Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
ARES Ares Management Corporation | Financial Services | 7.14% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | Industrials | 7.14% |
CVNA Carvana Co. | Consumer Cyclical | 7.14% |
CYBR CyberArk Software Ltd. | Technology | 7.14% |
KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | Industrials | 7.14% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | Technology | 7.14% |
MSTR MicroStrategy Incorporated | Technology | 7.14% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 7.14% |
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | Technology | 7.14% |
PSIX Power Solutions International, Inc. | Industrials | 7.14% |
SAP SAP SE | Technology | 7.14% |
VEON VEON Ltd. | Communication Services | 7.14% |
VRNA Verona Pharma plc | Healthcare | 7.14% |
VST Vistra Corp. | Utilities | 7.14% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio - Optimised, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Sep 30, 2020, corresponding to the inception date of PLTR
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio - Optimised | -0.19% | -7.59% | -14.50% | -25.47% | 24.68% | 87.35% | 46.38% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | 1.34% | 0.84% | -16.48% | -20.63% | 69.77% | 160.69% | 45.12% | — |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.93% | -1.47% | -4.88% | -6.08% | 60.69% | 85.17% | 66.71% | 70.07% |
PSIX Power Solutions International, Inc. | 2.07% | 10.90% | 18.22% | -29.92% | 153.85% | 174.95% | 54.96% | 17.55% |
VST Vistra Corp. | -1.81% | -6.38% | -6.16% | -25.19% | 19.47% | 87.75% | 56.62% | — |
SAP SAP SE | 0.24% | -12.51% | -29.29% | -36.83% | -36.16% | 12.19% | 8.09% | 9.54% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | -2.54% | -28.71% | -27.31% | -42.71% | -26.08% | 21.99% | 23.61% | 36.33% |
VRNA Verona Pharma plc | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
MSTR MicroStrategy Incorporated | -2.40% | -9.68% | -21.14% | -65.99% | -61.66% | 59.13% | 11.24% | 20.56% |
KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | -0.58% | -24.33% | -11.33% | -29.17% | 116.01% | 72.03% | 18.93% | 30.01% |
CYBR CyberArk Software Ltd. | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 1, 2020, Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio - Optimised's average daily return is +0.19%, while the average monthly return is +4.12%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 1.4 years.
Historically, 60% of months were positive and 40% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +31.3%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -18.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio - Optimised closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +14.2%, while the worst single day was May 9, 2022 at -10.2%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.89% | -4.11% | -10.16% | 0.14% | -14.50% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 14.68% | -7.80% | -5.77% | 12.16% | 17.67% | 12.96% | 10.89% | -2.05% | 5.97% | -3.11% | -9.71% | 0.83% | 50.81% |
| 2024 | -0.93% | 25.62% | 11.37% | -5.33% | 15.24% | 10.53% | 14.37% | 11.17% | 9.70% | 10.53% | 23.35% | -2.85% | 208.76% |
| 2023 | 22.46% | 3.32% | 6.28% | -0.41% | 13.73% | 14.62% | 10.15% | 0.38% | -3.89% | -3.09% | 14.53% | 9.35% | 125.17% |
| 2022 | -13.78% | -2.44% | 1.49% | -17.95% | -8.34% | -11.85% | 16.77% | 3.36% | -12.49% | 10.43% | 9.78% | -1.62% | -28.71% |
| 2021 | 15.04% | 5.12% | -3.27% | 1.01% | -6.60% | 14.47% | 2.45% | 3.03% | -8.36% | 8.97% | -3.50% | -2.38% | 25.41% |
Benchmark Metrics
Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio - Optimised has an annualized alpha of 33.93%, beta of 1.45, and R² of 0.54 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 01, 2020.
