Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in First try, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jan 11, 2024, corresponding to the inception date of IBIT
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio First try | -0.05% | -2.93% | -4.40% | -4.23% | 15.00% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AAPL Apple Inc | 0.11% | -2.97% | -5.78% | -0.28% | 14.80% | 16.04% | 16.39% | 26.10% |
SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | 0.16% | -2.44% | 12.35% | 13.88% | 13.89% | 11.70% | 8.35% | 12.30% |
JEPQ JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF | 0.13% | -1.64% | -1.76% | 2.43% | 19.67% | 19.59% | — | — |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | -1.73% | -1.89% | -23.52% | -44.79% | -23.15% | — | — | — |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 0.16% | -3.26% | -3.13% | -1.24% | 17.86% | 18.10% | 10.66% | 13.75% |
IDV iShares International Select Dividend ETF | 0.30% | 0.77% | 8.93% | 19.54% | 44.88% | 22.73% | 12.82% | 10.28% |
SPAXX Fidelity Government Money Market Fund | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.53% | 1.46% | 3.49% | 2.14% | — | — |
VTTVX Vanguard Target Retirement 2025 Fund | 0.56% | -1.97% | -0.20% | 1.43% | 13.06% | 10.85% | 5.29% | 7.48% |
SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares | 0.24% | -11.17% | -13.85% | -11.42% | 32.41% | 38.15% | 17.57% | 25.75% |
DIS The Walt Disney Company | 0.05% | -6.48% | -15.08% | -13.27% | -0.21% | -0.29% | -12.15% | 0.60% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 12, 2024, First try's average daily return is +0.07%, while the average monthly return is +1.39%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 4.2 years.
Historically, 68% of months were positive and 32% were negative. The best month was Nov 2024 with a return of +10.2%, while the worst month was Apr 2024 at -5.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 6 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, First try closed higher 57% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +9.4%, while the worst single day was Apr 3, 2025 at -5.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.13% | -1.59% | -4.49% | 0.57% | -4.40% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.35% | -1.80% | -5.28% | -0.77% | 6.86% | 5.23% | 1.97% | 2.41% | 3.51% | 1.60% | -1.36% | 0.69% | 15.87% |
| 2024 | 0.58% | 8.36% | 4.41% | -5.49% | 5.62% | 1.39% | 1.98% | 0.66% | 3.08% | -0.47% | 10.21% | -2.39% | 30.49% |
Benchmark Metrics
First try has an annualized alpha of 2.50%, beta of 0.99, and R² of 0.89 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 12, 2024.
- This portfolio captured 110.75% of S&P 500 Index gains and 100.00% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 2.50% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 0.99 and R² of 0.89, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 2.50%
- Beta
- 0.99
- R²
- 0.89
- Upside Capture
- 110.75%
- Downside Capture
- 100.00%
Expense Ratio
First try has an expense ratio of 0.21%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
First try ranks 19 for risk / return — in the bottom 19% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.80 | 0.88 | -0.08 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.24 | 1.37 | -0.13 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.18 | 1.21 | -0.03 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.14 | 1.39 | -0.25 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 5.13 | 6.43 | -1.31 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AAPL Apple Inc | 55 | 0.47 | 0.92 | 1.13 | 0.66 | 2.04 |
SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | 40 | 0.89 | 1.34 | 1.19 | 1.09 | 3.69 |
JEPQ JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF | 63 | 1.07 | 1.63 | 1.26 | 1.75 | 8.55 |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 5 | -0.51 | -0.49 | 0.94 | -0.43 | -0.91 |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 54 | 0.94 | 1.47 | 1.22 | 1.53 | 7.16 |
IDV iShares International Select Dividend ETF | 96 | 2.89 | 3.59 | 1.59 | 4.17 | 18.36 |
SPAXX Fidelity Government Money Market Fund | — | 3.48 | — | — | — | — |
VTTVX Vanguard Target Retirement 2025 Fund | 80 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.33 | 2.25 | 9.53 |
SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares | 35 | 0.60 | 1.17 | 1.18 | 1.04 | 4.10 |
DIS The Walt Disney Company | 37 | -0.01 | 0.21 | 1.03 | -0.00 | -0.00 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
First try provided a 3.10% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 3.10% | 3.12% | 2.97% | 2.58% | 2.44% | 2.48% | 1.45% | 1.51% | 1.79% | 1.58% | 1.55% | 1.79% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AAPL Apple Inc | 0.41% | 0.38% | 0.40% | 0.49% | 0.70% | 0.49% | 0.61% | 1.04% | 1.79% | 1.45% | 1.93% | 1.93% |
SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | 3.45% | 3.82% | 3.64% | 3.49% | 3.39% | 2.78% | 3.16% | 2.98% | 3.06% | 2.63% | 2.89% | 2.97% |
JEPQ JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF | 11.12% | 10.53% | 9.65% | 10.03% | 9.44% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.16% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
IDV iShares International Select Dividend ETF | 4.59% | 4.94% | 6.46% | 6.51% | 7.33% | 5.78% | 5.47% | 5.15% | 5.93% | 4.52% | 4.69% | 5.08% |
SPAXX Fidelity Government Money Market Fund | 3.42% | 3.88% | 1.53% | 0.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VTTVX Vanguard Target Retirement 2025 Fund | 7.40% | 7.38% | 7.63% | 3.96% | 2.96% | 16.28% | 4.35% | 2.57% | 3.14% | 0.47% | 2.68% | 4.98% |
SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares | 0.78% | 0.69% | 0.74% | 0.98% | 0.32% | 0.11% | 0.22% | 0.84% | 1.02% | 3.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DIS The Walt Disney Company | 1.29% | 1.10% | 0.85% | 0.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.22% | 1.57% | 1.51% | 1.43% | 1.30% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the First try. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the First try was 20.14%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 52 trading sessions.
The current First try drawdown is 6.30%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -20.14% | Dec 17, 2024 | 76 | Apr 8, 2025 | 52 | Jun 24, 2025 | 128 |
| -9.66% | Jul 17, 2024 | 14 | Aug 5, 2024 | 35 | Sep 24, 2024 | 49 |
| -9.34% | Jan 15, 2026 | 50 | Mar 27, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -6.45% | Oct 29, 2025 | 17 | Nov 20, 2025 | 33 | Jan 9, 2026 | 50 |
| -6.06% | Apr 1, 2024 | 23 | May 1, 2024 | 12 | May 17, 2024 | 35 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 11 assets, with an effective number of assets of 11.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | SPAXX | IBIT | DIS | AAPL | IDV | SCHD | VONG | JEPQ | VTTVX | SPXL | VTI | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 0.54 | 0.48 | 0.51 | 0.94 | 0.93 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.90 |
| SPAXX | 0.00 | 1.00 | -0.06 | 0.08 | 0.04 | -0.07 | 0.08 | -0.02 | -0.04 | -0.01 | -0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| IBIT | 0.40 | -0.06 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.14 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 0.66 |
| DIS | 0.42 | 0.08 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.46 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.54 |
| AAPL | 0.54 | 0.04 | 0.14 | 0.23 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.54 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 0.54 | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| IDV | 0.48 | -0.07 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.52 | 0.36 | 0.40 | 0.67 | 0.49 | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| SCHD | 0.51 | 0.08 | 0.23 | 0.46 | 0.30 | 0.52 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.57 | 0.51 | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| VONG | 0.94 | -0.02 | 0.38 | 0.32 | 0.54 | 0.36 | 0.27 | 1.00 | 0.96 | 0.81 | 0.94 | 0.92 | 0.83 |
| JEPQ | 0.93 | -0.04 | 0.38 | 0.33 | 0.52 | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.96 | 1.00 | 0.83 | 0.93 | 0.92 | 0.83 |
| VTTVX | 0.90 | -0.01 | 0.39 | 0.42 | 0.49 | 0.67 | 0.57 | 0.81 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.92 | 0.85 |
| SPXL | 1.00 | -0.00 | 0.40 | 0.42 | 0.54 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.94 | 0.93 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.90 |
| VTI | 0.99 | -0.01 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.53 | 0.50 | 0.55 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 0.91 |
| Portfolio | 0.90 | -0.01 | 0.66 | 0.54 | 0.56 | 0.53 | 0.55 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.90 | 0.91 | 1.00 |