UST vs. TQQQ
UST (ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury) and TQQQ (ProShares UltraPro QQQ) are both exchange-traded funds - UST is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%), while TQQQ is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the NASDAQ-100 Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, UST returned -2.13%/yr vs 45.33%/yr for TQQQ. At a correlation of -0.18, they often move in opposite directions. Both charge a 0.95% expense ratio.
Performance
UST vs. TQQQ - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UST achieves a -2.88% return, which is significantly lower than TQQQ's 64.46% return. Over the past 10 years, UST has underperformed TQQQ with an annualized return of -2.13%, while TQQQ has yielded a comparatively higher 45.33% annualized return.
UST
- 1D
- -0.56%
- 1M
- -0.51%
- YTD
- -2.88%
- 6M
- -4.24%
- 1Y
- 3.81%
- 3Y*
- -0.51%
- 5Y*
- -6.75%
- 10Y*
- -2.13%
TQQQ
- 1D
- -0.76%
- 1M
- 33.35%
- YTD
- 64.46%
- 6M
- 55.93%
- 1Y
- 137.89%
- 3Y*
- 69.49%
- 5Y*
- 28.37%
- 10Y*
- 45.33%
UST vs. TQQQ - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UST ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury | -2.88% | 10.26% | -6.19% | 0.16% | -30.19% | -7.81% | 18.83% | 13.34% | -1.09% | 3.21% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 64.46% | 34.35% | 58.27% | 198.04% | -79.09% | 82.98% | 110.05% | 133.84% | -19.79% | 118.06% |
Correlation
The correlation between UST and TQQQ is 0.15, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.15 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.09 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.07 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.05 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 12, 2010 | -0.18 |
The correlation between UST and TQQQ shifts across timeframes, from -0.18 (all time) to 0.15 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
UST vs. TQQQ - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
UST
TQQQ
Financial Services
Basic Materials
-
Communication Services
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
Consumer Defensive
-
Energy
-
Healthcare
-
Industrials
-
Real Estate
-
Technology
-
Utilities
-
Financial Services
UST
TQQQ
Basic Materials
UST
-
TQQQ
Communication Services
UST
-
TQQQ
Consumer Cyclical
UST
-
TQQQ
Consumer Defensive
UST
-
TQQQ
Energy
UST
-
TQQQ
Healthcare
UST
-
TQQQ
Industrials
UST
-
TQQQ
Real Estate
UST
-
TQQQ
Technology
UST
-
TQQQ
Utilities
UST
-
TQQQ
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Return for Risk
UST vs. TQQQ — Risk / Return Rank
UST
TQQQ
UST vs. TQQQ - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) and ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| UST | TQQQ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -2.51 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -2.44 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.07 | 1.40 | -0.33 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.44 | 3.75 | -3.32 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.26 | 12.27 | -11.01 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| UST | TQQQ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.40 | 2.92 | -2.51 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.44 | 0.43 | -0.87 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.16 | 0.69 | -0.85 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.19 | 0.74 | -0.55 |
Drawdowns
UST vs. TQQQ - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UST drawdown since its inception was -47.99%, smaller than the maximum TQQQ drawdown of -81.66%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UST and TQQQ.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UST | TQQQ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -47.99% | -81.66% | +33.67% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -8.75% | -36.97% | +28.22% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -16.87% | -58.04% | +41.17% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -43.97% | -81.66% | +37.69% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -47.99% | -81.66% | +33.67% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -38.33% | -0.76% | -37.57% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -15.13% | -18.52% | +3.39% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 3.03% | 11.28% | -8.25% |
Volatility
UST vs. TQQQ - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) is 3.10%, while ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) has a volatility of 13.29%. This indicates that UST experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TQQQ based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UST | TQQQ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 3.10% | 13.29% | -10.19% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 6.58% | 36.04% | -29.46% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 9.50% | 47.60% | -38.10% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 15.47% | 66.53% | -51.06% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 13.18% | 65.96% | -52.78% |
UST vs. TQQQ - Expense Ratio Comparison
Both UST and TQQQ have an expense ratio of 0.95%.
Dividends
UST vs. TQQQ - Dividend Comparison
UST's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.49%, more than TQQQ's 0.36% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.36% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
UST ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury | 3.49% | 3.65% | 4.09% | 3.49% | 0.47% | 0.27% | 0.53% | 1.42% | 1.71% | 0.84% | 0.64% | 0.75% |
Frequently Asked Questions
UST and TQQQ have a correlation of 0.15, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
TQQQ has higher volatility (13.29%) compared to UST (3.10%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UST dropped -47.99% vs TQQQ's -81.66%.
On 10-year performance, TQQQ leads with 45.33% vs -2.13% for UST. Both ETFs have the same 0.95% expense ratio. On volatility, UST has been the lower-risk option at 3.10%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, TQQQ has performed better with a 45.33% return vs -2.13%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
UST and TQQQ have the same expense ratio: 0.95% per year.
UST has the higher dividend yield at 3.49%, compared with 0.36% for TQQQ.
UST is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while TQQQ is Leveraged Equities. UST tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%), while TQQQ tracks NASDAQ-100 Index (300%).
TQQQ currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.92 vs 0.40), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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