- This portfolio captured 260.07% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 90.60% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 33.93% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 33.93%
- Beta
- 1.45
- R²
- 0.54
- Upside Capture
- 260.07%
- Downside Capture
- 90.60%
Expense Ratio
Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio - Optimised has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio - Optimised ranks 18 for risk / return — in the bottom 18% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.76 | 0.88 | -0.13 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.24 | 1.37 | -0.12 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.17 | 1.21 | -0.04 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.95 | 1.39 | -0.44 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 2.56 | 6.43 | -3.87 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | 74 | 1.22 | 1.79 | 1.24 | 1.99 | 4.80 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 81 | 1.47 | 2.17 | 1.27 | 3.02 | 7.54 |
PSIX Power Solutions International, Inc. | 80 | 1.61 | 2.21 | 1.28 | 2.89 | 5.49 |
VST Vistra Corp. | 52 | 0.35 | 0.85 | 1.11 | 0.70 | 1.47 |
SAP SAP SE | 6 | -1.11 | -1.51 | 0.80 | -0.76 | -1.73 |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | 21 | -0.49 | -0.45 | 0.94 | -0.44 | -0.89 |
VRNA Verona Pharma plc | — | — | — | — | — | — |
MSTR MicroStrategy Incorporated | 9 | -0.84 | -1.36 | 0.85 | -0.80 | -1.37 |
KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | 82 | 1.73 | 2.26 | 1.28 | 2.59 | 6.85 |
CYBR CyberArk Software Ltd. | — | — | — | — | — | — |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio - Optimised provided a 0.60% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.60% | 0.40% | 0.32% | 0.49% | 0.71% | 0.52% | 1.15% | 1.29% | 1.49% | 1.05% | 1.70% | 0.87% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
PSIX Power Solutions International, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VST Vistra Corp. | 0.60% | 0.56% | 0.63% | 2.13% | 3.12% | 2.64% | 2.75% | 2.17% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 14.97% | 0.00% |
SAP SAP SE | 1.48% | 1.05% | 0.97% | 1.41% | 2.05% | 1.56% | 1.31% | 1.27% | 1.73% | 0.87% | 1.08% | 1.11% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VRNA Verona Pharma plc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
MSTR MicroStrategy Incorporated | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CYBR CyberArk Software Ltd. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio - Optimised. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio - Optimised was 52.23%, occurring on Jun 16, 2022. Recovery took 245 trading sessions.
The current Guess from Max Sharpe Ratio - Optimised drawdown is 26.22%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -52.23% | Feb 10, 2021 | 341 | Jun 16, 2022 | 245 | Jun 8, 2023 | 586 |
| -29.16% | Sep 23, 2025 | 130 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -27.35% | Feb 19, 2025 | 35 | Apr 8, 2025 | 23 | May 12, 2025 | 58 |
| -10.88% | Jul 20, 2023 | 21 | Aug 17, 2023 | 62 | Nov 14, 2023 | 83 |
| -10.45% | Mar 28, 2024 | 16 | Apr 19, 2024 | 11 | May 6, 2024 | 27 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 14 assets, with an effective number of assets of 14.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | PSIX | VEON | VRNA | VST | KTOS | SAP | MSTR | CVNA | CYBR | AXON | ARES | MSFT | PLTR | NVDA | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.16 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.59 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 0.51 | 0.48 | 0.64 | 0.74 | 0.53 | 0.68 | 0.71 |
| PSIX | 0.16 | 1.00 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
| VEON | 0.20 | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| VRNA | 0.21 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 1.00 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.13 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 0.37 |
| VST | 0.42 | 0.15 | 0.11 | 0.16 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.27 | 0.36 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| KTOS | 0.47 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 0.36 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.30 | 0.38 | 0.31 | 0.53 |
| SAP | 0.59 | 0.06 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.32 | 0.42 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.52 | 0.36 | 0.42 | 0.50 |
| MSTR | 0.48 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.18 | 0.25 | 0.36 | 0.35 | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.34 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.45 | 0.44 | 0.65 |
| CVNA | 0.48 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.39 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 0.40 | 0.39 | 0.37 | 0.52 | 0.39 | 0.64 |
| CYBR | 0.51 | 0.07 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.31 | 0.42 | 0.34 | 0.41 | 1.00 | 0.46 | 0.41 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.45 | 0.56 |
| AXON | 0.48 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 0.27 | 0.38 | 0.37 | 0.36 | 0.40 | 0.46 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.52 | 0.43 | 0.61 |
| ARES | 0.64 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.42 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 1.00 | 0.48 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 0.59 |
| MSFT | 0.74 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.26 | 0.30 | 0.52 | 0.39 | 0.37 | 0.47 | 0.41 | 0.48 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| PLTR | 0.53 | 0.16 | 0.14 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.45 | 0.52 | 0.47 | 0.52 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 1.00 | 0.49 | 0.71 |
| NVDA | 0.68 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.39 | 0.45 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 0.62 | 0.49 | 1.00 | 0.64 |
| Portfolio | 0.71 | 0.39 | 0.25 | 0.37 | 0.43 | 0.53 | 0.50 | 0.65 | 0.64 | 0.56 | 0.61 | 0.59 | 0.58 | 0.71 | 0.64 | 1.00 |