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VSVNX vs. VTI
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

VSVNX vs. VTI - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Vanguard Target Retirement 2070 Fund (VSVNX) and Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

The year-to-date returns for both investments are quite close, with VSVNX having a 11.75% return and VTI slightly higher at 12.01%.


VSVNX

1D
0.28%
1M
4.43%
YTD
11.75%
6M
13.07%
1Y
28.03%
3Y*
19.56%
5Y*
10Y*

VTI

1D
0.26%
1M
5.37%
YTD
12.01%
6M
12.40%
1Y
30.01%
3Y*
22.37%
5Y*
13.05%
10Y*
15.13%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

VSVNX vs. VTI - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)2025202420232022
VSVNX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2070 Fund
11.75%21.43%14.38%20.45%1.72%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
12.01%17.10%23.81%26.05%0.86%

Correlation

The correlation between VSVNX and VTI is 0.96 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.96

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.95

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 6, 2022

0.95

The correlation between VSVNX and VTI has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.95 to 0.96 - a consistent structural relationship.

VSVNX vs. VTI - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
VSVNX
VTI

Technology

27.3%
33.5%

Financial Services

16.1%
12.0%

Industrials

12.4%
9.8%

Consumer Cyclical

9.4%
10.0%

Healthcare

8.3%
9.2%

Communication Services

8.0%
10.3%

Consumer Defensive

4.8%
4.7%

Energy

4.3%
3.7%

Basic Materials

4.3%
2.0%

Utilities

2.7%
2.3%

Real Estate

2.5%
2.4%

Technology

VSVNX
27.3%
VTI
33.5%

Financial Services

VSVNX
16.1%
VTI
12.0%

Industrials

VSVNX
12.4%
VTI
9.8%

Consumer Cyclical

VSVNX
9.4%
VTI
10.0%

Healthcare

VSVNX
8.3%
VTI
9.2%

Communication Services

VSVNX
8.0%
VTI
10.3%

Consumer Defensive

VSVNX
4.8%
VTI
4.7%

Energy

VSVNX
4.3%
VTI
3.7%

Basic Materials

VSVNX
4.3%
VTI
2.0%

Utilities

VSVNX
2.7%
VTI
2.3%

Real Estate

VSVNX
2.5%
VTI
2.4%

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Return for Risk

VSVNX vs. VTI — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

VSVNX
VSVNX Risk / Return Rank: 7272
Overall Rank
VSVNX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7676
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VSVNX Sortino Ratio Rank: 7171
Sortino Ratio Rank
VSVNX Omega Ratio Rank: 6969
Omega Ratio Rank
VSVNX Calmar Ratio Rank: 6969
Calmar Ratio Rank
VSVNX Martin Ratio Rank: 7676
Martin Ratio Rank

VTI
VTI Risk / Return Rank: 7474
Overall Rank
VTI Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7575
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VTI Sortino Ratio Rank: 7474
Sortino Ratio Rank
VTI Omega Ratio Rank: 7474
Omega Ratio Rank
VTI Calmar Ratio Rank: 6868
Calmar Ratio Rank
VTI Martin Ratio Rank: 8080
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

VSVNX vs. VTI - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Target Retirement 2070 Fund (VSVNX) and Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


VSVNXVTIDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

2.53

2.48

+0.05

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

3.50

3.37

+0.12

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.46

1.45

+0.02

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

3.21

3.44

-0.23

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

14.29

15.88

-1.59

VSVNX vs. VTI - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current VSVNX Sharpe Ratio is 2.53, which is comparable to the VTI Sharpe Ratio of 2.48. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of VSVNX and VTI, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


VSVNXVTIDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.53

2.48

+0.05

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.75

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.83

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

1.33

0.51

+0.82

Drawdowns

VSVNX vs. VTI - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum VSVNX drawdown since its inception was -15.39%, smaller than the maximum VTI drawdown of -55.45%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VSVNX and VTI.


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Drawdown Indicators


VSVNXVTIDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-15.39%

-55.45%

+40.06%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-8.94%

-8.92%

-0.02%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-14.53%

-19.30%

+4.77%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-25.36%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-35.00%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-2.51%

-8.03%

+5.52%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

2.01%

1.93%

+0.08%

Volatility

VSVNX vs. VTI - Volatility Comparison

Vanguard Target Retirement 2070 Fund (VSVNX) has a higher volatility of 3.39% compared to Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) at 2.86%. This indicates that VSVNX's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than VTI based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


VSVNXVTIDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

3.39%

2.86%

+0.53%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

9.09%

9.11%

-0.02%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

11.43%

12.15%

-0.72%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

13.70%

17.40%

-3.70%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

13.70%

18.30%

-4.60%

VSVNX vs. VTI - Expense Ratio Comparison

VSVNX has a 0.08% expense ratio, which is higher than VTI's 0.03% expense ratio. However, both funds are considered low-cost compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios usually range from 0.3% to 0.9%.


Dividends

VSVNX vs. VTI - Dividend Comparison

VSVNX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.63%, more than VTI's 1.01% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
VSVNX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2070 Fund
1.63%1.82%1.79%1.57%0.91%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
1.01%1.12%1.27%1.44%1.66%1.21%1.42%1.78%2.04%1.71%1.92%1.98%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.96, VSVNX and VTI move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

VSVNX has higher volatility (3.39%) compared to VTI (2.86%). In terms of maximum drawdown, VSVNX dropped -15.39% vs VTI's -55.45%.

VSVNX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.53 vs 2.48), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for VSVNX and VTI

Add both to a portfolio and optimize allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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