Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 60% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | Technology | 40% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 30% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 20% | |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | Financial Services | 20% |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | Consumer Defensive | 20% |
BTAL AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund | Equity Market Neutral, Long-Short | 10% |
SOXL Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF | Leveraged Equities, Semiconductors | -40% |
BIL SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | Government Bonds, Ultrashort Bond | -60% |
Find the right asset allocation for OVER SPY
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
Open Portfolio OptimizerPerformance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in OVER SPY, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
Loading charts...
Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.00% | -0.71% | 8.39% | 8.57% | 24.33% | 18.94% | 12.24% | 13.54% |
Portfolio OVER SPY | 0.11% | 824.29% | -194.03% | -196.03% | -190.31% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 4.70% | -0.67% | 19.10% | 21.34% | 65.49% | 70.21% | 57.88% | 42.14% |
BIL SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 0.04% | 0.29% | 1.66% | 1.75% | 3.85% | 4.63% | 3.45% | 2.20% |
BTAL AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund | -2.92% | -10.46% | -23.84% | -22.94% | -38.64% | -13.54% | -6.13% | -5.40% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | -0.63% | -15.41% | -27.06% | -28.00% | -37.53% | 28.77% | 14.42% | 58.67% |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | -1.46% | -7.47% | 10.64% | 11.51% | -2.40% | 23.66% | 21.40% | 21.83% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -0.38% | -7.16% | -2.32% | -2.98% | 24.83% | 28.69% | 18.61% | 12.13% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 2.95% | -2.04% | 13.11% | 16.55% | 46.66% | 70.37% | 62.53% | 68.15% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 0.22% | 2.69% | -4.27% | -2.80% | -16.73% | 19.92% | 19.94% | 23.84% |
SOXL Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF | 19.43% | 56.56% | 564.50% | 569.44% | 1,221.33% | 124.34% | 50.47% | 65.95% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 6, 2012, OVER SPY's average daily return is +0.25%, while the average monthly return is +4.75%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 1.2 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Jun 2026 with a return of +139.9%, while the worst month was May 2026 at -196.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 12 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, OVER SPY closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was May 14, 2026 with a return of +772.3%, while the worst single day was May 22, 2026 at -477.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -15.67% | -5.36% | 7.85% | -52.94% | -196.79% | 139.88% | -194.03% | ||||||
| 2025 | -1.65% | 6.49% | -2.07% | 20.57% | 15.81% | -3.22% | 7.92% | -2.03% | -0.27% | -9.32% | 3.83% | -6.62% | 28.48% |
| 2024 | 19.74% | 19.59% | 13.15% | 1.83% | 12.05% | 9.87% | 6.60% | 9.32% | 6.85% | 14.04% | 11.99% | 7.97% | 248.71% |
| 2023 | 14.32% | 11.60% | 12.99% | 8.20% | 13.48% | 6.37% | 0.97% | 10.79% | -2.93% | 15.74% | 0.16% | -0.36% | 136.17% |
| 2022 | -5.37% | 5.65% | 16.30% | -13.38% | -4.75% | -7.96% | -0.07% | -1.50% | -4.54% | 12.70% | 3.58% | 3.47% | 0.20% |
| 2021 | -2.91% | 2.32% | 11.66% | 11.39% | 0.29% | 8.32% | 5.06% | 11.75% | -3.65% | 21.72% | 4.20% | -2.72% | 87.35% |
Benchmark Metrics
OVER SPY has an annualized alpha of 124.99%, beta of 0.53, and R2 of 0.00 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 06, 2012.
- Beta of 0.53 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.00 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.00 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 124.99%
- Beta
- 0.53
- R²
- 0.00
- Downside Capture
- -166.33%
Expense Ratio
OVER SPY has an expense ratio of -0.05%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
OVER SPY ranks 5 for risk / return — in the bottom 5% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for OVER SPY and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.17 | 1.94 | -2.11 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.68 | 2.65 | -1.97 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.23 | 1.35 | -0.13 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -1.09 | 2.66 | -3.74 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -3.73 | 11.86 | -15.59 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 78 | 1.42 | 1.99 | 1.26 | 2.28 | 5.21 |
BIL SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 100 | 19.53 | 174.17 | 87.91 | 355.36 | 2,817.85 |
BTAL AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund | 0 | -1.70 | -2.69 | 0.72 | -1.00 | -1.84 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 33 | -0.87 | -1.18 | 0.88 | -0.73 | -1.24 |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 35 | -0.10 | -0.01 | 1.00 | -0.12 | -0.27 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 24 | 0.91 | 1.27 | 1.19 | 1.02 | 2.80 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 76 | 1.28 | 1.85 | 1.22 | 2.24 | 5.26 |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 15 | -0.73 | -0.90 | 0.89 | -0.68 | -1.03 |
SOXL Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF | 97 | 10.61 | 4.44 | 1.63 | 27.84 | 89.88 |
Loading charts...
Dividends
Dividend yield
OVER SPY provided a -0.26% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | -0.26% | -1.52% | -2.55% | -1.22% | 0.35% | 2.27% | 2.31% | 1.24% | 0.63% | 1.68% | -0.41% | 2.41% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 0.46% | 0.70% | 0.94% | 1.71% | 3.02% | 2.24% | 3.05% | 3.54% | 3.11% | 1.87% | 1.43% | 1.13% |
BIL SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 3.85% | 4.13% | 5.03% | 4.92% | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.30% | 2.05% | 1.66% | 0.68% | 0.07% | 0.00% |
BTAL AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund | 3.27% | 2.49% | 3.49% | 6.14% | 1.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.88% | 0.39% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 0.56% | 0.59% | 0.49% | 2.87% | 0.76% | 0.54% | 3.38% | 0.86% | 1.08% | 4.81% | 1.09% | 4.06% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.13% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 6.78% | 2.15% | 0.48% | 0.25% | 0.31% | 6.23% | 2.68% | 3.89% | 1.86% | 1.21% | 2.50% | 2.16% |
SOXL Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF | 0.03% | 0.34% | 1.18% | 0.51% | 1.07% | 0.04% | 0.05% | 0.38% | 1.30% | 0.09% | 4.84% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
Loading charts...
Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the OVER SPY. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the OVER SPY was 175.30%, occurring on Jun 18, 2026. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current OVER SPY drawdown is 175.18%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 bear market2026 | -175.30%Jun 2026 | 9mo 10d | — | 9mo 14dSep 2025 - now |
2013 bear market2013 | -38.47%Dec 2013 | 13d | 1y 7mo | 1y 8moDec 2013 - Aug 2015 |
2013 bear market2013 | -31.42%Jul 2013 | 2mo 26d | 3mo 20d | 6mo 16dApr 2013 - Oct 2013 |
2019 bear market2019 | -30.60%Jan 2019 | 1y 1mo | 4mo 21d | 1y 6moDec 2017 - Jun 2019 |
Bear market2022 | -30.21%Sep 2022 | 5mo 24d | 4mo 23d | 10mo 17dApr 2022 - Feb 2023 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
Loading charts...
Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 9 assets, with an effective number of assets of 0.79, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.15 | 1.27 | 1.34 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.34, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
OVER SPY correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.19 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.07 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.20 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.13 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 6, 2012 | 0.10 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SOXL has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.77, while BTAL has the lowest at -0.51.
Asset Correlations Table
| BIL | GLD | BTC-USD | PGR | BTAL | COST | AVGO | NVDA | SOXL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIL | 1.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| GLD | 0.04 | 1.00 | 0.07 | -0.04 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| BTC-USD | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1.00 | 0.01 | -0.11 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| PGR | 0.03 | -0.04 | 0.01 | 1.00 | -0.05 | 0.29 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| BTAL | 0.00 | 0.02 | -0.11 | -0.05 | 1.00 | -0.11 | -0.36 | -0.33 | -0.46 |
| COST | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.29 | -0.11 | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| AVGO | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.10 | 0.18 | -0.36 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.54 | 0.74 |
| NVDA | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.11 | 0.15 | -0.33 | 0.28 | 0.54 | 1.00 | 0.71 |
| SOXL | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.13 | 0.20 | -0.46 | 0.33 | 0.74 | 0.71 | 1.00 |
Find what OVER SPY is missing
See which holdings overlap, where OVER SPY is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification