Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 40% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 30% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 15% |
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | Commodities | 7.50% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 7.50% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 6, 2026, the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio returned 4.91% Year-To-Date and 6.01% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -2.64% | -0.21% | 7.86% | 7.47% | 23.05% | 19.90% | 11.79% | 13.33% |
Portfolio Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio | -1.59% | -1.31% | 4.91% | 4.61% | 15.12% | 9.24% | 3.33% | 6.01% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | -2.18% | -3.53% | 30.72% | 29.51% | 39.56% | 13.78% | 11.98% | 8.48% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -3.65% | -8.65% | -0.02% | 2.54% | 29.84% | 29.53% | 17.47% | 12.80% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.53% | -1.08% | -1.06% | -1.06% | 4.02% | 2.32% | -1.22% | 0.60% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.51% | -0.80% | -0.56% | -1.32% | 4.21% | -2.03% | -6.37% | -1.63% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | -2.68% | 0.14% | 8.72% | 8.29% | 24.59% | 21.08% | 12.19% | 14.71% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 7, 2006, Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.57%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 10.2 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Dec 2008 with a return of +8.5%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -9.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 10, 2022 with a return of +3.9%, while the worst single day was Mar 18, 2020 at -4.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.04% | 2.96% | -3.13% | 3.25% | 1.38% | -1.52% | 4.91% | ||||||
| 2025 | 1.92% | 2.24% | -1.24% | -0.85% | 0.50% | 3.25% | 0.31% | 1.26% | 3.56% | 1.71% | 0.81% | -0.98% | 13.08% |
| 2024 | -0.56% | 0.34% | 2.43% | -4.00% | 2.92% | 1.79% | 2.64% | 1.70% | 2.07% | -2.48% | 2.57% | -3.74% | 5.45% |
| 2023 | 6.16% | -3.89% | 3.90% | 0.59% | -1.87% | 2.02% | 0.81% | -2.05% | -5.22% | -2.86% | 7.42% | 5.53% | 10.02% |
| 2022 | -3.24% | -0.41% | -0.86% | -6.88% | -0.73% | -3.79% | 3.87% | -3.87% | -7.56% | 0.07% | 5.64% | -3.09% | -19.65% |
| 2021 | -1.71% | -1.31% | -1.34% | 3.52% | 1.09% | 2.32% | 2.59% | 0.52% | -2.61% | 3.46% | 0.08% | 0.97% | 7.61% |
Benchmark Metrics
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 4.90%, beta of 0.20, and R2 of 0.23 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 07, 2006.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (36.66%) than losses (27.47%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.20 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.23 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.23 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 4.90%
- Beta
- 0.20
- R²
- 0.23
- Upside Capture
- 36.66%
- Downside Capture
- 27.47%
Expense Ratio
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.19%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio ranks 45 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.11 | 2.01 | +0.11 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.93 | 2.71 | +0.21 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.39 | 1.36 | +0.02 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.17 | 2.69 | +0.48 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 13.12 | 12.34 | +0.78 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 75 | 2.17 | 2.81 | 1.38 | 5.26 | 12.12 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 31 | 1.05 | 1.43 | 1.21 | 1.40 | 3.56 |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 20 | 0.68 | 1.01 | 1.12 | 0.79 | 2.30 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 14 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.06 | 0.38 | 0.94 |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 70 | 2.10 | 2.83 | 1.38 | 2.93 | 13.45 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio provided a 2.93% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.93% | 2.92% | 3.03% | 2.59% | 1.90% | 1.09% | 1.19% | 1.87% | 2.10% | 1.76% | 1.89% | 1.92% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund | 2.55% | 3.33% | 5.22% | 4.94% | 0.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.59% | 1.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.92% | 3.77% | 3.62% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.60% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.04% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio was 24.28%, occurring on Oct 20, 2022. Recovery took 719 trading sessions.
The current Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio drawdown is 1.83%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -24.28%Oct 2022 | 11mo 14d | 2y 10mo | 3y 9moNov 2021 - Sep 2025 |
Financial crisis2007–2009 | -15.63%Nov 2008 | 5mo 25d | 10mo 29d | 1y 4moMay 2008 - Oct 2009 |
COVID crash2020 | -13.99%Mar 2020 | 9d | 1mo 12d | 1mo 21dMar 2020 - Apr 2020 |
2016 pullback2016 | -8.23%Jan 2016 | 11mo 12d | 4mo 1d | 1y 3moFeb 2015 - May 2016 |
2013 pullback2013 | -7.37%Jun 2013 | 1mo 23d | 8mo 7d | 10moMay 2013 - Feb 2014 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.52, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.68 | 1.53 | 1.55 | 1.69 | 1.88 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.88, placing it in the top 5% across portfolios — assets in this portfolio move largely independently, providing strong diversification benefit.
Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.64 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.60 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.56 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.50 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 7, 2006 | 0.43 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VTI has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.99, while IEF has the lowest at -0.26.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Ray Dalio All Weather Portfolio is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification