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OVER SPY
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


BTAL 10.00%GLD 30.00%BTC-USD 20.00%NVDA 60.00%AVGO 40.00%PGR 20.00%COST 20.00%AlternativesAlternativesBondBondCommodityCommodityCryptocurrencyCryptocurrencyEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Portfolio Optimizer

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Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in OVER SPY, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.00%-0.71%8.39%8.57%24.33%18.94%12.24%13.54%
Portfolio
OVER SPY
0.11%824.29%-194.03%-196.03%-190.31%
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
4.70%-0.67%19.10%21.34%65.49%70.21%57.88%42.14%
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
0.04%0.29%1.66%1.75%3.85%4.63%3.45%2.20%
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
-2.92%-10.46%-23.84%-22.94%-38.64%-13.54%-6.13%-5.40%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
-0.63%-15.41%-27.06%-28.00%-37.53%28.77%14.42%58.67%
COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation
-1.46%-7.47%10.64%11.51%-2.40%23.66%21.40%21.83%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
-0.38%-7.16%-2.32%-2.98%24.83%28.69%18.61%12.13%
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
2.95%-2.04%13.11%16.55%46.66%70.37%62.53%68.15%
PGR
The Progressive Corporation
0.22%2.69%-4.27%-2.80%-16.73%19.92%19.94%23.84%
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
19.43%56.56%564.50%569.44%1,221.33%124.34%50.47%65.95%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 6, 2012, OVER SPY's average daily return is +0.25%, while the average monthly return is +4.75%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 1.2 years.

Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Jun 2026 with a return of +139.9%, while the worst month was May 2026 at -196.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 12 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.

On a daily basis, OVER SPY closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was May 14, 2026 with a return of +772.3%, while the worst single day was May 22, 2026 at -477.6%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026-15.67%-5.36%7.85%-52.94%-196.79%139.88%-194.03%
2025-1.65%6.49%-2.07%20.57%15.81%-3.22%7.92%-2.03%-0.27%-9.32%3.83%-6.62%28.48%
202419.74%19.59%13.15%1.83%12.05%9.87%6.60%9.32%6.85%14.04%11.99%7.97%248.71%
202314.32%11.60%12.99%8.20%13.48%6.37%0.97%10.79%-2.93%15.74%0.16%-0.36%136.17%
2022-5.37%5.65%16.30%-13.38%-4.75%-7.96%-0.07%-1.50%-4.54%12.70%3.58%3.47%0.20%
2021-2.91%2.32%11.66%11.39%0.29%8.32%5.06%11.75%-3.65%21.72%4.20%-2.72%87.35%

Benchmark Metrics

OVER SPY has an annualized alpha of 124.99%, beta of 0.53, and R2 of 0.00 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 06, 2012.

  • Beta of 0.53 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.00 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R2 of 0.00 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
124.99%
Beta
0.53
0.00
Downside Capture
-166.33%

Expense Ratio

OVER SPY has an expense ratio of -0.05%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

OVER SPY ranks 5 for risk / return — in the bottom 5% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


OVER SPY Risk / Return Rank: 55
Overall Rank
OVER SPY Sharpe Ratio Rank: 44
Sharpe Ratio Rank
OVER SPY Sortino Ratio Rank: 77
Sortino Ratio Rank
OVER SPY Omega Ratio Rank: 1717
Omega Ratio Rank
OVER SPY Calmar Ratio Rank: 00
Calmar Ratio Rank
OVER SPY Martin Ratio Rank: 00
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for OVER SPY and compares them with S&P 500 Index.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.17

1.94

-2.11

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

0.68

2.65

-1.97

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.23

1.35

-0.13

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-1.09

2.66

-3.74

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-3.73

11.86

-15.59


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
78
1.421.991.262.285.21
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
100
19.53174.1787.91355.362,817.85
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
0
-1.70-2.690.72-1.00-1.84
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
33
-0.87-1.180.88-0.73-1.24
COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation
35
-0.10-0.011.00-0.12-0.27
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
24
0.911.271.191.022.80
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
76
1.281.851.222.245.26
PGR
The Progressive Corporation
15
-0.73-0.900.89-0.68-1.03
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
97
10.614.441.6327.8489.88

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk. Learn how to interpret the Sharpe ratio.

The current OVER SPY Sharpe ratio is -0.17 as of Jun 20, 2026 (the value is recalculated daily), calculated over the past 12 months.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.66 to 2.57, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of OVER SPY compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

OVER SPY provided a -0.26% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio-0.26%-1.52%-2.55%-1.22%0.35%2.27%2.31%1.24%0.63%1.68%-0.41%2.41%
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
0.46%0.70%0.94%1.71%3.02%2.24%3.05%3.54%3.11%1.87%1.43%1.13%
BIL
SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
3.85%4.13%5.03%4.92%1.35%0.00%0.30%2.05%1.66%0.68%0.07%0.00%
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
3.27%2.49%3.49%6.14%1.01%0.00%0.00%0.88%0.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation
0.56%0.59%0.49%2.87%0.76%0.54%3.38%0.86%1.08%4.81%1.09%4.06%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
0.13%0.02%0.03%0.03%0.11%0.05%0.12%0.27%0.46%0.29%0.45%1.20%
PGR
The Progressive Corporation
6.78%2.15%0.48%0.25%0.31%6.23%2.68%3.89%1.86%1.21%2.50%2.16%
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
0.03%0.34%1.18%0.51%1.07%0.04%0.05%0.38%1.30%0.09%4.84%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the OVER SPY. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the OVER SPY was 175.30%, occurring on Jun 18, 2026. The portfolio has not yet recovered.

The current OVER SPY drawdown is 175.18%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

2026 bear market2026
-175.30%Jun 2026
9mo 10d
9mo 14dSep 2025 - now
2013 bear market2013
-38.47%Dec 2013
13d1y 7mo
1y 8moDec 2013 - Aug 2015
2013 bear market2013
-31.42%Jul 2013
2mo 26d3mo 20d
6mo 16dApr 2013 - Oct 2013
2019 bear market2019
-30.60%Jan 2019
1y 1mo4mo 21d
1y 6moDec 2017 - Jun 2019
Bear market2022
-30.21%Sep 2022
5mo 24d4mo 23d
10mo 17dApr 2022 - Feb 2023

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 9 assets, with an effective number of assets of 0.79, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.00

1.00

1.15

1.27

1.34

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.34, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.

OVER SPY correlation to the S&P 500 Index

OVER SPY has a -0.19 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.19

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.07

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.20

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.13

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 6, 2012

0.10


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SOXL has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.77, while BTAL has the lowest at -0.51.

BTAL
-0.51
BIL
0.01
GLD
0.02
PGR
0.42
COST
0.51
NVDA
0.61
AVGO
0.64
SOXL
0.77

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. OVER SPY. BTC-USD has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.57, while SOXL has the lowest at -0.01.

SOXL
-0.01
BIL
0.02
BTAL
0.07
GLD
0.15
PGR
0.15
AVGO
0.16
COST
0.18
NVDA
0.29

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Oct 6, 2012
Diversification Analysis

Find what OVER SPY is missing

See which holdings overlap, where OVER SPY is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification