Asset Allocation
Find the right asset allocation for 444
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 444, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -1.44% | -1.45% | 7.60% | 6.59% | 22.24% | 19.20% | 11.54% | 13.71% |
Portfolio 444 | -4.59% | -25.46% | -30.27% | -35.21% | -53.25% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
CONL GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF | -7.83% | -30.11% | -65.46% | -70.11% | -86.06% | -14.86% | — | — |
DPST Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares | 4.14% | 16.60% | 31.18% | 20.48% | 66.43% | 41.35% | -20.53% | -11.17% |
MSTU T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF | -10.37% | -61.22% | -70.88% | -73.38% | -96.65% | — | — | — |
MSTY YieldMax™ MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF | -4.55% | -31.74% | -27.80% | -29.80% | -66.58% | — | — | — |
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | -8.23% | -15.60% | 2.41% | -0.74% | 52.74% | 92.63% | — | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 18, 2024, 444's average daily return is +0.13%, while the average monthly return is +1.92%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.0 years.
Historically, 45% of months were positive and 55% were negative. The best month was Nov 2024 with a return of +63.2%, while the worst month was Dec 2024 at -33.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 4 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, 444 closed higher 50% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +32.1%, while the worst single day was Mar 10, 2025 at -20.7%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -3.57% | -19.06% | -5.70% | 29.90% | -2.75% | -25.00% | -30.27% | ||||||
| 2025 | 10.59% | -26.59% | -15.42% | 15.84% | 14.61% | 38.86% | 6.14% | -14.05% | 0.59% | -10.38% | -27.74% | -5.71% | -29.07% |
| 2024 | 22.98% | 28.37% | 63.22% | -32.98% | 72.69% |
Benchmark Metrics
444 has an annualized alpha of -25.96%, beta of 3.71, and R2 of 0.46 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 18, 2024.
- This portfolio participated in 318.90% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 250.90% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- R2 of 0.46 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- -25.96%
- Beta
- 3.71
- R²
- 0.46
- Upside Capture
- 250.90%
- Downside Capture
- 318.90%
Expense Ratio
444 has a high expense ratio of 1.05%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
444 ranks 1 for risk / return — in the bottom 1% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 444 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.76 | 1.78 | -2.54 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.01 | 2.44 | -3.45 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.89 | 1.32 | -0.44 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.78 | 2.46 | -3.24 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.15 | 10.92 | -12.07 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CONL GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF | 3 | -0.63 | -1.10 | 0.88 | -0.93 | -1.25 |
DPST Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares | 31 | 0.97 | 1.59 | 1.21 | 1.65 | 3.66 |
MSTU T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF | 2 | -0.68 | -2.29 | 0.76 | -0.99 | -1.23 |
MSTY YieldMax™ MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF | 1 | -1.08 | -1.96 | 0.79 | -0.93 | -1.35 |
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | 24 | 0.75 | 1.41 | 1.17 | 1.25 | 2.75 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
444 provided a 57.53% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 57.53% | 59.36% | 21.28% | 2.61% | 0.30% | 0.12% | 0.18% | 0.26% | 0.44% | 0.06% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||
CONL GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DPST Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares | 1.61% | 2.18% | 1.55% | 1.78% | 1.51% | 0.58% | 0.90% | 1.29% | 2.18% | 0.30% |
MSTU T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
MSTY YieldMax™ MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF | 286.06% | 294.61% | 104.56% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 444. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 444 was 74.97%, occurring on Mar 30, 2026. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current 444 drawdown is 73.00%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 bear market2026 | -74.97%Mar 2026 | 1y 4mo | — | 1y 7moNov 2024 - now |
2024 correction2024 | -16.81%Nov 2024 | 5d | 2d | 7dOct 2024 - Nov 2024 |
2024 correction2024 | -12.97%Nov 2024 | 1d | 4d | 5dNov 2024 - Nov 2024 |
2024 correction2024 | -12.24%Oct 2024 | 1d | 7d | 8dSep 2024 - Oct 2024 |
2024 pullback2024 | -4.85%Oct 2024 | 2d | 1d | 3dOct 2024 - Oct 2024 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.26 | 1.25 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.25, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
444 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.68 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 18, 2024 | 0.67 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. NVDL has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.65, while MSTY has the lowest at 0.46.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 444 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 444 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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