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444
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 444, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
-1.44%-1.45%7.60%6.59%22.24%19.20%11.54%13.71%
Portfolio
444
-4.59%-25.46%-30.27%-35.21%-53.25%
CONL
GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF
-7.83%-30.11%-65.46%-70.11%-86.06%-14.86%
DPST
Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares
4.14%16.60%31.18%20.48%66.43%41.35%-20.53%-11.17%
MSTU
T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF
-10.37%-61.22%-70.88%-73.38%-96.65%
MSTY
YieldMax™ MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF
-4.55%-31.74%-27.80%-29.80%-66.58%
NVDL
GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF
-8.23%-15.60%2.41%-0.74%52.74%92.63%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 18, 2024, 444's average daily return is +0.13%, while the average monthly return is +1.92%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.0 years.

Historically, 45% of months were positive and 55% were negative. The best month was Nov 2024 with a return of +63.2%, while the worst month was Dec 2024 at -33.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 4 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.

On a daily basis, 444 closed higher 50% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +32.1%, while the worst single day was Mar 10, 2025 at -20.7%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026-3.57%-19.06%-5.70%29.90%-2.75%-25.00%-30.27%
202510.59%-26.59%-15.42%15.84%14.61%38.86%6.14%-14.05%0.59%-10.38%-27.74%-5.71%-29.07%
202422.98%28.37%63.22%-32.98%72.69%

Benchmark Metrics

444 has an annualized alpha of -25.96%, beta of 3.71, and R2 of 0.46 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 18, 2024.

  • This portfolio participated in 318.90% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 250.90% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
  • R2 of 0.46 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
-25.96%
Beta
3.71
0.46
Upside Capture
250.90%
Downside Capture
318.90%

Expense Ratio

444 has a high expense ratio of 1.05%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

444 ranks 1 for risk / return — in the bottom 1% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


444 Risk / Return Rank: 11
Overall Rank
444 Sharpe Ratio Rank: 11
Sharpe Ratio Rank
444 Sortino Ratio Rank: 11
Sortino Ratio Rank
444 Omega Ratio Rank: 11
Omega Ratio Rank
444 Calmar Ratio Rank: 00
Calmar Ratio Rank
444 Martin Ratio Rank: 11
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 444 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.76

1.78

-2.54

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-1.01

2.44

-3.45

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.89

1.32

-0.44

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.78

2.46

-3.24

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-1.15

10.92

-12.07


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
CONL
GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF
3
-0.63-1.100.88-0.93-1.25
DPST
Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares
31
0.971.591.211.653.66
MSTU
T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF
2
-0.68-2.290.76-0.99-1.23
MSTY
YieldMax™ MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF
1
-1.08-1.960.79-0.93-1.35
NVDL
GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF
24
0.751.411.171.252.75

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk. Learn how to interpret the Sharpe ratio.

The current 444 Sharpe ratio is -0.76 as of Jun 23, 2026 (the value is recalculated daily), calculated over the past 12 months.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.63 to 2.57, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of 444 compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

444 provided a 57.53% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM202520242023202220212020201920182017
Portfolio57.53%59.36%21.28%2.61%0.30%0.12%0.18%0.26%0.44%0.06%
CONL
GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF
0.00%0.00%0.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
DPST
Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares
1.61%2.18%1.55%1.78%1.51%0.58%0.90%1.29%2.18%0.30%
MSTU
T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
MSTY
YieldMax™ MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF
286.06%294.61%104.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
NVDL
GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%11.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 444. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the 444 was 74.97%, occurring on Mar 30, 2026. The portfolio has not yet recovered.

The current 444 drawdown is 73.00%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

2026 bear market2026
-74.97%Mar 2026
1y 4mo
1y 7moNov 2024 - now
2024 correction2024
-16.81%Nov 2024
5d2d
7dOct 2024 - Nov 2024
2024 correction2024
-12.97%Nov 2024
1d4d
5dNov 2024 - Nov 2024
2024 correction2024
-12.24%Oct 2024
1d7d
8dSep 2024 - Oct 2024
2024 pullback2024
-4.85%Oct 2024
2d1d
3dOct 2024 - Oct 2024

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.26

1.25

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.25, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.

444 correlation to the S&P 500 Index

444 has a 0.68 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.68

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 18, 2024

0.67


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. NVDL has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.65, while MSTY has the lowest at 0.46.

MSTY
0.46
MSTU
0.47
DPST
0.54
CONL
0.58
NVDL
0.65

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. 444. MSTU has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.89, while DPST has the lowest at 0.46.

DPST
0.46
NVDL
0.57
CONL
0.88
MSTY
0.88
MSTU
0.89

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

DPSTNVDLCONLMSTYMSTU
DPST1.000.190.340.260.25
NVDL0.191.000.420.360.37
CONL0.340.421.000.720.72
MSTY0.260.360.721.000.99
MSTU0.250.370.720.991.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Sep 18, 2024
Diversification Analysis

Find what 444 is missing

See which holdings overlap, where 444 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification