a profile typical of hedging or uncorrelated assets.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 32.87% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • Beta of 0.70 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.

Alpha
32.87%
Beta
0.70
0.57
Upside Capture
120.73%
Downside Capture
-72.15%

Expense Ratio

4.12 has an expense ratio of 0.46%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

4.12 ranks 96 for risk / return — in the top 96% of Portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.


4.12 Risk / Return Rank: 9696
Overall Rank
4.12 Sharpe Ratio Rank: 9696
Sharpe Ratio Rank
4.12 Sortino Ratio Rank: 9595
Sortino Ratio Rank
4.12 Omega Ratio Rank: 9696
Omega Ratio Rank
4.12 Calmar Ratio Rank: 9696
Calmar Ratio Rank
4.12 Martin Ratio Rank: 9696
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 4.12 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

3.52

1.86

+1.66

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

4.36

2.53

+1.82

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.63

1.34

+0.29

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

7.25

2.53

+4.72

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

27.51

11.37

+16.14


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
AIS
VistaShares Artificial Intelligence Supercycle ETF
96
4.854.571.6512.0737.31
CCNR
ALPS/CoreCommodity Natural Resources ETF
93
3.053.711.517.2525.70
FTXL
First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF
97
5.104.761.6613.6847.98
IDV
iShares International Select Dividend ETF
87
2.693.521.494.1315.32
XTL
SPDR S&P Telecom ETF
95
3.884.261.567.9533.56

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk. Learn how to interpret the Sharpe ratio.

The current 4.12 Sharpe ratio is 3.52 as of Jun 13, 2026 (the value is recalculated daily), calculated over the past 12 months.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.54 to 2.41, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio is in the top 25%. This signifies superior risk-adjusted performance, meaning the portfolio is delivering strong returns for the level of risk taken compared to most others.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of 4.12 compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

4.12 provided a 3.63% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio3.63%4.15%4.56%4.29%4.83%3.84%3.62%3.42%3.98%3.07%3.12%3.38%
AIS
VistaShares Artificial Intelligence Supercycle ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
CCNR
ALPS/CoreCommodity Natural Resources ETF
2.86%3.48%1.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
FTXL
First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF
0.13%0.28%0.54%0.60%0.89%0.25%0.48%0.92%0.71%0.47%0.12%0.00%
IDV
iShares International Select Dividend ETF
4.40%4.94%6.46%6.51%7.33%5.78%5.47%5.15%5.93%4.52%4.69%5.08%
XTL
SPDR S&P Telecom ETF
0.86%1.05%0.62%0.80%0.74%1.25%0.88%0.92%1.90%2.08%1.11%1.38%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 4.12. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the 4.12 was 13.86%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 13 trading sessions.

The current 4.12 drawdown is 1.91%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

2025 selloff2025
-13.86%Apr 2025
19d20d
1mo 9dMar 2025 - Apr 2025
2026 pullback2026
-7.01%Mar 2026
22d19d
1mo 11dFeb 2026 - Apr 2026
2024 pullback2024
-5.80%Dec 2024
13d1mo 23d
2mo 6dDec 2024 - Feb 2025
2025 pullback2025
-5.11%Nov 2025
7d8d
15dNov 2025 - Nov 2025
2026 pullback2026
-4.98%Jun 2026
7d
12d 21hJun 2026 - now

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.04, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.16

1.14

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.14, placing it in the bottom quartile across portfolios — positions are highly correlated. Consider adding assets from different classes or sectors to reduce risk.

4.12 correlation to the S&P 500 Index

4.12 has a 0.70 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.70

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 3, 2024

0.64


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. AIS has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.77, while CCNR has the lowest at 0.47.

CCNR
0.47
IDV
0.51
XTL
0.71
FTXL
0.74
AIS
0.77

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. 4.12. IDV has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.90, while FTXL has the lowest at 0.58.

FTXL
0.58
XTL
0.62
AIS
0.62
CCNR
0.84
IDV
0.90

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

IDVCCNRXTLFTXLAIS
IDV1.000.630.380.370.42
CCNR0.631.000.500.490.49
XTL0.380.501.000.680.72
FTXL0.370.490.681.000.88
AIS0.420.490.720.881.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Dec 3, 2024
Diversification Analysis

Find what 4.12 is missing

See which holdings overlap, where 4.12 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification