Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares | Short-Term Bond | 30% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 15% |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | Technology | 10% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | Technology | 10% |
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. | Financial Services | 10% |
COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. | Financial Services | 5% |
IONQ IonQ, Inc. | Technology | 5% |
VIG Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF | Dividend | 5% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | Financial Services | 5% |
MSCI MSCI Inc. | Financial Services | 5% |
Find the right asset allocation for AI Experiment 7
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Open Portfolio OptimizerPerformance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in AI Experiment 7, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | 0.31% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio AI Experiment 7 | -0.06% | -1.97% | -1.21% | -1.39% | 10.40% | 40.31% | 28.43% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. | 0.71% | 1.36% | -2.67% | -2.06% | 0.35% | 13.30% | 11.27% | 13.22% |
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares | 0.00% | 0.41% | 0.42% | 0.75% | 3.67% | 4.57% | 1.63% | 1.94% |
COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. | -0.41% | -18.24% | -29.34% | -40.26% | -34.17% | 45.01% | -6.53% | — |
IONQ IonQ, Inc. | -0.24% | 11.36% | 28.93% | 14.90% | 52.88% | 75.90% | 40.49% | — |
MSCI MSCI Inc. | 0.81% | 6.66% | 5.22% | 9.54% | 11.93% | 9.01% | 5.72% | 24.54% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 0.10% | -7.19% | -18.85% | -17.98% | -17.07% | 6.16% | 9.56% | 24.39% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.16% | -8.83% | 10.16% | 17.38% | 44.72% | 71.13% | 63.13% | 67.95% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 0.42% | 1.69% | -5.09% | -7.97% | -19.25% | 19.07% | 19.40% | 23.64% |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | -2.36% | -4.48% | -27.99% | -30.28% | -6.85% | 99.99% | 39.00% | — |
VIG Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF | 0.53% | 2.76% | 7.68% | 6.99% | 19.52% | 15.98% | 10.74% | 13.24% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Apr 14, 2021, AI Experiment 7's average daily return is +0.11%, while the average monthly return is +2.25%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.6 years.
Historically, 59% of months were positive and 41% were negative. The best month was Nov 2024 with a return of +23.2%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -14.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 9 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, AI Experiment 7 closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.9%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -5.2%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -3.83% | -2.45% | -2.80% | 6.93% | 8.14% | -6.31% | -1.21% | ||||||
| 2025 | 0.62% | -0.69% | -3.52% | 6.67% | 10.11% | 6.69% | 3.39% | -0.41% | 6.19% | 1.46% | -5.06% | -0.07% | 27.17% |
| 2024 | 3.42% | 13.35% | 4.51% | -5.58% | 6.15% | 3.77% | 2.23% | 3.35% | 3.48% | 4.38% | 23.23% | 2.12% | 82.97% |
| 2023 | 13.82% | 4.21% | 8.80% | -1.92% | 19.68% | 6.60% | 9.50% | -3.68% | -3.49% | -2.60% | 13.23% | 3.26% | 87.17% |
| 2022 | -8.86% | -0.57% | 3.22% | -14.66% | -2.73% | -7.21% | 10.48% | -6.31% | -6.72% | 6.00% | 3.29% | -7.86% | -29.81% |
| 2021 | -2.05% | 0.33% | 6.60% | -1.59% | 5.88% | -4.45% | 11.69% | 5.51% | -5.26% | 16.46% |
Benchmark Metrics
AI Experiment 7 has an annualized alpha of 14.00%, beta of 1.08, and R2 of 0.66 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since April 14, 2021.
- This portfolio captured 143.57% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 81.92% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 14.00% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 1.08 and R2 of 0.66, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index - much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 14.00%
- Beta
- 1.08
- R²
- 0.66
- Upside Capture
- 143.57%
- Downside Capture
- 81.92%
Expense Ratio
AI Experiment 7 has an expense ratio of 0.01%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
AI Experiment 7 ranks 9 for risk / return — in the bottom 9% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for AI Experiment 7 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.62 | 1.86 | -1.25 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.95 | 2.53 | -1.58 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.12 | 1.34 | -0.22 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.59 | 2.53 | -1.94 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.42 | 11.37 | -9.95 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. | 38 | -0.02 | 0.08 | 1.01 | -0.02 | -0.05 |
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares | 69 | 2.01 | 3.23 | 1.39 | 2.79 | 9.42 |
COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. | 24 | -0.48 | -0.35 | 0.96 | -0.51 | -0.82 |
IONQ IonQ, Inc. | 60 | 0.53 | 1.43 | 1.16 | 0.73 | 1.33 |
MSCI MSCI Inc. | 52 | 0.33 | 0.65 | 1.09 | 0.52 | 1.37 |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 17 | -0.70 | -0.84 | 0.89 | -0.53 | -1.08 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 74 | 1.20 | 1.75 | 1.21 | 2.07 | 4.94 |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 11 | -0.87 | -1.13 | 0.87 | -0.80 | -1.23 |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | 37 | -0.11 | 0.20 | 1.03 | -0.14 | -0.25 |
VIG Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF | 58 | 1.80 | 2.61 | 1.32 | 2.32 | 9.34 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
AI Experiment 7 provided a 1.79% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.79% | 1.47% | 1.26% | 0.97% | 0.73% | 0.93% | 0.90% | 1.18% | 1.10% | 0.93% | 1.05% | 1.11% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares | 3.99% | 3.83% | 3.38% | 2.46% | 1.50% | 1.45% | 1.79% | 2.29% | 1.99% | 1.65% | 1.48% | 1.40% |
COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IONQ IonQ, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
MSCI MSCI Inc. | 1.29% | 1.25% | 1.07% | 0.98% | 0.98% | 0.59% | 0.65% | 0.98% | 1.30% | 1.04% | 1.27% | 1.11% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 0.91% | 0.70% | 0.73% | 0.74% | 1.06% | 0.68% | 0.94% | 1.20% | 1.69% | 1.86% | 2.37% | 2.33% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.14% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 6.84% | 2.15% | 0.48% | 0.25% | 0.31% | 6.23% | 2.68% | 3.89% | 1.86% | 1.21% | 2.50% | 2.16% |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VIG Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF | 1.47% | 1.62% | 1.73% | 1.88% | 1.96% | 1.55% | 1.63% | 1.71% | 2.08% | 1.88% | 2.14% | 2.34% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the AI Experiment 7. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the AI Experiment 7 was 37.75%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 165 trading sessions.
The current AI Experiment 7 drawdown is 7.20%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -37.75%Oct 2022 | 10mo 26d | 8mo 2d | 1y 6moNov 2021 - Jun 2023 |
2026 correction2026 | -16.73%Mar 2026 | 5mo 21d | — | 8mo 8dOct 2025 - now |
2025 selloff2025 | -15.92%Apr 2025 | 1mo 14d | 1mo 9d | 2mo 23dFeb 2025 - May 2025 |
2023 correction2023 | -10.31%Oct 2023 | 2mo 27d | 18d | 3mo 15dAug 2023 - Nov 2023 |
2024 pullback2024 | -9.13%Aug 2024 | 19d | 14d | 1mo 3dJul 2024 - Aug 2024 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 10 assets, with an effective number of assets of 6.45, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your allocation shows noticeable concentration: a few holdings carry significantly more weight than the rest. Rebalancing toward more even weights — or adding less correlated assets — could reduce risk.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.69 | 1.58 | 1.46 | 1.46 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.46, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
AI Experiment 7 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.70 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.76 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.80 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 14, 2021 | 0.80 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VIG has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.90, while BSV has the lowest at 0.14.
Asset Correlations Table
| BSV | PGR | BRK-B | IONQ | COIN | MSCI | PLTR | NVDA | MSFT | VIG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSV | 1.00 | -0.03 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.17 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| PGR | -0.03 | 1.00 | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.20 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
| BRK-B | 0.04 | 0.47 | 1.00 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.38 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.28 | 0.64 |
| IONQ | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.31 | 0.53 | 0.39 | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| COIN | 0.08 | 0.03 | 0.19 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.55 | 0.47 | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| MSCI | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.38 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.39 | 0.51 | 0.62 |
| PLTR | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.17 | 0.53 | 0.55 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.52 | 0.48 | 0.42 |
| NVDA | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.19 | 0.39 | 0.47 | 0.39 | 0.52 | 1.00 | 0.61 | 0.47 |
| MSFT | 0.08 | 0.13 | 0.28 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.51 | 0.48 | 0.61 | 1.00 | 0.57 |
| VIG | 0.17 | 0.36 | 0.64 | 0.39 | 0.42 | 0.62 | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.57 | 1.00 |
Find what AI Experiment 7 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where AI Experiment 7 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification